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Crystal Ball: Kevin Gausman, RHP, Baltimore Orioles

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Rick Osentoski-USA TODAY Sports

Here's a Crystal Ball, by reader request, for Baltimore Orioles right-hander Kevin Gausman.

The Crystal Ball is NOT a PREDICTION in the sense of me saying "this is how the guy will turn out." The idea is to generate discussion about a player by presenting one possible outcome for his career, based on what we currently know about him.

It is not just thrown together; I try to make them logical, based on the outcomes of players who were similar at the same stage of their career. Sometimes a CB represents a maximal outcome, sometimes it is more of a middle ground.

I love Gausman and you could easily draw a much more optimistic scenario than this, in terms of peak ability, though I'm not sure about longevity.

Kevin Gausman
Year Team G GS IP H R ER W L ERA K BB SV Age K/9 BB/9 H/9
2013 Orioles 20 5 47.667 51 30 30 3 5 5.66 49 13 0 22 9.25 2.45 9.63
2014 Orioles 20 20 113.33 111 48 45 7 7 3.57 88 38 0 23 6.99 3.02 8.81
2015 Orioles 25 17 112.33 109 56 53 4 7 4.25 103 29 0 24 8.25 2.32 8.73
2016 Orioles 30 30 179.67 183 76 72 9 12 3.61 174 47 0 25 8.72 2.35 9.17
2017 Orioles 28 28 180 173 73 67 11 9 3.35 183 55 0 26 9.15 2.75 8.65
2018 Orioles 32 32 209 197 80 74 15 10 3.19 190 59 0 27 8.18 2.54 8.48
2019 Orioles 22 22 134 127 69 65 7 9 4.37 142 45 0 28 9.54 3.02 8.53
2020 Orioles 30 30 184 176 76 73 13 11 3.57 168 56 0 29 8.22 2.74 8.61
2021 Giants 33 33 225 199 70 68 16 10 2.72 179 57 0 30 7.16 2.28 7.96
2022 Giants 27 25 167 172 90 87 8 9 4.69 142 47 1 31 7.65 2.53 9.27
2023 Giants 29 29 177 169 69 65 12 8 3.31 152 45 0 32 7.73 2.29 8.59
2024 Giants 32 32 200 210 90 87 14 11 3.92 167 50 0 33 7.52 2.25 9.45
2025 Giants 15 15 89 83 33 33 5 5 3.34 67 18 0 34 6.78 1.82 8.39
2026 Giants 16 4 42 44 25 25 2 3 5.36 38 20 0 35 8.14 4.29 9.43
2027 Twins 27 20 122 98 57 54 10 3 3.98 81 20 2 36 5.98 1.48 7.23
2028 Twins 11 8 47 56 33 33 2 5 6.32 28 21 0 37 5.36 4.02 10.7
397 350 2229 2158 975 931 138 124 3.76 1951 620 3 472 7.88 2.5 8.71