2013 MLB Draft: Draft Age of High School Prospects

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The age of prospects at each level has a high correlation to future success. Here are the draft ages of the top high school prospects in the 2013 draft.

By Matt Garrioch@mattgarrioch Feb 26, 2013, 7:52am EST

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Looking at age is a big deal with prospecting. In the research I have done, Age to level has the strongest correlation to major league success compared to any other statistic. It is stronger in hitters compared to pitchers but it is still strong.

The most well known study on applying this to the draft was done by Rany Jazayerli that you can read here and here.

The data fell into almost perfectly equal sized tiers in his study. This is no longer the case. This year, I used what I see as the prep prospects that will likely fall into my top 300 prospects. It ended up being 164 players.

Using the same dates he did, it looked like this.

61 Very Old

36 Old

25 Average

31 Young

11 Very Young

I wanted to balance it out with current data. Here is how it looked:

22 One deviation older than average

33 From one deviation older to one half of a deviation older than average

55 One half older to one have younger than average

22 From one half younger than average to one deviation younger

32 One Deviation Younger than Average

I feel that this is more representative of how to value these players but for arguments sake, I will post both values.

Name	Pos.	Rany- Age	Draft Age	Age
Anfernee Grier	OF	Very Young	17.78	Very Young
Cal Quantrill	P	Very Young	17.81	Very Young
Terry McClure	OF	Very Young	17.82	Very Young
Christian Pelaez	P	Very Young	17.83	Very Young
Francis Christy	C	Very Young	17.90	Very Young
Silento Sayles	SS	Very Young	17.91	Very Young
Casey Shane	P	Very Young	17.92	Very Young
Justin Williams	OF	Very Young	17.93	Very Young
Steve Farinaro	P	Very Young	17.94	Very Young
Blake Taylor	P	Very Young	17.94	Very Young
Nick Longhi	1B	Very Young	17.94	Very Young
Wesley Jones	3B	Young	17.95	Very Young
Nicholas Buckner	OF	Young	17.96	Very Young
Riley Unroe	SS	Young	17.98	Very Young
Jacob Heyward	P	Young	17.98	Very Young
Matt Vogel	P	Young	18.00	Very Young
Tanner Draper	P	Young	18.00	Very Young
Trey Lee Cobb	P	Young	18.03	Very Young
Cody Bellinger	1B	Young	18.04	Very Young
Hunter Green	P	Young	18.04	Very Young
K.J. Woods	OF	Young	18.05	Very Young
Anthony (AJ) Balta	2B	Young	18.05	Very Young
Jae Roberts	3B	Young	18.06	Very Young
Joseph Starling	P	Young	18.07	Very Young
Tucker Neuhaus	SS	Young	18.10	Very Young
Robert Tyler	P	Young	18.10	Very Young
Dominic Smith	1B	Young	18.11	Very Young
Torii Hunter	OF	Young	18.13	Very Young
Taylor Blatch	OF	Young	18.14	Very Young
Jordan Sheffield	P	Young	18.15	Very Young
Christian Arroyo	SS	Young	18.16	Very Young
Mark Ecker	P	Young	18.16	Young
Jake Fraley	OF	Young	18.17	Young
Casey Meisner	P	Young	18.18	Young
Trevor Clifton	P	Young	18.21	Young
Matthew Thaiss	C	Young	18.22	Young
Chris Kohler	P	Young	18.23	Young
Elliott Barzilli	SS	Young	18.23	Young
Austin Meadows	OF	Young	18.23	Young
Tyler Alamo	C	Young	18.23	Young
A.j. Bogucki	P	Young	18.23	Young
Eric Williams	OF	Average	18.25	Young
A.J. Puk	P	Average	18.25	Young
Juan Escarra	3B	Average	18.25	Young
Matthew McPhearson	OF	Average	18.27	Young
Kean Wong	3B	Average	18.27	Young
Stephen Alemais	SS	Average	18.29	Young
Cavan Biggio	3B	Average	18.29	Young
Trevin Haseltine	P	Average	18.30	Young
Max Knutson	P	Average	18.32	Young
Andrew Harrington	P	Average	18.32	Young
Dalton Duty	2B	Average	18.33	Young
Willie Abreu	OF	Average	18.35	Young
Mason Smith	OF	Average	18.36	Average
Arden Pabst	C	Average	18.37	Average
Jordon Austin	OF	Average	18.37	Average
Keegan Thompson	P	Average	18.37	Average
Adrian De Horta	P	Average	18.37	Average
Chris Rivera	SS	Average	18.38	Average
Nick Ciuffo	C	Average	18.39	Average
Reese McGuire	C	Average	18.40	Average
Hunter Jarmon	OF	Average	18.40	Average
Trey Michalczewski	3B	Average	18.41	Average
Jack Roberts	P	Average	18.42	Average
Ian Clarkin	P	Average	18.44	Average
Zack Collins	1B	Average	18.47	Average
Marcus Doi	OF	Old	18.49	Average
Ryan Kirby	OF	Old	18.50	Average
Dominic Nunez	2B	Old	18.52	Average
Jason Sierra	OF	Old	18.52	Average
John Paul Crawford	SS	Old	18.54	Average
Brett Morales	P	Old	18.54	Average
Eugene Vazquez	OF	Old	18.54	Average
Jordan Howard	P	Old	18.55	Average
Jan Hernandez	3B	Old	18.56	Average
Jared Brasher	P	Old	18.56	Average
Cord Sandberg	OF	Old	18.56	Average
Chris Okey	C	Old	18.57	Average
Jeremy Martinez	C	Old	18.57	Average
Brian Navarreto	C	Old	18.57	Average
Logan Shore	P	Old	18.58	Average
Clinton Hollon	P	Old	18.59	Average
Spencer Trayner	3B	Old	18.59	Average
Oscar Mercado	SS	Old	18.61	Average
Chuckie Robinson	C	Old	18.61	Average
Ryan McMahon	3B	Old	18.61	Average
Andy Honiotes	P	Old	18.62	Average
Sheldon Neuse	SS	Old	18.62	Average
Hunter Harvey	P	Old	18.63	Average
Jonah Wesely	P	Old	18.63	Average
Pete Alonso	3B	Old	18.63	Average
Andy McGuire	SS	Old	18.65	Average
Gunnar McNeill	1B	Old	18.65	Average
Brennon Lund	OF	Old	18.66	Average
Mark Armstrong	P	Old	18.66	Average
Kevin Franklin	3B	Old	18.67	Average
Kevin Davis	P	Old	18.67	Average
Carlos Salazar	P	Old	18.67	Average
Ryan Boldt	OF	Old	18.67	Average
Nick Banks	OF	Old	18.68	Average
Nick Banks	OF	Old	18.68	Average
Ian McKinney	P	Old	18.68	Average
Anthony Sherlag	C	Very Old	18.69	Average
Brantley Bell	SS	Very Old	18.69	Average
Will Craig	P	Very Old	18.69	Average
Alex Bostic	P	Very Old	18.70	Average
Jordan Paroubeck	OF	Very Old	18.73	Average
Derik Beauprez	P	Very Old	18.73	Average
Rowdy Tellez	1B	Very Old	18.75	Old
Dane McFarland	OF	Very Old	18.75	Old
Carlos Williams	OF	Very Old	18.75	Old
Taylor Widener	OF	Very Old	18.75	Old
Michael Barash	C	Very Old	18.79	Old
Dustin Driver	P	Very Old	18.79	Old
Connor Jones	P	Very Old	18.79	Old
Alec Hanson	P	Very Old	18.79	Old
John Pomeroy	P	Very Old	18.79	Old
Gosuke Katoh	2B	Very Old	18.80	Old
Stephen Wrenn	OF	Very Old	18.80	Old
Kohl Stewart	P	Very Old	18.80	Old
Josh Hart	OF	Very Old	18.81	Old
Jarret DeHart	OF	Very Old	18.81	Old
Travis Demeritte	3B	Very Old	18.82	Old
Danny Zardon	3B	Very Old	18.82	Old
Thomas Hatch	P	Very Old	18.82	Old
Jonathan Denney	C	Very Old	18.82	Old
Dominic Taccolini	P	Very Old	18.82	Old
Corey Ray	OF	Very Old	18.84	Old
John Sternagel	3B	Very Old	18.84	Old
Devin Williams	P	Very Old	18.84	Old
Kramer Robertson	SS	Very Old	18.85	Old
Tres Barrera	3B	Very Old	18.86	Old
Garrett Williams	P	Very Old	18.86	Old
Ronnie Healy	C	Very Old	18.87	Old
Tyler Danish	P	Very Old	18.87	Old
Wil Crowe	P	Very Old	18.88	Old
Andrew Kelley	P	Very Old	18.88	Old
Clint Frazier	OF	Very Old	18.88	Old
Ian Hagenmiller	3B	Very Old	18.89	Old
Robert Kaminsky	P	Very Old	18.90	Old
Billy McKinney	OF	Very Old	18.92	Old
Chris Oakley	P	Very Old	18.93	Very Old
Brett Binning	SS	Very Old	18.96	Very Old
Ben DeLuzio	3B	Very Old	18.96	Very Old
Keenan Innis	OF	Very Old	18.98	Very Old
Joe Martarano	3B	Very Old	18.99	Very Old
Kacy Clemens	P	Very Old	19.00	Very Old
Zach Farmer	P	Very Old	19.00	Very Old
Austin Sexton	P	Very Old	19.02	Very Old
Stephen Gonsalves	P	Very Old	19.05	Very Old
Connor Heady	SS	Very Old	19.06	Very Old
Trey Ball	OF	Very Old	19.08	Very Old
Sean Brady	P	Very Old	19.13	Very Old
Ryder Jones	P	Very Old	19.13	Very Old
Ryley MacEachern	P	Very Old	19.16	Very Old
Logan Koch	C	Very Old	19.17	Very Old
John Kilichowski	P	Very Old	19.19	Very Old
Dalton Dulin	2B	Very Old	19.21	Very Old
Billy Roth	OF	Very Old	19.22	Very Old
Kort Peterson	OF	Very Old	19.24	Very Old
John Riley	C	Very Old	19.44	Very Old
Bernardo Bonifacio	OF	Very Old	19.48	Very Old
Corey Simpson	1B	Very Old	19.63	Very Old

Some very good player fit in each category but if you are looking for someone to promote more just because of age, there are a few that are obvious. I didn't go into detail about any specific players here, there are simply too many, but if you have questions about anyone specific, I'll answer in the comments.

UPDATED to show ages for prep players in my top 400 prospects

Name	POS	Pos. #2	AGE 7-21-13	Draft age
Josh Van Meter	SS		17.77	Very Young
Zach Rice	P	1B	17.78	Very Young
Anfernee Grier	OF	RHP	17.79	Very Young
Jake Bauers	1B		17.81	Very Young
Cal Quantrill	P		17.82	Very Young
Terry McClure	OF		17.83	Very Young
Chris Viall	P		17.83	Very Young
Christian Pelaez	P		17.83	Very Young
Eric Smith	P		17.86	Very Young
Francis Christy	C	OF	17.90	Very Young
lolana Akau	C		17.91	Very Young
Silento Sayles	OF	SS	17.92	Very Young
Lachlan Fontaine	3B		17.92	Very Young
Josh Greene	OF		17.92	Very Young
Casey Shane	P		17.93	Very Young
Justin Williams	OF	3B	17.94	Very Young
Steve Farinaro	P		17.94	Very Young
Blake Taylor	P		17.95	Very Young
Nick Longhi	1B	P	17.95	Very Young
Wesley Jones	3B	RHP	17.96	Very Young
Nick Buckner	OF		17.97	Very Young
Hunter Simmons	3B	OF	17.97	Very Young
Riley Unroe	SS	RHP	17.98	Very Young
Daulton Jefferies	P	SS	17.99	Very Young
Jacob Heyward	OF	3B	17.99	Very Young
Matt Vogel	P	SS	18.00	Very Young
Tanner Draper	P	OF	18.00	Very Young
Demetrius Sims	SS		18.04	Very Young
Trey Lee Cobb	P	IF	18.04	Very Young
Cody Bellinger	1B	P	18.04	Very Young
Alec Bettinger	P		18.04	Very Young
Hunter Green	P	OF	18.04	Very Young
Phil Bickford	P	1B	18.05	Very Young
K.J. Woods	OF	1B	18.05	Very Young
A.J. Balta	2B	OF	18.05	Very Young
Kyle Serrano	P		18.06	Very Young
Jae Roberts	3B	RHP	18.07	Very Young
Joseph Starling	P	1B	18.08	Very Young
Tyler O'Neil	C		18.10	Very Young
Aldo Koutsoyanopulos	3B	OF	18.11	Very Young
Robert Tyler	P	OF	18.11	Very Young
Tucker Neuhaus	3B		18.11	Very Young
Jamie Westbrook	SS	3B	18.11	Very Young
Dominic Smith	1B	P	18.12	Very Young
Patrick Murphy	P		18.13	Very Young
Bryce Welborn	P	MIF	18.14	Very Young
Torii Hunter	OF		18.14	Very Young
Heath Quinn	OF		18.14	Very Young
M.T. Minacci	SS	RHP	18.14	Very Young
Taylor Blatch	OF	P	18.14	Very Young
Billy Roth	OF	RHP	18.15	Young
Thomas Rogers	P	1B	18.15	Young
Eric Lauer	P		18.15	Young
Jordan Sheffield	P	SS	18.16	Young
Christian Arroyo	SS	3B	18.16	Young
Mark Ecker	P	SS	18.17	Young
Logan Ice	C		18.17	Young
Ivan Wilson	OF		18.17	Young
Jake Fraley	OF	1B	18.18	Young
Casey Meisner	P		18.18	Young
Trevor Clifton	P	OF	18.21	Young
Matthew Thaiss	C	OF	18.23	Young
Chad Sheppard	P		18.23	Young
Akeem Bostick	P	OF	18.23	Young
Chris Kohler	P	OF	18.23	Young
Austin Meadows	OF	LHP	18.24	Young
Elliott Barzilli	SS	OF	18.24	Young
Tyler Alamo	C	IF	18.24	Young
A.J. Bogucki	P	3B	18.24	Young
Malik Collymore	2B		18.25	Young
A.J. Puk	P	1B	18.26	Young
Eric Williams	OF	RHP	18.26	Young
Juan Escarra	3B	1B	18.26	Young
Matthew McPhearson	OF		18.28	Young
Jesse Roth	P		18.28	Young
Kean Wong	3B	C	18.28	Young
Stephen Alemais	SS		18.29	Young
Cavan Biggio	3B	2B	18.30	Young
Trevin Haseltine	P	3B	18.30	Young
Max Knutson	P	OF	18.32	Young
Andrew Harrington	P	1B	18.33	Young
Dalton Duty	2B	RHP	18.34	Young
Willie Abreu	OF	LHP	18.35	Average
Ed Voyles	P		18.36	Average
Jim Voyles	P		18.36	Average
Mason Smith	OF		18.37	Average
Arden Pabst	C	3B	18.37	Average
Jordon Austin	OF	3B	18.37	Average
Keegan Thompson	P	SS	18.38	Average
Adrian De Horta	P		18.38	Average
Chris Rivera	SS	RHP	18.38	Average
Nick Ciuffo	C	1B	18.39	Average
Jamar Burnette	OF		18.40	Average
Reese McGuire	C	3B	18.41	Average
Hunter Jarmon	OF	1B	18.41	Average
Colin Winters	OF	LHP	18.41	Average
Trey Michalczewski	3B	RHP	18.41	Average
Jack Roberts	P	1B	18.43	Average
Hunter Mercado-Hood	OF		18.44	Average
Ian Clarkin	P	1B	18.45	Average
Zack Collins	1B	C	18.47	Average
Marcus Doi	OF		18.49	Average
Andrew Rosa	SS		18.49	Average
Tom Milone	OF		18.50	Average
Ryan Kirby	OF	1B	18.50	Average
Aubrey McCarty	1B	P	18.51	Average
Preston Palmeiro	3B	OF	18.51	Average
Daniel Williams	OF		18.52	Average
Dominic Nunez	C	2B	18.53	Average
Joe Alexander Jimenez	P		18.53	Average
David Denson	1B	P	18.53	Average
Jason Sierra	OF	1B	18.53	Average
John Paul Crawford	SS	OF	18.54	Average
Brett Morales	P	2B	18.55	Average
Eugene Vazquez	OF	1B	18.55	Average
Joe Dudek	1B	P	18.56	Average
Jordan Howard	P	1B	18.56	Average
Jan Hernandez	3B	SS	18.56	Average
Jared Brasher	P		18.56	Average
Cord Sandberg	OF	1B	18.57	Average
Joseph Corrigan	1B	3B	18.57	Average
Chris Okey	C	UT	18.58	Average
Jeremy Martinez	C	IF	18.58	Average
Brian Navarreto	C	OF	18.58	Average
Logan Shore	P	IF	18.58	Average
Daniel Sweet	OF		18.58	Average
Clinton Hollon	P	OF	18.59	Average
Cole Stapler	P	3B	18.60	Average
Spencer Trayner	SS	RHP	18.60	Average
Oscar Mercado	SS		18.61	Average
Johneshwy Fargas	OF		18.62	Average
Brett Hanewich	P	3B	18.62	Average
Ryan McMahon	3B		18.62	Average
Chuckie Robinson	C	1B	18.62	Average
Austin Nicely	P	1B	18.62	Average
J.B. Woodman	OF	RHP	18.62	Average
Andy Honiotes	P	OF	18.62	Average
Sheldon Neuse	SS	RHP	18.63	Average
Hunter Harvey	P		18.63	Average
Jonah Wesely	P		18.64	Average
Pete Alonso	3B	1B	18.64	Average
Tray Roberts	OF	P	18.64	Average
Andy McGuire	3B	OF	18.65	Average
Gunnar McNeill	1B		18.66	Average
Brennon Lund	OF	RHP	18.67	Average
Mark Armstrong	P		18.67	Average
Drew Ward	3B	1B	18.67	Average
Kevin Davis	P		18.67	Average
Kevin Franklin	3B	OF	18.67	Average
Carlos Salazar	P	IF	18.68	Average
Ryan Boldt	OF		18.68	Average
Ian McKinney	P	1B	18.69	Average
Nick Banks	OF	LHP	18.69	Average
Anthony Sherlag	C	1B	18.69	Average
Connor Jones	P		18.69	Average
Brantley Bell	SS	3B	18.70	Average
Will Craig	P	1B	18.70	Average
Alex Bostic	P	1B	18.70	Average
Bryce Harman	1B	P	18.73	Average
Jordan Paroubeck	OF		18.73	Average
Derik Beauprez	P	1B	18.74	Average
Jackson Lamb	OF		18.75	Old
Parker Bugg	P	1B	18.75	Old
Rowdy Tellez	1B	OF	18.76	Old
Dane McFarland	OF	P	18.76	Old
Carlos Williams	OF		18.76	Old
Taylor Widener	OF	1B	18.76	Old
Matt Krook	P	OF	18.77	Old
Tyler Viza	RHP		18.77	Old
Michael Barash	C	3B	18.79	Old
Dustin Driver	P	3B	18.79	Old
Connor Jones	P	OF	18.80	Old
Alec Hansen	P	OF	18.80	Old
John Pomeroy	P		18.80	Old
Gosuke Katoh	2B	SS	18.80	Old
Cody Thomas	OF		18.80	Old
Kohl Stewart	P	OF	18.81	Old
Andrew Church	P	3B	18.81	Old
Stephen Wrenn	OF	RHP	18.81	Old
Josh Hart	OF		18.82	Old
Jarret DeHart	OF	1B	18.82	Old
Travis Demeritte	3B	RHP	18.82	Old
Danny Zardon	3B	OF	18.82	Old
Thomas Hatch	P	3B	18.83	Old
Jonathan Denney	C		18.83	Old
Blake Hennessey	SS	RHP	18.83	Old
Dominic Taccolini	P	1B	18.83	Old
Derek Rustich	3B	RHP	18.83	Old
Matt Walker	P		18.83	Old
Dylan Manwaring	3B	RHP	18.83	Old
Luis Guillorme	SS		18.83	Old
Derek Burkamper	P		18.84	Old
Corey Ray	OF	P	18.84	Old
Cory Thompson	P		18.84	Old
Devin Williams	P	OF	18.85	Old
John Sternagel	3B	SS	18.85	Old
Kramer Robertson	SS	RHP	18.85	Old
Tanner Kiest	P		18.86	Old
Garrett Williams	P	1B	18.87	Old
Tres Barrera	3B	P	18.87	Old
Jake Brentz	P		18.87	Old
Tyler Danish	P	3B	18.87	Old
Ronnie Healy	C	OF	18.87	Old
Weston Wilson	SS		18.88	Old
Will Crowe	P	3B	18.88	Old
Andrew Kelley	P		18.89	Old
Clint Frazier	OF	3B	18.89	Old
Ian Hagenmiller	3B	1B	18.90	Old
Robert Kaminsky	P	OF	18.90	Old
Seth Martinez	P		18.91	Old
Billy McKinney	OF	1B	18.93	Old
Chris Oakley	P	1B	18.94	Old
Scott Eicholtz	P	SS	18.96	Very Old
Brett Binning	SS	3B	18.96	Very Old
Ben DeLuzio	SS	3B	18.97	Very Old
Keenan Innis	OF	RHP	18.98	Very Old
Joe Martarano	3B		19.00	Very Old
Zach Farmer	P	OF	19.00	Very Old
Kacy Clemens	P	3B	19.00	Very Old
Cassidy Brown	C	P	19.02	Very Old
Austin Sexton	P	3B	19.03	Very Old
Jack Klein	OF	RHP	19.04	Very Old
Alex Hagner	P		19.05	Very Old
Stephen Gonsalves	P	OF	19.05	Very Old
Connor Heady	SS	RHP	19.07	Very Old
Trae Arbet	SS		19.07	Very Old
Trey Ball	P	OF	19.08	Very Old
Eli White	SS		19.09	Very Old
Trent Paddon	P		19.10	Very Old
Kevin Trader	P	MIF	19.11	Very Old
Sean Brady	P	OF	19.13	Very Old
Ryder Jones	3B	RHP	19.14	Very Old
Ryley MacEachern	P	1B	19.17	Very Old
Logan Koch	C		19.17	Very Old
John Kilichowski	P	1B	19.20	Very Old
Dalton Dulin	2B	SS	19.22	Very Old
Andrew Dunlap	P	C	19.23	Very Old
Kort Peterson	OF		19.25	Very Old
John Riley	C	RHP	19.45	Very Old
Bernardo Bonifacio	OF	2B	19.48	Very Old
Eric Garza	SS		19.61	Very Old
Corey Simpson	1B	C	19.64	Very Old

2013 MLB Draft: Draft Age of High School Prospects

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