Hee Seop Choi
Community Projection: .260 BA, .369 OBP, .477 SLG, 22 HR, 424 AB
Baseball Forecaster: .239 BA, .350 OBP, .425 SLG, 16 HR, 389 AB
Baseball Prospectus: .258 BA, .374 OBP, .493 SLG, 18 HR, 329 AB
Bill James Handbook: .251 BA, .365 OBP, .451 SLG, 22 HR, 483 AB
ZIPS BTT Projection: .246 BA, .367 OBP, .453 SLG, 20 HR, 395 AB
John Sickels Experi: .256 BA, .363 OBP, .474 SLG, 23 HR, 449 AB
Sickels Exp: .837
ZIPS BTT: .820
Bill James: .816
Choi is a stathead darling who has yet to live up to expectations. He is more productive than his detractors want to admit, but he's hardly been the star that people like me expected.
Prospectus is most optimistic, Forecaster the most pessimistic, with a 92 point spread in projected OPS. The Community leans optimistic. There could be some self-selection there. . .people who like Choi are more likely to post projections than those who don't, but that's part of why we are running the experiment, to see how much of a problem it is.