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Community Projection: Zack Greinke

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How Good Is This Guy?

The next Community Projection, per reader request, is for Zack Greinke.

This should be a fascinating one. Some statheads are somewhat down on Greinke, worried about a not-superb strikeout rate, his excess home run rate, and believing that he's already as good as he is going to get. Other statheads are impressed with his ability to survive in the majors at such a young age. Traditionalists are impressed with that as well, plus his superb command. But some traditionalists think that Greinke is too flaky psychologically to thrive in the long-term.

Personally, I think he's going to be great, if he stays healthy. His personality quirks are actually a potential source of strength, if he's handled properly. And so far the Royals seem to be handling him well.

Anyhow, what do you guys think? Project Games started, innings, wins, losses, ERA, strikeouts, walks, and home runs allowed. Please remember to include all of those categories in your projection. It makes compiling easier.