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Crystal Ball: Javier Baez, Chicago Cubs

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Caylor Arnold-USA TODAY Sports

By reader request, here is a Crystal Ball for Chicago Cubs infielder Javier Baez.

The Crystal Ball is NOT a PREDICTION in the sense of me saying "this is how the guy will turn out." The idea is to generate discussion about a player by presenting one possible outcome for his career, based on what we currently know about him.

It is not just thrown together; I try to make them logical, based on the outcomes of players who were similar at the same stage of their career. Sometimes a CB represents a maximal outcome, sometimes it is more of a middle ground.

What do you think of this one? Can you spot the free agent signings, the injuries, and the trades?

In Baez' case the big question is how much his aggressive approach will hold him back.

Javier Baez
Year Team G AB R H 2B 3B HR RBI BB K BA OBP SLG SB HBP Age
2014 Cubs 52 213 25 36 6 0 9 20 15 95 0.169 0.227 0.324 5 1 21
2015 Cubs 28 76 4 22 6 0 1 4 4 24 0.289 0.325 0.408 1 0 22
2016 Cubs 142 421 50 115 19 1 14 59 15 108 0.273 0.315 0.423 12 11 23
2017 Cubs 149 478 62 119 24 2 19 72 21 124 0.249 0.292 0.427 15 8 24
2018 Cubs 152 529 71 134 33 3 24 84 25 133 0.253 0.301 0.463 18 11 25
2019 Cubs 33 125 11 29 5 0 6 11 3 22 0.232 0.262 0.416 3 2 26
2020 Cubs 156 578 84 165 41 4 31 97 31 149 0.285 0.337 0.531 11 14 27
2021 Cubs 149 518 71 138 28 3 24 94 28 148 0.266 0.319 0.471 8 12 28
2022 Yankees 133 452 69 119 25 3 21 86 31 152 0.263 0.323 0.471 6 9 29
2023 Yankees 157 578 87 174 33 2 27 109 42 148 0.301 0.364 0.505 5 15 30
2024 Yankees 152 569 83 144 28 1 25 90 33 142 0.253 0.308 0.438 4 12 31
2025 Yankees 72 278 33 68 22 0 13 40 12 71 0.245 0.288 0.464 2 5 32
2026 Yankees 103 378 50 113 18 1 9 49 20 90 0.299 0.346 0.423 2 7 33
2027 Yankees 124 432 61 115 22 0 16 61 18 74 0.266 0.309 0.428 3 9 34
Rockies 27 99 7 16 6 2 3 12 3 22 0.162 0.194 0.354 0 1
2028 Rays 134 425 52 109 22 0 18 84 21 102 0.256 0.309 0.435 2 11 35
2029 Rays 73 256 31 77 13 2 8 31 8 52 0.301 0.335 0.461 1 5 36
Indians 63 241 37 59 14 1 11 42 15 49 0.245 0.297 0.448 0 3
2030 Nationals 45 115 11 27 8 0 3 12 5 19 0.235 0.279 0.383 0 2 37
1944 6761 899 1779 373 25 282 1057 350 1724 0.263 0.313 0.451 98 138