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Dansby Swanson community projection results

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Here’s what the Minor League Ball Community foresees for the young Braves shortstop

MLB: Washington Nationals at Atlanta Braves Brett Davis-USA TODAY Sports

We had nine entries for the Minor League Ball Community Projection for Atlanta Braves shortstop Dansby Swanson. Here are the results:

149 games, 544 at-bats, 84 runs, 160 hits, 27 doubles, 4 triples, 12 homers, 57 walks, 94 strikeouts, 14 steals, 5 caught stealing, 4 HBP, slash line .293/.364/.424.

By way of comparison, here are the results from the sophisticated projection systems:
Steamer: 138 games, 535 at-bats, 66 runs, 138 hits, 27 doubles, 4 triples, 13 homers, 47 walks, 120 strikeouts, 9 steals, 5 caught, slash line .259/.322/.395

ZIPS: 133 games, 521 at-bats, 71 runs, 132 hits, 28 doubles, 7 triples, 12 homers, 51 walks, 123 strikeouts, 7 steals, 2 caught, slash line .253/.323/.403

PECOTA: 562 at-bats, 76 runs, 139 hits, 27 doubles, 4 triples, 16 homers, 55 walks, 141 strikeouts, 6 steals, 2 caught, slash line .254/.326/.408



The community projection is more bullish on Swanson’s ability to hit for average, steal bases, and make contact, while the objective systems project less speed, more strikeouts, and higher isolated power. It will be highly interesting to see which view turns out to be most accurate.