Continuing with a Mock 2011 Draft, with the Supplemental First Round. Obviously there is a huge amount of educated guessing with this.
34) Nationals (Dunn): Dwight Smith, OF, Georgia HS: I have the Nats going with Trevor Bauer and Brian Goodwin in the first round, but Smith's pure hitting skills still look attractive to me, and there is nice symmetry with one college, one JC, and one high school guy at the top.
35) Blue Jays (for Scott Downs): Jackie Bradley Jr, OF, South Carolina: No change from last time.
36) Red Sox (Martinez): Austin Hedges, C, California HS: I had Anthony Meo here last time, but the Red Sox have a strong interest in Hedges and he should fall this far.
37) Rangers (Lee): Blake Swihart, C, New Mexico HS: Good athlete with strong bat, shouldn't fall much further than this even with positional questions. Signability is the big question for Swihart but for now I will assume this is posturing. I had Dillon Howard here last time but he's already gone in this mock.
38) Rays (Soriano): Matthew Purke, LHP, TCU: No change from last time, and for the same reasons: You draft him, see how his arm responds, then see if you really want him. At worst you've used up one of your huge number of picks and get compensated next year.
39) Phillies (for Jayson Werth): Brandon Nimmo, OF, Wyoming HS: No change. Nimmo has the toolset that attracts the Phillies. He also has a reported price tag in excess of $2 million, but the Phillies have paid money for tools before.
40) Red Sox (Beltre) Anthony Meo, RHP, Coastal Carolina: Meo slots better here than earlier. Previous choice was Jason Esposito but his stock has slipped a tad.
41) Rays (Crawford): Granden Goeztman, OF, Florida HS. Still a plethora of attractive options, but we'll go with the fast-rising toolsy Florida prep. I had Trevor Story here in the first mock but his stock is up.
42) Rays (for Grant Balfour): Hudson Boyd, RHP, Florida HS: Local talent with supplemental first-round ability and should still be signable here. No change from last time.
43) Diamondbacks (for Adam LaRoche): Henry Owens, LHP, California HS: Highest ceiling arm left on the board. I had Andrew Chafin here last time but his stock is up.
44) Mets (for Pedro Feliciano): Josh Bell, OF, Texas HS: If the Mets are serious about putting more money into the draft, here is their chance. Bell says he won't sign, but if the Mets dangle enough $$ in front of him, plus a nice presentation about how cool it would be to play in New York, that might change. A similar choice would be Pennsylvania HS outfielder Derek Fisher, another strong bat with a college commitment that would be expensive, but perhaps not impossible, to buy off.
45) Rockies (for Octavio Dotel): Aaron Westlake, 1B, Vanderbilt: Becomes heir apparent to Todd Helton. Stock of previous pick Phil Evans has dropped.
46) Blue Jays (for John Buck):. Keenyn Walker, OF, Central Arizona JC: May seem a stretch, but Walker has terrific tools including blazing speed, has refined his swing this year, and has some helium. I think he can get into the supplemental round, and a team with multiple picks should be attracted.
47) White Sox (for J.J. Putz): Sean Gilmartin, LHP, Florida State: The White Sox are tough to predict. I had fireballer J.R. Graham here last time but he sounds like a second or third round pick now. The Sox had good luck with a college lefty from Florida last year, so let's try that again.
48) Padres (for Jon Garland): Michael Kelly, RHP, Florida HS: No change from last time. Still seems plausible.
49) Giants (for Juan Uribe): Amir Garrett, LHP, Nevada HS. You want upside? Garrett has upside. I have no idea if he'll go this high in real life and the Giants are hard to predict, but he'd make a nice upside pairing with Ross. I had Jorge Lopez last time but he's gone in this mock.
50) Twins (for Orlando Hudson): Grayson Garvin, LHP, Vanderbilt. No change. Still makes sense. Combining him with Anderson would be a nice one-two college southpaw punch.
51) Yankees (for Javier Vazquez): Williams Jerez, OF, Brooklyn HS: I had another local product, New Jersey prep Kevin Comer, here in the last mock, but Jerez's stock is rising and he's linked with the Yankees.
52) Rays (for Brad Hawpe): Kes Carter, OF, Western Kentucky. I had toolsy Zach Cone here last time, but scouts are doubting his bat. Carter has good tools himself and a much better performance record.
53) Blue Jays (for Kevin Gregg): Michael Fullmer, RHP, Oklahoma HS: Impressive arm who would be a first-round pick in some classes. Pick in the last mock was Adam Conley.
54) Padres (for Yorvit Torrealba): Kyle Winkler, RHP, TCU: All sorts of options here, but we'll go with the TCU ace who emerged in the wake of Purke's health problems. I had Joe Ross here in the last mock but he's gone.
55) Twins (for Jesse Crain): Jake Hager, SS, Nevada HS: Gamer-type with underrated tools who can stick at shortstop. Seems like someone the Twins would like. Stock of previous pick Ryan Carpenter is down a bit.
56) Rays (for Joaquin Benoit): Dillon Maples, RHP, North Carolina HS: Another high-upside player. Previous choice was high school gloveman Julius Gaines.
57) Blue Jays (for Miguel Olivo): Joe Panik, SS, St. John's. He might have to move to second, but otherwise he looks great to me. I had Maples here previous.
58) Padres (for Kevin Correia): Brad Miller, SS, Clemson: On-base machine with defensive questions, but even at second base he'd be an asset. Previous pick Garrett Buechele would fit better in third or fourth round.
59) Rays (for Randy Choate): Chris Reed, LHP, Stanford: Need some college pitching to balance the other picks. Reed could advance fast in bullpen but is also capable of being converted to starter. I had Jack Armstrong here previously but you can get him in later rounds.
60) Rays (for Chad Qualls): Tyler Marlette, C, Florida HS: You have to have someone to catch all the pitching, and Martlette is promising on both offense and defense. Previous choice was Tony Zych.
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