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Top 30 Royals prospects--according to me


Since these are getting posted now that the draft signings have gone down thought I would take a crack at the Royals:

1. Wil Myers - Not too worried about this year's performance.  The injury didn't help matters, still an exceptional bat and to me the best Royals prospect.
2. Bubba Starling - Maybe a little high on him but the potential is pretty amazing.  Based on that I slotted him in at number two.
3. Cheslor Cuthbert - This kid is raking so far and oh so young.  To me he is as good as Sano and I like Sano a lot.  A bit underrated but that will change soon I think.
4. Jake Odorizzi - Was dominating, slowed down a little since his most recent promotion but I think after some adjusting time he will be fine.  Best pitching prospect in Royals system to me.
5. Mike Montgomery - The stuff is still there, inconsistent and shaky at times in Omaha but still going to get his shot in the big league rotation and I think he will be ok at least as a solid #3/#4 arm.
6. Brett Eibner - The injury was a bummer and he has his strikeout worries but I still have high hopes for him.  He has shown power, despite the injury and with some seasoning I think will be a very solid bat.
7. John Lamb - Another injury.  Tommy john.  Next year I look for him to pick up where he left off and put himself back on the "prospect map".
8. Chris Dwyer - Has had some terrible performances but the stuff is legit.  Also has dominated at times.  Hoping he can put it all together, if he did might be the best of the bunch.
9. Elier Hernandez - Big international signing, Royals are assembling quite a deep OF in the milb.
10. Jason Adam - Good numbers, hasn't overwhelmed but is solid and developing nicely.
11. Bryan Brickhouse - 2nd round pick, has strong stuff.
12. Noel Arguelles - Like Adam he has been solid but not overpowering.  Think he might get a crack at a 5th starter's spot sometime down the road.
13. Kelvin Herrera - Putting up great numbers.  KC bullpen is full of great young arms but always room for one more.
14. Clint Robinson - This guy just hits.  Old for a prospect, not very athletic but he deserves a chance somewhere.
15. Yordano Ventura - Serious fastball, has some very nice potential.
16. David Lough - Underrated OFer, unfortunately the OF is pretty full.  Always puts up solid numbers, hope he gets a shot at a starting job if not in KC somewhere.
17. Cam Callagher - 2011 pick with 20-25 HR potential in MLB, Napoli comps.
18. Christian Colon - Maybe this is low I am just very unimpressed with Colon.  Don't see him as a MLB regular.
19. Kyle Smith - 2011 pick with great curveball.
20. Jeremy Jeffress - Starting to lose some faith in Jeffress.  Believe he was being used as a starter for a bit in Omaha but can't seem to get it together.  Hope he does.
21. Kevin Chapman - 2010 pick pitching well so far.
22. Jarrod Dyson - The speed and defense!  But he just can't hit.  Can't see him being more than a 4th OFer in the bigs but if he could get on base more he would be something.
23. Cesar Ogando - Puerto Rican lefty only 18 flashes a 94 MPH fastball.  Really liked this pick.
24. Greg Billo - Has to be included because of the numbers he is putting up.  Doesn't seem to impress scouts but he is doing something right.
25. Jake Junis - KC shelled out 675k to sign him, a two-way player but looks like he has the most potential on the mound.
26. Derrick Robinson - Another 4th OFer type.  He can hit more than Dyson but not enough I fear.
27. Adalberto Mondesi - Son of Raul, 2 million bonus.  Basically including him because of that.  A lottery ticket.
28. Patrick Leonard - 2011 draftee.
29. Jeff Bianchi - A solid middle infielder, doesn't wow you but could useful.
30. Edwin Carl - Had to do it.  Hadn't heard of him until today to be honest but the guy has 19 K's per 9, an undrafted free agent.  Cinderella story--Why not?

 


Star-divide

Promoted or over limit so not included on list: Salvador Perez, Lorenzo Cain, Johnny Giavotella, Eric Hosmer, Mike Moustakas, Danny Duffy, Everett Teaford, Tim Collins, Louis Coleman, Aaron Crow, Greg Holland,

Hope I didn't stupidly forget someone.  This is my first list and most of this comes from the great reports I read on here, Royals Review, Pine Tar Press, etc etc.  I'm obviously no scout.  Considering the list of 10+ names graduated Royals still have a pretty solid farm although not going to be the consensus number one again, ah well.

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Comments

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Thoughts

- I have Starling over Myers at this point. Starling plays the premium position and I can’t completely ignore Myers’ disappointing year.

- I’d probably have recent draft signings Jack Lopez and Mark Binford on somewhere in the 15-30 range. All three were $600+ signings, which typically can be used as a decent proxy for upside.

Overall this system obviously lost some high-end talent to MLB promotions, but it is very deep right now. Hopefully the Royals take their time developing this next wave.

by deezle on Aug 17, 2025 6:08 PM EDT reply actions  

why do you think Myers had had such a disappointing year?

Do you think he’s still injured? Or do you not like him because he has not yet developed as much power as originally anticipated? He’s still way closer to the majors than Starling, I would take Myers.

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by The Congo Hammer on Aug 18, 2025 5:56 PM EDT up reply actions  

he doesn't look hurt

He’s just a young player who has been promoted aggressively. He’s needed some time to adjust to the competition and to find better consistency with his swing. He’s got a great package of tools and skills at the plate, although I think he’ll be more of a power hitter than a contact guy.

by mrkupe on Aug 18, 2025 7:31 PM EDT up reply actions  

Jeffress at 20?

Just can’t see that. He has proved that he can get major leaguers out as a reliever. And that to me is far more valuable than potential MLB utility guys like Lough and Robinson.

Mourning Guy Carbonneau...
Royals obscure player to watch in ST: Lenny DiNardo

by playingwithfire on Aug 17, 2025 6:33 PM EDT reply actions  

+1

Mike Trout- The Man, The NOW, The Legend

by miketrout on Aug 17, 2025 6:46 PM EDT up reply actions  

No he hasn't...

He has 25 IP in the MLB, during which he’s been pretty awful with a K/BB perilously close to 1. He’s yet to prove he’s a competent MLB reliever…and that’s a pretty low bar.

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by Franchise887 on Aug 17, 2025 9:06 PM EDT up reply actions  

yeah...i think jeffres at 20 is too high...

honestly, i wouldnt have him in the top 30 right now

Fire Everyone

by billybeingbilly on Aug 17, 2025 10:24 PM EDT up reply actions  

Can't tell if sarcasm or not.

Mourning Guy Carbonneau...
Royals obscure player to watch in ST: Lenny DiNardo

by playingwithfire on Aug 18, 2025 1:05 AM EDT up reply actions  

not at all...

his ceiling is as a reliever…and thats looking very questionable right now…and he’s not young

Fire Everyone

by billybeingbilly on Aug 18, 2025 3:40 AM EDT up reply actions  

And what has Lough and Robinson done in the majors?

Jeffress wasn’t murdered in the majors. Robinson and Lough are not highly rated for a reason, nobody project either to be MLB starter, Jeffress can at least be a 7th inning guy if he can semi-harness his stuff. Robinson and Lough are pretty much as good as they’ll be right now.

Mourning Guy Carbonneau...
Royals obscure player to watch in ST: Lenny DiNardo

by playingwithfire on Aug 18, 2025 1:05 AM EDT up reply actions  

I can see the argument that Jeffress might be low

but think you are selling Lough and Robinson a little short. Both could be MLB regulars in the right situation I think. Jeffress has big potential but has been a mess in both the majors and minors this year. Lough and Robinson have posted consistently good numbers. Robinson could be blasting away Adam Dunn’s numbers at about 1/40th of his salary so I think he could find a DH/backup 1B gig somewhere in the league. Right now I think Jeffress has an uphill battle to a significant pitching role.

by royalrevenge on Aug 18, 2025 1:16 AM EDT up reply actions  

Robinson is 26

and doing basically what Kila Kaaihue did in his first AAA season. Kila was only 24 then. Older players smashing up AAA isn’t anything special. Lough has been basically league average in AAA for 2 full season now, I don’t see where the upside is. Jeffress has an uphill battle but we need to account for tools somewhere in the equation. And Jeffress’ ceiling is far higher than either Lough or Robinson. It wasn’t that long ago when Greinke stopped pitching and wanted to be a SS. Jeffress’ problem is curable, even if it seems less likely by the day.

I guess I just don’t see any reason to be excited about Lough and Robinson, agree to disagree I guess. I would also argue that Odorizzi is the best prospect in the system.

Mourning Guy Carbonneau...
Royals obscure player to watch in ST: Lenny DiNardo

by playingwithfire on Aug 18, 2025 1:32 AM EDT up reply actions  

Depends how you look at it

From a WAR stand point? Sure. As far as acquiring the two players, a good 7th inning guy will be more difficult to attain.

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by Jeff Reese on Aug 18, 2025 8:33 AM EDT up reply actions  

the 3rd best pitcher out of the bullpen?

c’mon…how many teams dont have 3 good relievers? a team is going to have one of their outfielders go down for a extended period of time…its more important to have a guy who can come in and not embarrass himself for a few weeks than it is to have a 7th inning guy….and 7th inning guys arent hard to find…dayton moore isnt any sort of genius, and he’s had no problems finding good relievers for nothing…they’ve got 4 capable ROOKIE relievers right now…not including collins…1 of them, crow, was a high draft pick…the rest were nothing…he’s got a couple more possible dominant relievers ready or near ready

Fire Everyone

by billybeingbilly on Aug 19, 2025 3:17 AM EDT up reply actions  

Speaking of as a reliever

Why the hell do they have him starting in the Texas League?

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by Jeff Reese on Aug 17, 2025 9:07 PM EDT up reply actions  

Perhaps

Just seems odd that they’d make that move. I’m not sure how much utility there is in having him go 3-4 innings and attempt to keep the walks under 4 every time out.

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by Jeff Reese on Aug 17, 2025 9:33 PM EDT up reply actions  

Edwin Carl

I’ve never heard of Carl before so I looked him up on FG.
His FIP is -0.65. That’s not a typo. NEGATIVE zero point six five

Midnight, behind the box. I'll be the Hyena . . . you'll see.

by VetteZR1 on Aug 18, 2025 5:34 AM EDT reply actions  

Good as he may be...we had a good laugh about that a couple of days ago...

on the daily post for 8/16, I think? Carl actually has the power to take away runs!

by dbreer23 on Aug 18, 2025 11:09 PM EDT up reply actions  

Jorge Bonifacio

I’d take him over a number of guys on the back of this list.

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by Jeff Reese on Aug 18, 2025 8:35 AM EDT reply actions  

Good catch

Bonifacio has to be in the top 20 at least.

by deezle on Aug 18, 2025 9:58 AM EDT up reply actions  

Bonifacio

Yeah, missed him. Also I forgot to include Rey Navarro he should be somewhere in the 20’s I’d say as well.

by royalrevenge on Aug 18, 2025 1:30 PM EDT up reply actions  

I would as well

still very raw but is legit in CF and has a boat load of power.

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by doublestix on Aug 18, 2025 8:02 PM EDT via mobile up reply actions  

why bother

Frenchy will just get an extension til 2020 anyway

by royalrevenge on Aug 18, 2025 11:43 PM EDT up reply actions  

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