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Alexis Rios Projection

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Alexis Rios

Community Projection: .281 BA, .337 OBP, .422 SLG, 10 HR in 506 AB (10)
Baseball Forecaster: .297 BA, .340 OBP, .427 SLG, 8 HR in 559 AB (7)
Baseball Prospectus: .271 BA, .316 OBP, .405 SLG, 9 HR in 456 AB (10)
Bill James Handbook: .300 BA, .344 OBP, .422 SLG, 6 HR in 566 AB (5)
ZIPS BTT Projection: .295 BA, .343 OBP, .411 SLG, 7 HR in 593 AB (6)
John Sickels Experi: .280 BA, .329 OBP, .410 SLG, 6 HR in 522 AB (6)

By OPS

Forecaster: .767
Bill James: .766
Community: .759
ZIPS BTT: .754
Sickels Exp: .739
Prospectus: .721

The number in parentheses is home runs normalized for 506 at-bats as the Community projects. The Community is more optimistic about his home run power, while the other systems think he'll keep his SLG up over .400 through doubles and triples. Overall there is a 46-point OPS projection spread, with the Community right in between James and ZIPS.