clock menu more-arrow no yes

Filed under:

Houston Astros Shadow System Update

New, 7 comments
HOUSTON - SEPTEMBER 23:  Carlos Lee #45 of the Houston Astros hustles into third base against the Colorado Rockies at Minute Maid Park on September 23, 2011 in Houston, Texas.  (Photo by Bob Levey/Getty Images)
HOUSTON - SEPTEMBER 23: Carlos Lee #45 of the Houston Astros hustles into third base against the Colorado Rockies at Minute Maid Park on September 23, 2011 in Houston, Texas. (Photo by Bob Levey/Getty Images)
Getty Images

The Houston Astros were just purchased by Jim Crane. After a lot of controversy, he was approved by the other owners. The deal came with a condition. He has to move his Astros to the A.L. West.

Most of the reason for MLB wanting to move the Astros to the A.L. is that the Houston market is quite large. It will bring more eyeballs to the teams in the A.L. West and it potentially can grow the popularity of A.L. West teams. All the more reason to put a winning team on the field.

As you guys probably know, I have been doing a shadow draft for the Astros the last two years and some have questioned the amount I would spend on the draft. I know this may seem unrealistic but the plan is to build a team from the bottom up instead of spending large sums on free agents. The Astros had $7 million dollars in operating income in 2010 and $14 million in 2011. If I spent $27 million on the in 2010 and $26 million this year to sign all the talent, the team would have had losses of $9 million and $7 million. That means I owe my owner $37 million dollars, or about 7.5 Wins Above Replacement. The only other teams that operated at a loss were the Red Sox, Mets and Tigers, who lost $29 million dollars. They have lost $54 million dollars over the last 3 seasons. I plan on spending a ton on the draft again this season but in the long run, it will pay off. While I have no proof at the major league level, the farm system is really shaping up at the lower levels.

The major league team is horrible but that isn't different than the real team. It is looking like the team is on pace for a top 5 pick again in 2013 as well as the 1st pick in 2012. This will continue to add depth to the farm system. I've spent a little time looking at how all this talent would fit together, and it is a little tight in the low minors to get everyone playing time but I'm sure it would work it's way out.

In the majors, Carlos Lee, Brett Myers and Wandy Rodriguez could be moved for more talent and free up salary. Jose Altuve, J.D. Martinez, Jordan Lyles, Bud Norris, Brett Wallace and a couple others could be worth keeping around for when the team starts turning around.

In 3A, Brett Oberholtzer, Ross Seaton and Juan Abreu could be helpful. There could be some bullpen help there as well.

In AA is where the talent really starts kicking up. A rotation of Sonny Gray, Jarred Cosart, Chris Hernandez, Josh Osich and Kyle Winkler starts it off. Michael Palazzone and Josh Zeid could help out of the pen. Jonathan Singleton at 1B, Jio Mier at SS, and Jay Austin and T.J. Steele in the outfield. A few of these guys could start helping as soon as this season.

In High A, Curt Casali behind the dish, Florida standout Preston Tucker at 1B, Nick Castellanos at 3B, Jonathan Villar at short and Stanford star Austin Wilson and Domingo Santana in the outfield makes a pretty impressive lineup. A.J. Cole, LSU ace Kevin Gausman, Tanner Bushue,Georgia Tech righty DeAndre Smelter and Stanford lefty Brett Mooneyham would be the rotation. Michael Ojala, Dean Kiekhefer and Brad Dydalewicz out of the pen would help close out games.

Low A has quite a few talented players. As do the short season leagues. A lot of them are still in college but a few are playing pro ball. Next year this will mean more but the talent is really piling up in the lower levels. Here is where we sit. 

AA

High A

Corpus Christi

Lancaster

C

Federico Hernandez

C

Curtis Casali

1B

Jonathan Singleton

1B

Preston Tucker

2B

Jason Smith

2B

Tyler Rahmatulla

3B

Jonathan Meyer

3B

Nick Castellanos

SS

Jiovanni Mier

SS

Jonathan Villar

LF

T.J. Steele

LF

Joseph Loftus

CF

Jay Austin

CF

Domingo Santana

RF

Jon Gaston

RF

Austin Wilson

1

Sonny Gray

1

A.J. Cole

2

Jarred Cosart

2

Kevin Gausman

3

Chris Hernandez

3

Tanner Bushue

4

Joshua Osich

4

DeAndre Smelter

5

Kyle Winkler

5

Brett Mooneyham

 

 

Low A

Short Season

Lexington

Tri-City

C

Matt Rice

C

Matthew Roberts

1B

Brian Ragira

1B

Zac Elgie

2B

Martin Peguero

2B

Luca Martone

3B

Garin Cecchini

3B

Chan Moon

SS

Jacoby Jones

SS

Lonnie Kauppila

LF

Eric Arce

LF

Trey Griffin

CF

Joshua Sale

CF

Dale Carey

RF

Kris Bryant

RF

Krey Bratsen

1

Stetson Allie

1

Jose Perdomo

2

Drew Cisco

2

Euris Quezada

3

Ethan Stewart

3

Garrett Bullock

4

Michael Feliz

4

Joan Belliard

5

Evan Rutckyj

5

Danilo Del Rio

 

 

Rookie

Rookie

Greenville

GCL

C

Andrew Murray

C

Brandon Sedell

1B

Jared Lakind

1B

Roderick Shoulders

2B

Joshua Tobias

2B

Chase Williamson

3B

Matthew Dean

3B

Austin Slater

SS

Phillip Evans

SS

Jean Carlos Batista

LF

Jake Cave

LF

Kelvin Vizcaino

CF

Derek Fisher

CF

Danry Vasquez

RF

Vicmal De La Cruz

RF

Dominic Jose

1

Daniel Norris

1

Amir Garrett

2

Carson Baranik

2

Jose Montero

3

Dillon Maples

3

Spenser Linney

4

Nick Burdi

4

Blake Burrell

5

Phillip Pfeifer

5

Ricardo Jacquez

 Other Players:

Bench

Bench

Julio Martinez

Kelly Norris-Jones

Albert  Cartwright

Kevin Jordan

Kash Kalkowski

Yonathan Mejia

Geno Escalante

Christopher Triplett

Jacob Goebbert

Ben Orloff

Erik Castro

Breshon Kimbell

Enrique Hernandez

Christopher Lovett

Tyler Hanover

Shon Carson

Brandon Barnes

Mark Payton

Telvin Nash

Yoel Araujo

Adrian Morales

Khiry  Cooper

Johnny Coy

Ronald Sanchez

Darwin Rivera

Grayson Greiner

Drake Roberts

Kirby Bellow

Willie Argo

Jay Baum

Garen Wright

Max Homick

Jose Monzon

Dylan Davis

Zachary Alvord

Drew Stiles

Jose Fernandez

Rouric Bridgewater

Kevin Patterson

Kyle Robinson

 

Pitchers Pitchers

Michael Palazzone

Austin Urban

Josh Zeid

Dakota Freese

David Berner

Kilby Pena

Arcenio Leon

Dan Mengden

Matt Nevarez

Pat Connaughton

Daniel Renken

Jose Trinidad

Zachary Grimmett

Kirk Clark

Pat Urckfitz

Jorge De Leon

Michael Ojala

Danny Barnes

Dean Kiekhefer

Cody Martin

Brad Dydalewicz

Carlos Quevedo

Colton Pitkin

Enderson Franco

Jonathon Crawford

Francis Ramirez

Rolando Botello

Luis Ordosgoitti

Rudy Acosta

Ricardo Batista

Thomas Pecoraro

Clayton Crum

Trae Davis

Daniel Child

Trevor Teykl

Agapito Barrios

Shane Wolf

Ambiorix De Leon

Forrest Snow

Alberto Arias

Jose Cisnero

Ashton Mowdy

Robert Donovan

Billy Sadler

Alex Sogard

Brad James

Casey Upperman

Brandt Walker

Kyle Greenwalt

Brian Wabick

Andrew Smith

David Duncan

Kyle Necke

Elias De Leon

B.J. Hyatt

Francisco Baso

Brett Bruening

Gary Majewski

Chris Hicks

Leandro Cespedes

Seth Maness

Leonardo Alayon

David Martinez

Mike Schurz

Juan Minaya

Nathan Pettus

Murilo Gouvea

Rochi Gutierrez

Ruben Alaniz

Roliner Iturralde

Mark Jones

Alex Schmarzo

Pedro Gomez

Yuri Perez

 DSL Players:

DSL

Yairo Munoz

Iosif Bernal

Mitchel Martes

Luis Reynoso

Arturo Michelena

Adalberto Mondesi

                Luis Enrique Acosta

Manuel Marcos

Helsin Martinez

Alexander Martinez

Javier Saucedo

Edgar Ferreira

Jandel Gustave

Johan Arias

Richard Rodriguez

Harold Arauz

Reymin Guduan

Mauricio Silva