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Crystal Ball Review: Grady Sizemore

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Crystal Ball Review: Grady Sizemore

2006 Crystal Ball: Grady Sizemore (posted April 6, 2006)

156 games, 619 at-bats, 175 hits, 33 doubles, 7 triples, 19 homers, 55 walks, 121 strikeouts, 24 steals in 32 attempts, .283 average, .451 SLG, .341 rOBP, .792 rOPS, .168 ISO.

2006 Actual

162 games, 655 at-bats, 190 hits, 53 doubles, 11 triples, 28 homers, 78 walks, 153 strikeouts, 22 steals in 28 attempts, .290 average, .533 SLG, .365 rOBP, .888 rOPS, .243 ISO.

COMMENTARY:
I undershot this one the same way I undershot Mauer and Howard: I projected a good year but he had a great one instead. Big difference here is enormous power improvement and the huge number of doubles Sizemore posted. Also note improved plate discipline.
Note: rOBP is "raw on-base percentage" calculated with just hits and walks, since I didn't project HBP and other components of true OBP.