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Crystal Ball Review: Wily Mo Pena

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Crystal Ball Review: Wily Mo Pena

2006 CB (posted September 20, 2005)
116 games, 420 at-bats, 105 hits, 19 doubles, 2 triples, 22 homers, 30 walks, 129 strikeouts, .250 average, .300 rOBP, .462 SLG, .212 ISO, .762 rOPS.

2006 Actual
84 games, 276 at-bats, 83 hits, 15 doubles, 2 triples, 11 homers, 20 walks, 90 strikeouts, .301 average, .348 rOBP, .489 SLG, .188 ISO, .837 OPS.

2006 CB Normalized for Actual Playing Time
276 at-bats, 69 hits, 13 doubles, 1 triple, 14 homers, 20 walks, 85 strikeouts, .250.

COMMENTARY:
I am going to turn things over to you guys and let you decide whether each CB is a hit or miss and what type. Take the poll in the comment thread.
To me this is a type 2 miss; he was better than expected. The BB/K/AB ratio was almost perfect on a normalized basis, but everything else was otherwise off. The CB showed more isolated power but a less impressive batting average. Note that "isolated patience" was very close, ISP was .50 in the CB and .47 in Actual.

Poll

rate the CB

This poll is closed

  • 0%
    Type 1 hit: just about perfect
    (0 votes)
  • 15%
    Type 2 hit; within the realm of expectation
    (3 votes)
  • 15%
    Limbo: can't say either way due to injury or unpredictable circumstance, etc.
    (3 votes)
  • 0%
    Type 1 miss; the projection was too good
    (0 votes)
  • 70%
    Type 2 miss; the projection wasn't good enough
    (14 votes)
  • 0%
    Other, explain in comments
    (0 votes)
20 votes total Vote Now