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Adam LaRoche Community Projection

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Adam LaRoche

Community Projection: .287 BA, .352 OBP, .483 SLG, 17 HR
Baseball Forecaster: .284 BA, .346 OBP, .480 SLG, 17 HR
Baseball Prospectus: .270 BA, .341 OBP, .474 SLG, 19 HR
Bill James Handbook: .286 BA, .352 OBP, .500 SLG, 18 HR
ZIPS BTT Projection: .294 BA, .367 OBP, .478 SLG, 16 HR
John Sickels Experi: .279 BA, .349 OBP, .469 SLG, 18 HR
(home run totals per 420 at-bats)


Bill James: .852
Community: .835
Forecaster: .826
Sickels: .818
Prospectus: .815

I was wondering how this would work out, since we only had 23 entries, increasing the risk of any one weird projection screwing up the aggregate. But the Community Projection came out smack-dab in the middle of the others. As usual, James is the most optimistic. Forecaster, usually the most pessimistic, came out in the middle this time. Personally, I think any of these outcomes are quite possible, although I think something towards the lower end of the spectrum is most likely.