Khalil Greene
Community Projection: .279 BA, .352 OBP, .458 SLG, 16 HR, 9 steals in 531 AB (16)
Baseball Forecaster: .266 BA, .325 OBP, .424 SLG, 14 HR, 5 steals in 515 AB (14)
Baseball Prospectus: .260 BA, .327 OBP, .424 SLG, 15 HR, 3 steals in 467 AB (17)
Bill James Handbook: .273 BA, .335 OBP, .446 SLG, 15 HR, 4 steals in 487 AB (16)
ZIPS BTT Projection: .275 BA, .342 OBP, .428 SLG, 15 HR, 3 steals in 528 AB (15)
John Sickels Experi: .281 BA, .347 OBP, .422 SLG, 12 HR, 4 steals in 502 AB (13)
By OPS
Community: .810
Bill James: .781
ZIPS BTT: .770
Sickels Exp: .769
Prospectus: .751
Forecaster: .749
The Community is the most optimistic projection of all, even in the steal department. Do we know something that the other systems are missing, or did we just have a bunch of Greene Fanboys post? I personally believe that Greene WILL post Community-style numbers eventually, but perhaps not in 2005. I'd be surprised if his slugging percentage is that high in `05, given park factors, but I don't expect any huge slippage in his numbers. My own system projects a slight slippage in the SLG department from last year, but a steady OBP and slightly improved batting average. I think his breakout will be in '06. Greene is a solid player, and if personality and work ethic mean anything, he has a chance to get far beyond "solid" eventually.
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