Brian Matusz Community Projection
Going forward with the Community Projection project, so far we have three pitchers (David Price, Clayton Kershaw, and Derek Holland) and four hitters (Fernando Martinez, Jason Heyward, Travis Snider, and Alcides Escobar). I want to do three more players, so that we have five hitters and five pitchers. I want to get all these finished by April 10th, so we can track them as the season progresses.
Today's subject is Brian Matusz of the Orioles. Project the following numbers, in this order for data entry purposes
Games
Games Started
Complete Games
Wins
Losses
Innings
Runs Allowed
Earned Runs Allowed
ERA (make sure math is right)
Walks allowed
Strikeouts
Hits allowed
Home runs allowed
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Games 22
Games Started 22
Wins 9
Losses 10
Innings 118
Runs Allowed 64
Earned Runs Allowed 58
ERA 4.42
Walks allowed 38
Strikeouts 101
Hits allowed 112
Home runs allowed 12
by ThomasG on Apr 2, 2026 1:16 PM EDT reply actions 0 recs
Games 31
Games Started 31
Wins 11
Losses 9
Innings 175
Runs Allowed 81
Earned Runs Allowed 77
ERA 3.96
Walks allowed 63
Strikeouts 162
Hits allowed 165
Home runs allowed 17
by dkdc on Apr 2, 2026 1:30 PM EDT reply actions 0 recs
AZ Native
Games- 24
Games Started- 22
Wins- 10
Losses- 7
Innings- 140
Runs Allowed- 77
Earned Runs Allowed- 66
ERA - 4.24
Walks allowed- 46
Strikeouts- 122
Hits allowed- 141
Home runs allowed- 11
by ScottAZ on Apr 2, 2026 1:58 PM EDT reply actions 0 recs
Games 30
Games Started 30
Complete Games 1
Wins 12
Losses 7
Innings 165
Runs Allowed 72
Earned Runs Allowed 67
ERA (make sure math is right) 3.65
Walks allowed 60
Strikeouts 151
Hits allowed 156
Home runs allowed 16
by mjr20 on Apr 2, 2026 2:07 PM EDT reply actions 0 recs
woot
Games- 27
Games Started- 27
Wins- 11
Losses- 9
Innings- 139
Runs Allowed- 80
Earned Runs Allowed- 72
ERA – 4.66
Walks allowed- 56
Strikeouts- 129
Hits allowed- 148
Home runs allowed- 14
by daveh33 on Apr 2, 2026 2:13 PM EDT reply actions 0 recs
Rough at first..but..
Games- 25
Games Started- 25
Wins- 7
Losses- 9
Innings- 150
Runs Allowed- 86
Earned Runs Allowed- 78
ERA – 4.68
Walks allowed- 58
Strikeouts- 118
Hits allowed- 157
Home runs allowed-17
"Fantasy, reality, science Fiction. Which is which? Who can tell?"
by feslenraster on Apr 2, 2026 2:31 PM EDT reply actions 0 recs
ROY season
Games 26
Games Started 26
Wins 13
Losses 8
Innings 170.1
Runs Allowed 77
Earned Runs Allowed 60
ERA 3.75
Walks allowed 75
Strikeouts 166
Hits allowed 160
Home runs allowed 21
The Orioles have been very conscious of the 30 IP rule for their top pitching prospects, so I expect them to shut down Matusz (Tillman too) once they approach going beyond 30 IP of their 2009 inning total. I think Matusz starts out strong, has a few rough spots, learns to manage bad innings, and finishes the year with a strong string of starts. Overall I think he’s the kind of pitcher who shows the rare mix of consistent quality stuff and good control. The fact that he has 4 good pitches that he doesn’t necessarily lean on any particular pitch too much, gives him the ability to go to something else when something is not working.
by basemonkey on Apr 2, 2026 6:36 PM EDT reply actions 0 recs
It's just my pick
Games 32
Games Started 32
Complete Games 2
Wins 14
Losses 5
Innings 205
Runs Allowed 78
Earned Runs Allowed 70
ERA (make sure math is right) [3.07]
Walks allowed 45
Strikeouts 185
Hits allowed 190
Home runs allowed 9
by Grzesio on Apr 3, 2026 6:30 AM EDT reply actions 0 recs
Games: 31
Games Started: 31
Complete Games: 1
Wins: 13
Losses: 6
Innings: 176.2
Runs Allowed: 85
Earned Runs Allowed: 78
ERA: 3.97
Walks allowed: 75
Strikeouts: 144
Hits allowed: 182
Home runs allowed: 14
by jar75 on Apr 3, 2026 11:48 AM EDT reply actions 0 recs
Games 30
Games Started 30
Complete Games 0
Wins 16
Losses 6
Innings 180
Runs Allowed 92
Earned Runs Allowed 75
ERA (make sure math is right) 3.75
Walks allowed 50
Strikeouts 185
Hits allowed 165
Home runs allowed 24
In short, I’m expecting a stunning season, flirting with 200 K but a little exposed by the long ball.
I want to breed [Matusz] with that female Japanese knuckleballer to create a race of super pitchers. --Weaver's Tantrum
by CoachOfEarl on Apr 5, 2026 4:05 PM EDT reply actions 0 recs
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