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MLB Draft Success : Right Handed Pitchers

 

Right handed pitchers are one of the harder players to scout. They can be found in the later rounds more frequently than other positions due to the development curve of a pitcher. Some players don’t develop their secondary pitches until later in their career. They often gain velocity one off-season and retain it or they just learn how to pitch with what they have and succeed.

Pitchers can fail rapidly as well. Top prospects could lose control, velocity or confidence. They could get hurt and never fully recover, whether it is an elbow or shoulder injury. Mark Prior was on a pace to be a hall of famer and then he got hurt multiple times. In the same draft Dewon Brazelton was drafted 3rd overall and only pitched in 11 games in the majors and ended up with -4 career wins. Good stuff and bonus money do not always equate to success. On the other hand, Brad Radke was one of the higher valued pitchers and he was an 8th round selection.

Pitching talent is harder to predict and is more related to developmental staff, scouting and injury avoidance.

1st round

RHP

RHP

RHP

4-yr

HS

JC

All-time great

1.09%

1.79%

0.00%

Superstar

15.22%

12.50%

33.33%

Occasional All-Star

9.78%

8.93%

0.00%

Starter-Solid Regular

4.35%

8.93%

0.00%

Part-time player

14.13%

7.14%

0.00%

Bench warmer

30.43%

23.21%

0.00%

Minor leaguer

25.00%

37.50%

66.67%

1st supp

RHP

RHP

RHP

4-yr

HS

JC

All-time great

0.00%

0.00%

0.00%

Superstar

9.38%

0.00%

0.00%

Occasional All-Star

3.13%

3.85%

0.00%

Starter-Solid Regular

3.13%

3.85%

0.00%

Part-time player

9.38%

26.92%

0.00%

Bench warmer

31.25%

11.54%

66.67%

Minor leaguer

43.75%

53.85%

33.33%

2nd round

RHP

RHP

RHP

4-yr

HS

JC

All-time great

0.00%

0.00%

0.00%

Superstar

7.58%

2.90%

11.11%

Occasional All-Star

4.55%

0.00%

0.00%

Starter-Solid Regular

6.06%

1.45%

0.00%

Part-time player

18.18%

4.35%

0.00%

Bench warmer

24.24%

24.64%

11.11%

Minor leaguer

39.39%

66.67%

77.78%

3rd round

RHP

RHP

RHP

4-yr

HS

JC

All-time great

0.00%

0.00%

0.00%

Superstar

2.86%

1.79%

0.00%

Occasional All-Star

1.43%

3.57%

16.67%

Starter-Solid Regular

4.29%

3.57%

8.33%

Part-time player

11.43%

5.36%

0.00%

Bench warmer

15.71%

14.29%

16.67%

Minor leaguer

64.29%

71.43%

58.33%

4th round

RHP

RHP

RHP

4-yr

HS

JC

All-time great

0.00%

0.00%

0.00%

Superstar

4.17%

0.00%

0.00%

Occasional All-Star

1.39%

1.56%

0.00%

Starter-Solid Regular

1.39%

4.69%

0.00%

Part-time player

6.94%

6.25%

0.00%

Bench warmer

22.22%

18.75%

7.69%

Minor leaguer

63.89%

68.75%

92.31%

5th round

RHP

RHP

RHP

4-yr

HS

JC

All-time great

0.00%

0.00%

0.00%

Superstar

2.47%

3.92%

0.00%

Occasional All-Star

2.47%

1.96%

0.00%

Starter-Solid Regular

4.94%

1.96%

0.00%

Part-time player

4.94%

15.69%

25.00%

Bench warmer

13.58%

11.76%

6.25%

Minor leaguer

71.60%

64.71%

68.75%

6th round

RHP

RHP

RHP

4-yr

HS

JC

All-time great

0.00%

0.00%

0.00%

Superstar

4.71%

0.00%

0.00%

Occasional All-Star

2.35%

3.51%

0.00%

Starter-Solid Regular

3.53%

0.00%

22.22%

Part-time player

9.41%

12.28%

11.11%

Bench warmer

7.06%

12.28%

0.00%

Minor leaguer

72.94%

71.93%

66.67%

7th round

RHP

RHP

RHP

4-yr

HS

JC

All-time great

0.00%

0.00%

0.00%

Superstar

0.00%

2.00%

5.56%

Occasional All-Star

1.75%

0.00%

0.00%

Starter-Solid Regular

1.75%

2.00%

0.00%

Part-time player

5.26%

4.00%

0.00%

Bench warmer

14.04%

6.00%

11.11%

Minor leaguer

77.19%

86.00%

83.33%

8th round

RHP

RHP

RHP

4-yr

HS

JC

All-time great

1.45%

0.00%

0.00%

Superstar

2.90%

7.84%

0.00%

Occasional All-Star

0.00%

1.96%

0.00%

Starter-Solid Regular

1.45%

1.96%

0.00%

Part-time player

8.70%

7.84%

0.00%

Bench warmer

13.04%

3.92%

12.50%

Minor leaguer

72.46%

76.47%

87.50%

9th round

RHP

RHP

RHP

4-yr

HS

JC

All-time great

0.00%

0.00%

0.00%

Superstar

3.57%

0.00%

0.00%

Occasional All-Star

3.57%

2.27%

0.00%

Starter-Solid Regular

1.79%

0.00%

4.17%

Part-time player

5.36%

6.82%

8.33%

Bench warmer

8.93%

9.09%

8.33%

Minor leaguer

76.79%

81.82%

79.17%

10th round

RHP

RHP

RHP

4-yr

HS

JC

All-time great

0.00%

0.00%

0.00%

Superstar

0.00%

0.00%

0.00%

Occasional All-Star

1.35%

0.00%

0.00%

Starter-Solid Regular

1.35%

0.00%

0.00%

Part-time player

9.46%

4.55%

16.67%

Bench warmer

12.16%

4.55%

0.00%

Minor leaguer

75.68%

90.91%

83.33%