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Crystal Ball Review: Ryan Howard

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Crystal Ball Review

Ryan Howard

2006 Crystal Ball Projection (posted November 8, 2005)

153 games, 542 at-bats, 152 hits, 24 doubles, 1 triple, 35 homers, 55 walks, 159 strikeouts, .277 average, .522 SLG, .347 eOBP, .869 eOPS, .245 ISO.

2006 Actual

159 games, 581 at-bats, 182 hits, 25 doubles, 1 triple, 58 homers, 108 walks, 181 strikeouts, .313 average, .659 SLG, .425 OBP, 1.084 OPS, .346 ISO.

2006 CB Normalized for Actual Playing Time

159 games, 581 at-bats, 161 hits, 25 doubles, 1 triple, 38 homers, 59 walks, 170 strikeouts.

COMMENTARY:
Well, I got this one wrong, but I think everyone else did, too. I did successfully predict 25 doubles and 1 triple! But I missed 100 points of isolated power, and undershot his batting average by almost 40 points.
Looking back at it, I really can't see any reason to think that Howard would do something like this. . .and I like Howard and thought he would do well!