Crystal Ball Review: Wily Mo Pena
2006 CB (posted September 20, 2005)
116 games, 420 at-bats, 105 hits, 19 doubles, 2 triples, 22 homers, 30 walks, 129 strikeouts, .250 average, .300 rOBP, .462 SLG, .212 ISO, .762 rOPS.
2006 Actual
84 games, 276 at-bats, 83 hits, 15 doubles, 2 triples, 11 homers, 20 walks, 90 strikeouts, .301 average, .348 rOBP, .489 SLG, .188 ISO, .837 OPS.
2006 CB Normalized for Actual Playing Time
276 at-bats, 69 hits, 13 doubles, 1 triple, 14 homers, 20 walks, 85 strikeouts, .250.
COMMENTARY:
I am going to turn things over to you guys and let you decide whether each CB is a hit or miss and what type. Take the poll in the comment thread.
To me this is a type 2 miss; he was better than expected. The BB/K/AB ratio was almost perfect on a normalized basis, but everything else was otherwise off. The CB showed more isolated power but a less impressive batting average. Note that "isolated patience" was very close, ISP was .50 in the CB and .47 in Actual.
Poll
rate the CB
This poll is closed
-
0%
Type 1 hit: just about perfect
(0 votes) -
15%
Type 2 hit; within the realm of expectation
(3 votes) -
15%
Limbo: can't say either way due to injury or unpredictable circumstance, etc.
(3 votes) -
0%
Type 1 miss; the projection was too good
(0 votes) -
70%
Type 2 miss; the projection wasn't good enough
(14 votes) -
0%
Other, explain in comments
(0 votes)
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