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Mark Mulder Projection Review

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Mark Mulder Projection Review

Community Projection: 29 GS, 15-9, 3.86 ERA, 194 IP, 135/57 K/BB
Baseball Forecaster: ?????, 12-9, 4.18 ERA, 164 IP, 107/56 K/BB
Baseball Prospectus: 28 GS, ????, 3.78 ERA, 182 IP, 131/61 K/BB
ZIPS Baseball ThinkT: 30 GS, 16-9, 3.63 ERA, 206 IP, 149/63 K/BB

REALITY THROUGH 9/10: 28 GS, 15-7, 3.54 ERA, 185 KP, 99/59 K/BB

An interesting set of numbers. The W/L, ERA, and BB numbers are all very close. The main mistake is K/IP: all predictions overshot on the number of strikeouts Mulder would rack up this year.

Poll question in the comments thread.

Poll

True or False: Mark Mulder's ERA will be below league average in 2006

This poll is closed

  • 26%
    True. Mulder will be a below average pitcher next year
    (13 votes)
  • 74%
    False. Mulder will be average or better than average next year
    (37 votes)
50 votes total Vote Now