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Community Projection: Nick Swisher

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Community Projection for Nick Swisher

Minor League Ball Community Proj: BA: .255 OBP: .358 SLG: .454 121 K
Baseball Prospectus PECOTA Projt: BA: .244 OBP: .351 SLG: .423 133 K
Bill James Handbook 05Projection: BA: .234 OBP: .342 SLG: .440 120 K
Baseball Forecaster 05Projection: BA: .241 OBP: .368 SLG: .442 -----
ZIPS Baseball Think Tank Project: BA: .234 OBP: .349 SLG: .422 130 K
John Sickels Experimental Projec: BA: .253 OBP: .347 SLG: .451 136 K

Our community projection is a touch more optimistic than what other systems are showing, but all of these numbers are certainly within the realm of possibility, all being possible outcomes of the Strat-O-Matic card for Nick Swisher that was programmed by God.

I have normalized the strikeout totals projected by other systems for 500 at-bats to make direct comparisons possible.

My own Experimental Projection actually came out more optimistic than I expected. However, those numbers were one of the first projections I did back in December, and the assumptions used in the process were a little different then. Still, I will go ahead and stick with those numbers since that is what I put in the 2005 Baseball Prospect Book and it isn't really fair to change now that I've seen the output of other systems.