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Crystal Ball Review: Carl Crawford

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Crystal Ball Review: Carl Crawford

2006 Crystal Ball Projection (posted November 15, 2005)

151 games, 633 at-bats, 179 hits, 38 doubles, 12 triples, 17 homers, 35 walks, 91 strikeouts, 48 steals, 12 CS, .283 average, .461 SLG, .320 eOBP, .781 eOPS, .178 ISO.

2006 Reality

151 games, 600 at-bats, 183 hits, 20 doubles, 16 triples, 18 homers, 37 walks, 85 strikeouts, 58 steals, 9 CS, .305 average, .348 OBP, .482 SLG, .830 OPS, .177 ISO.

2006 CB Normalized for Actual At-bats

151 games, 600 at-bats, 170 hits, 36 doubles, 12 triples, 16 homers, 33 walks, 86 strikeouts, 45 steals, 11 CS.

COMMENTARY:
I am very happy with how this one turned out. . .I nailed the games played, and was just ONE point away on isolated power. Walks and strikeouts normalized for at-bats was really close, too. I will start including OBP in my CBs from now on so we can make more direct comparisons in that category.
I'm starting to think that maybe I really should take these Crystal Balls more seriously...I put a lot of thought into them, and maybe it works as well as any other projection system. Your thoughts?