Carlos Correa's major league career is a little over three weeks old now, 22 games in the Show with the Houston Astros. I am currently working on a revised Top 100 Prospects list for mid-season and Correa is likely to exceed rookie eligibility limits by that time, moving off the list as a result. Since rookies and prospects are our main focus there will be fewer opportunities to write about him, so I want to weigh in on Correa one final time before he's considered a star and not a rookie.
Through 22 games, Correa is hitting .287/.309/.503 with five homers, nine doubles, wRC+136, four steals in four attempts, and has already racked up 1.2 fWAR. The only fly in the ointment is a 3/20 BB/K ratio but that's hardly hurt him so far.
This is probably the easiest bit of analysis I've written this year and hardly a revelation, but Correa's first three weeks are totally for real and not a fluke in any way. He'll need to make some adjustments at some point once the pitchers get a better look at him, but given the totality of his amateur and professional career and his stellar makeup, it seems extremely likely that any necessary adjustments will be made.
We should expect Correa to be one of the greatest players of his generation. I think the only thing that could stop that would be a serious injury (always a risk) or a collapse of his work ethic (which seems very unlikely given what we know about him).
Yes, such elevated expectations can be a great burden, but Correa seems to have the psychology to handle them.
Enjoy the ride.