Here's a Crystal Ball, by reader request, for Baltimore Orioles right-hander Kevin Gausman.
The Crystal Ball is NOT a PREDICTION in the sense of me saying "this is how the guy will turn out." The idea is to generate discussion about a player by presenting one possible outcome for his career, based on what we currently know about him.
It is not just thrown together; I try to make them logical, based on the outcomes of players who were similar at the same stage of their career. Sometimes a CB represents a maximal outcome, sometimes it is more of a middle ground.
I love Gausman and you could easily draw a much more optimistic scenario than this, in terms of peak ability, though I'm not sure about longevity.
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Kevin Gausman |
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Year |
Team |
G |
GS |
IP |
H |
R |
ER |
W |
L |
ERA |
K |
BB |
SV |
Age |
K/9 |
BB/9 |
H/9 |
2013 |
Orioles |
20 |
5 |
47.667 |
51 |
30 |
30 |
3 |
5 |
5.66 |
49 |
13 |
0 |
22 |
9.25 |
2.45 |
9.63 |
2014 |
Orioles |
20 |
20 |
113.33 |
111 |
48 |
45 |
7 |
7 |
3.57 |
88 |
38 |
0 |
23 |
6.99 |
3.02 |
8.81 |
2015 |
Orioles |
25 |
17 |
112.33 |
109 |
56 |
53 |
4 |
7 |
4.25 |
103 |
29 |
0 |
24 |
8.25 |
2.32 |
8.73 |
2016 |
Orioles |
30 |
30 |
179.67 |
183 |
76 |
72 |
9 |
12 |
3.61 |
174 |
47 |
0 |
25 |
8.72 |
2.35 |
9.17 |
2017 |
Orioles |
28 |
28 |
180 |
173 |
73 |
67 |
11 |
9 |
3.35 |
183 |
55 |
0 |
26 |
9.15 |
2.75 |
8.65 |
2018 |
Orioles |
32 |
32 |
209 |
197 |
80 |
74 |
15 |
10 |
3.19 |
190 |
59 |
0 |
27 |
8.18 |
2.54 |
8.48 |
2019 |
Orioles |
22 |
22 |
134 |
127 |
69 |
65 |
7 |
9 |
4.37 |
142 |
45 |
0 |
28 |
9.54 |
3.02 |
8.53 |
2020 |
Orioles |
30 |
30 |
184 |
176 |
76 |
73 |
13 |
11 |
3.57 |
168 |
56 |
0 |
29 |
8.22 |
2.74 |
8.61 |
2021 |
Giants |
33 |
33 |
225 |
199 |
70 |
68 |
16 |
10 |
2.72 |
179 |
57 |
0 |
30 |
7.16 |
2.28 |
7.96 |
2022 |
Giants |
27 |
25 |
167 |
172 |
90 |
87 |
8 |
9 |
4.69 |
142 |
47 |
1 |
31 |
7.65 |
2.53 |
9.27 |
2023 |
Giants |
29 |
29 |
177 |
169 |
69 |
65 |
12 |
8 |
3.31 |
152 |
45 |
0 |
32 |
7.73 |
2.29 |
8.59 |
2024 |
Giants |
32 |
32 |
200 |
210 |
90 |
87 |
14 |
11 |
3.92 |
167 |
50 |
0 |
33 |
7.52 |
2.25 |
9.45 |
2025 |
Giants |
15 |
15 |
89 |
83 |
33 |
33 |
5 |
5 |
3.34 |
67 |
18 |
0 |
34 |
6.78 |
1.82 |
8.39 |
2026 |
Giants |
16 |
4 |
42 |
44 |
25 |
25 |
2 |
3 |
5.36 |
38 |
20 |
0 |
35 |
8.14 |
4.29 |
9.43 |
2027 |
Twins |
27 |
20 |
122 |
98 |
57 |
54 |
10 |
3 |
3.98 |
81 |
20 |
2 |
36 |
5.98 |
1.48 |
7.23 |
2028 |
Twins |
11 |
8 |
47 |
56 |
33 |
33 |
2 |
5 |
6.32 |
28 |
21 |
0 |
37 |
5.36 |
4.02 |
10.7 |
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397 |
350 |
2229 |
2158 |
975 |
931 |
138 |
124 |
3.76 |
1951 |
620 |
3 |
472 |
7.88 |
2.5 |
8.71 |
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