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Crystal Ball: Felix Hernandez

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Crystal Ball Review: Felix Hernandez

2006 CB (posted September 13, 2005)
30 starts, 12-9, 192 innings, 179/76 K/BB, 3.52 ERA

2006 Actual
31 starts, 12-14, 191 innings, 176/60 K/BB, 4.52 ERA.

Not sure how to rate this one. I nailed wins, innings, and strikeouts. His control was better than expected, but his ERA was a full run higher! Unfortunately I did not project hits....I will do that in the future. How should I count this, hit or miss? I think this should be a hit. What do you think?