A popular feature early in the development of Minor League Ball was the “Community projection.” So far for 2017 we’ve done Andrew Benintendi of the Boston Red Sox, Josh Bell of the Pittsburgh Pirates, and Gary Sanchez of the New York Yankees. We’ll do a few more hitters then switch to some pitchers.
The concept is simple: I name a player, and you give me the statistics you expect him to post in 2017 in the comment thread below. Then when we get a fair number of entries we tally it all up, then compare it to what actually happens and see how we did in comparison to reality, as well as in comparison to the projections run by more sophisticated systems (ZIPS, PECOTA, etc.)
Today let’s do Dansby Swanson of the Atlanta Braves. For purposes of this exercise, assume that his current day-to-day back problems do not cost him much playing time for 2017.
Project the following numbers for Swanson for 2017:
games, at-bats, runs, hits, doubles, triples, homers, walks, strikeouts, HBP, steals, caught stealing.
I will calculate the resulting slash line on a spreadsheet if you don’t want to do it yourself.