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GAPPER Report: 4-19-13

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A statistical analysis system ranking prospects based on performance identifying prospects one week at a time.

Thumbs Up from Miguel Sano
Thumbs Up from Miguel Sano

I've been trying to come up with a name for this. If I'm going to put in the effort to do it each week, I want it to have it's own brand. "Top Performers" and "Top Prospect Results" aren't very catchy. I'm not Kiley McDaniel and I'm not just gonna call it Bubba. I'd like it to mean something and describe what it is, a la PECOTA.

I've decided on GAPPER. Garrioch's Analytical Prospect Point Ranking. I bought a vowel to solve the puzzle.

I plan on doing this weekly but the format I use may change. It's an all encompassing formula. I can tell you who is hitting for the most power in A ball, who is the best control pitcher in AA and the best performance by a young prospect in AAA. Some weeks I may post those lists, others I may post season to date lists. Some weeks I may post who had the best week as compared to last, which is the most work, especially when people start to be promoted.

I want to use this to help you guys identify breakout talent. It's an objective opinion on when a player is still a prospect when he is struggling or when he's having a great season but is old for the level. I can do prospect comparisons to previous players, percentage of future success even future MLB projections.

My goal is to do this weekly, with the work done Thurday night and posted Friday. This may change with my work schedule but that's what I'm shooting for.

For this week, it is simply the top 20 hitters and pitchers for each level to date.

AAA Hitters

Nolan Arenado Rockies 137.4
Wilmer Flores Mets 128.7
Hak-Ju Lee Rays 121.9
Chris Owings Diamondbacks 105.7
Jurickson Profar Rangers 88
Kolten Wong Cardinals 80.5
Nick Franklin Mariners 75.5
Oswaldo Arcia Twins 66.5
Didi Gregorius Diamondbacks 65
Billy Hamilton Reds 64.7
Oscar Taveras Cardinals 62
Scott Van Slyke Dodgers 54.2
Carlos Sanchez White Sox 52.7
Tyler Pastornicky Braves 52
Jeff Kobernus Nationals 51.4
Jimmy Paredes Astros 48.2
Corey Dickerson Rockies 47.6
Jonathan Galvez Padres 47
Mike Zunino Mariners 41
Cesar Hernandez Phillies 40

AA Hitters

Joc Pederson Dodgers 122
Ramon Cabrera Tigers 82.5
Hernan Perez Tigers 74.7
Jose Ramirez Indians 72.7
John Murphy Yankees 71
Everett Williams Padres 69
Reymond Fuentes Padres 68.7
Randal Grichuk Angels 56.2
Marcus Semien White Sox 56.1
Yasiel Puig Dodgers 53.7
Arismendy Alcantara Cubs 53
Jae-Hoon Ha Cubs 52.7
Ender Inciarte Diamondbacks 52.7
Anthony Rendon Nationals 47
Domingo Santana Astros 46
Austin Wates Astros 44.7
Ramon Flores Yankees 44.5
Enrique Hernandez Astros 42.2
Giovanny Urshela Indians 42
Adam Duvall Giants 41.7

High A Hitters

Francisco Lindor Indians 140
Benjamin Gamel Yankees 102
Gary Sanchez Yankees 94.5
Miguel Sano Twins 92
Gregory Polanco Pirates 88.1
Maikel Franco Phillies 87.5
Travis Jankowski Padres 86.9
Nick Delmonico Orioles 77
Max Muncy Athletics 75.2
Sean Coyle Red Sox 73
Rougned Odor Rangers 69.7
Andrew Burns Blue Jays 68.9
Nolan Fontana Astros 68.7
Andrew Aplin Astros 62.5
Alex Yarbrough Angels 59
Austin Hedges Padres 49.9
Stephen Piscotty Cardinals 49
Zeke Devoss Cubs 44.6
Jorge Soler Cubs 43.7
Jorge Bonifacio Royals 41

Low A Hitters

Byron Buxton Twins 112.1
Jeimer Candelario Cubs 73
Andrew Toles Rays 68.2
Adalberto Mondesi Royals 65.6
Dilson Herrera Pirates 65.2
Rosell Herrera Rockies 60.4
Carlos Tocci Phillies 57
Eric Wood Pirates 55
Jorge Polanco Twins 54
Joey Gallo Rangers 51
Breyvil Valera Cardinals 49.7
Jose Peraza Braves 48.5
Mookie Betts Red Sox 48
Socrates Brito Diamondbacks 48
Stetson Allie Pirates 47
Teoscar Hernandez Astros 46
Carlos Correa Astros 45
Brandon Nimmo Mets 41.7
Corey Adamson Padres 40
Renato Nunez Athletics 39.5

AAA Pitchers

Tony Cingrani Reds 126.6
Tyler Skaggs Diamondbacks 124.9
Jake Odorizzi Rays 107.0
Adam Morgan Phillies 99.0
Will Smith Royals 96.0
Danny Hultzen Mariners 92.2
Michael Wacha Cardinals 80.7
Jarred Cosart Astros 79.2
Tyler Chatwood Rockies 77.2
Sonny Gray Athletics 76.0
Alex Colome Rays 73.3
Jordan Lyles Astros 70.7
Gerrit Cole Pirates 69.8
Matt Magill Dodgers 69.0
Daniel Straily Athletics 66.9
Brad Hand Marlins 64.6
Eury De La Rosa Diamondbacks 64.0
Zack Wheeler Mets 63.0
Drew Pomeranz Rockies 62.8
Chris Archer Rays 61.0

AA Pitchers

Jameson Taillon Pirates 133.0
Taijuan Walker Mariners 125.3
Jesse Biddle Phillies 123.0
Zach Lee Dodgers 115.3
Rafael Montero Mets 106.2
Alex Wood Braves 106.0
Burch Smith Padres 82.3
Casey Sadler Pirates 77.0
Eric Jokisch Cubs 77.0
Kevin Gausman Orioles 74.0
Nick Tropeano Astros 71.0
Adam Conley Marlins 70.3
Erik Johnson White Sox 69.4
Stolmy Pimentel Pirates 68.1
Chad Rogers Reds 67.5
Alex Meyer Twins 67.3
Brian Flynn Marlins 65.7
T.J. House Indians 65.2
Yordano Ventura Royals 64.0
David Holmberg Diamondbacks 63.7

High A Pitchers

Archie Bradley Diamondbacks 153.9
Clayton Blackburn Giants 132.3
Matthew Wisler Padres 113.0
Victor Payano Rangers 112.1
Henry Owens Red Sox 110.0
Edwin Escobar Giants 101.2
Aaron Sanchez Blue Jays 97.3
Corey Black Yankees 94.0
Robbie Ray Nationals 89.0
Shawn Morimando Indians 85.3
Seon Gi Kim Mariners 79.2
Tim Berry Orioles 78.7
Jose Urena Marlins 78.2
Kyle Zimmer Royals 76.0
Zachary Jones Twins 73.7
Robby Rowland Pirates 72.0
A.J. Cole Nationals 70.0
Justin Nicolino Marlins 70.0
Nicholas Kingham Pirates 69.2
Noah Syndergaard Mets 69.0

Low A Pitchers

Roberto Osuna Blue Jays 106.2
Shane Watson Phillies 100.3
Joan Gregorio Giants 93.7
Josh Hader Orioles 90.3
Tyler Glasnow Pirates 83.9
Josh Warner Phillies 82.0
Salvatore Romano Reds 81.9
Gabriel Ynoa Mets 78.0
Gabe Encinas Yankees 77.7
Mauricio Cabrera Braves 77.2
Drew Cisco Reds 76.3
Joe Ross Padres 76.0
Mark Binford Royals 75.2
Max Fried Padres 75.0
Orlando Castro Pirates 73.4
Tyler Pike Mariners 71.0
Myles Jaye White Sox 68.0
Mariano Llorens Cardinals 64.0
Vincent Velasquez Astros 62.7
Jason Garcia Red Sox 62.2