Thinking about the whole scorecard issue, I've decided to create five categories.
Type 1 Hit: A dead-on perfect or nearly perfect projection.
Type 2 Hit: A fairly close projection within the realm of normal statistical variance.
Limbo: Middle ground, neither a clear hit or a clear miss.
Type 1 Miss: A projection that misses because it was too optimistic.
Type 2 Miss: A projection that misses because it was too pessimistic.
After the next set I will revise the scorecard to reflect these categories. Please make suggestions or comments about the categories.