When analyzing thousands and thousands of players drafted, it gets to be cluttered. I've analyzed each position and separated out college, high school and junior college players by position. If I would just post numbers, it wouldn't help anyone unless they really enjoy looking at numbers.
What I did was calculated the percentage of each position to reach each rating from 10-5 and also those that did not make it to the majors. Just for an example here is what I did for each position for each round from 1 thru 10.
This is for 1st Round Catchers:
Rank |
4-yr |
% |
HS |
% |
JC |
% |
10 |
1 |
8.33% |
1 |
7.14% |
0 |
0.00% |
9 |
3 |
25.00% |
4 |
28.57% |
0 |
0.00% |
8 |
0 |
0.00% |
0 |
0.00% |
0 |
0.00% |
7 |
2 |
16.67% |
2 |
14.29% |
0 |
0.00% |
6 |
1 |
8.33% |
2 |
14.29% |
0 |
0.00% |
5 |
3 |
25.00% |
0 |
0.00% |
0 |
0.00% |
0 |
2 |
16.67% |
5 |
35.71% |
1 |
100.00% |
12 |
14 |
1 |
As you can see, if I did this for each position and each round, it could get very overwhelming. What I did from this is use a weighted average of each percentage and each ranking. I took 8.33% and multiplied it by 10, then 25% times 9, and so on and added them to create a weighted average of what ranking to expect from each position in each round. It is still cluttered, but much more manageable. Using this method, one player won't drastically alter any of the findings and it will show the regression of each position by round to show the likelihood of success of each position.
4 - Year |
High School |
Junior College |
|||||||
Position |
Round |
No. |
Average |
No. |
Average |
No. |
Average |
||
ALL |
1 |
207 |
5.50 |
187 |
4.39 |
9 |
2.56 |
||
ALL |
1S |
75 |
3.73 |
80 |
2.80 |
5 |
3.00 |
||
ALL |
2 |
159 |
4.33 |
207 |
2.36 |
20 |
2.75 |
||
ALL |
2S |
9 |
0.56 |
14 |
2.57 |
1 |
0.00 |
||
ALL |
3 |
162 |
2.70 |
185 |
2.20 |
23 |
3.04 |
||
ALL |
4 |
171 |
2.42 |
168 |
1.60 |
23 |
1.65 |
||
ALL |
5 |
190 |
2.33 |
144 |
1.77 |
26 |
1.58 |
||
ALL |
6 |
188 |
1.89 |
153 |
1.26 |
27 |
2.67 |
||
ALL |
7 |
190 |
1.99 |
128 |
1.14 |
37 |
1.57 |
||
ALL |
8 |
194 |
1.59 |
118 |
1.25 |
44 |
1.02 |
||
ALL |
9 |
178 |
1.70 |
122 |
0.78 |
40 |
1.65 |
||
ALL |
10 |
180 |
1.36 |
117 |
0.90 |
41 |
1.78 |
||
ALL |
1903 |
1623 |
296 |
||||||
C |
1 |
12 |
6.00 |
14 |
5.14 |
1 |
0.00 |
||
C |
1S |
3 |
4.33 |
6 |
1.67 |
0 |
0.00 |
||
C |
2 |
15 |
4.60 |
29 |
2.55 |
0 |
0.00 |
||
C |
2S |
0 |
0.00 |
1 |
0.00 |
0 |
0.00 |
||
C |
3 |
13 |
2.69 |
17 |
2.18 |
2 |
0.00 |
||
C |
4 |
12 |
2.33 |
22 |
0.64 |
0 |
0.00 |
||
C |
5 |
22 |
2.18 |
25 |
1.88 |
0 |
0.00 |
||
C |
6 |
16 |
1.38 |
17 |
0.35 |
4 |
2.50 |
||
C |
7 |
15 |
1.67 |
8 |
0.88 |
0 |
0.00 |
||
C |
8 |
29 |
0.41 |
9 |
1.67 |
5 |
0.00 |
||
C |
9 |
22 |
1.05 |
15 |
0.00 |
3 |
0.00 |
||
C |
10 |
14 |
0.36 |
20 |
0.80 |
1 |
0.00 |
||
C |
173 |
183 |
16 |
||||||
1B |
1 |
12 |
6.67 |
13 |
5.38 |
1 |
0.00 |
||
1B |
1S |
1 |
0.00 |
6 |
3.33 |
0 |
0.00 |
||
1B |
2 |
8 |
3.88 |
8 |
1.38 |
3 |
4.00 |
||
1B |
2S |
0 |
0.00 |
1 |
5.00 |
0 |
0.00 |
||
1B |
3 |
12 |
3.00 |
13 |
1.15 |
2 |
6.50 |
||
1B |
4 |
10 |
1.40 |
8 |
1.25 |
0 |
0.00 |
||
1B |
5 |
11 |
5.18 |
15 |
0.40 |
2 |
0.00 |
||
1B |
6 |
10 |
3.20 |
4 |
0.00 |
0 |
0.00 |
||
1B |
7 |
12 |
1.50 |
6 |
0.83 |
0 |
0.00 |
||
1B |
8 |
9 |
0.00 |
5 |
0.00 |
1 |
6.00 |
||
1B |
9 |
10 |
1.60 |
8 |
0.00 |
2 |
0.00 |
||
1B |
10 |
15 |
1.40 |
9 |
0.56 |
0 |
0.00 |
||
1B |
110 |
96 |
11 |
||||||
2B |
1 |
3 |
6.00 |
0 |
0.00 |
0 |
0.00 |
||
2B |
1S |
0 |
0.00 |
0 |
0.00 |
0 |
0.00 |
||
2B |
2 |
4 |
4.25 |
1 |
5.00 |
0 |
0.00 |
||
2B |
2S |
0 |
0.00 |
0 |
0.00 |
0 |
0.00 |
||
2B |
3 |
1 |
0.00 |
2 |
2.50 |
0 |
0.00 |
||
2B |
4 |
4 |
0.00 |
2 |
0.00 |
0 |
0.00 |
||
2B |
5 |
11 |
3.18 |
1 |
9.00 |
1 |
0.00 |
||
2B |
6 |
7 |
0.71 |
2 |
4.50 |
1 |
0.00 |
||
2B |
7 |
6 |
0.83 |
2 |
0.00 |
2 |
4.50 |
||
2B |
8 |
6 |
0.83 |
0 |
0.00 |
1 |
0.00 |
||
2B |
9 |
6 |
2.50 |
3 |
1.67 |
0 |
0.00 |
||
2B |
10 |
11 |
1.18 |
1 |
9.00 |
4 |
2.00 |
||
2B |
59 |
14 |
9 |
||||||
3B |
1 |
10 |
7.00 |
9 |
7.00 |
0 |
0.00 |
||
3B |
1S |
4 |
2.75 |
5 |
4.20 |
0 |
0.00 |
||
3B |
2 |
9 |
6.33 |
11 |
3.55 |
0 |
0.00 |
||
3B |
2S |
0 |
0.00 |
2 |
0.00 |
0 |
0.00 |
||
3B |
3 |
6 |
3.17 |
15 |
1.47 |
2 |
0.00 |
||
3B |
4 |
8 |
1.25 |
5 |
0.00 |
1 |
0.00 |
||
3B |
5 |
8 |
5.75 |
7 |
1.29 |
1 |
6.00 |
||
3B |
6 |
6 |
2.33 |
3 |
2.67 |
1 |
0.00 |
||
3B |
7 |
18 |
3.67 |
13 |
3.31 |
3 |
0.00 |
||
3B |
8 |
13 |
2.38 |
3 |
0.00 |
3 |
1.67 |
||
3B |
9 |
11 |
2.27 |
4 |
1.50 |
1 |
0.00 |
||
3B |
10 |
14 |
0.79 |
7 |
0.71 |
3 |
2.67 |
||
3B |
107 |
84 |
15 |
||||||
SS |
1 |
16 |
6.94 |
29 |
4.66 |
0 |
0.00 |
||
SS |
1S |
6 |
3.83 |
11 |
2.82 |
0 |
0.00 |
||
SS |
2 |
15 |
3.80 |
28 |
2.50 |
1 |
6.00 |
||
SS |
2S |
1 |
0.00 |
3 |
1.67 |
0 |
0.00 |
||
SS |
3 |
16 |
3.13 |
32 |
2.47 |
2 |
3.50 |
||
SS |
4 |
13 |
2.62 |
19 |
1.26 |
2 |
5.00 |
||
SS |
5 |
19 |
3.79 |
13 |
0.77 |
0 |
0.00 |
||
SS |
6 |
16 |
2.38 |
14 |
0.57 |
0 |
0.00 |
||
SS |
7 |
16 |
3.38 |
14 |
0.86 |
1 |
9.00 |
||
SS |
8 |
22 |
1.86 |
22 |
1.27 |
3 |
0.00 |
||
SS |
9 |
14 |
2.21 |
12 |
0.42 |
4 |
3.50 |
||
SS |
10 |
13 |
2.23 |
12 |
2.00 |
5 |
2.40 |
||
SS |
167 |
209 |
18 |
||||||
OF |
1 |
31 |
5.52 |
46 |
3.83 |
0 |
0.00 |
||
OF |
1S |
18 |
4.50 |
16 |
1.56 |
1 |
0.00 |
||
OF |
2 |
18 |
5.28 |
46 |
1.98 |
3 |
4.00 |
||
OF |
2S |
1 |
0.00 |
2 |
3.00 |
0 |
0.00 |
||
OF |
3 |
26 |
2.12 |
42 |
1.71 |
7 |
2.71 |
||
OF |
4 |
25 |
2.84 |
45 |
1.60 |
4 |
2.75 |
||
OF |
5 |
19 |
1.26 |
32 |
0.81 |
3 |
2.00 |
||
OF |
6 |
35 |
1.03 |
48 |
0.56 |
9 |
1.44 |
||
OF |
7 |
41 |
1.71 |
31 |
0.68 |
6 |
0.83 |
||
OF |
8 |
34 |
1.50 |
23 |
0.00 |
5 |
1.00 |
||
OF |
9 |
38 |
1.34 |
34 |
0.29 |
3 |
1.67 |
||
OF |
10 |
32 |
1.28 |
31 |
0.58 |
12 |
1.58 |
||
OF |
318 |
396 |
53 |
||||||
RHP |
1 |
92 |
4.93 |
56 |
4.23 |
6 |
3.00 |
||
RHP |
1S |
32 |
3.44 |
26 |
2.77 |
3 |
3.33 |
||
RHP |
2 |
66 |
3.77 |
69 |
1.86 |
9 |
1.56 |
||
RHP |
2S |
6 |
0.83 |
4 |
2.50 |
1 |
0.00 |
||
RHP |
3 |
70 |
2.14 |
56 |
1.73 |
12 |
2.75 |
||
RHP |
4 |
72 |
2.11 |
64 |
1.77 |
13 |
0.38 |
||
RHP |
5 |
81 |
1.74 |
51 |
2.18 |
16 |
1.81 |
||
RHP |
6 |
85 |
1.78 |
57 |
1.63 |
9 |
2.22 |
||
RHP |
7 |
57 |
1.28 |
50 |
0.86 |
18 |
1.06 |
||
RHP |
8 |
69 |
1.68 |
51 |
1.67 |
16 |
0.63 |
||
RHP |
9 |
56 |
1.50 |
44 |
1.05 |
24 |
1.21 |
||
RHP |
10 |
74 |
1.38 |
44 |
0.50 |
12 |
1.00 |
||
RHP |
760 |
572 |
139 |
||||||
LHP |
1 |
31 |
5.26 |
24 |
2.83 |
1 |
5.00 |
||
LHP |
1S |
11 |
3.82 |
10 |
4.50 |
1 |
5.00 |
||
LHP |
2 |
27 |
4.19 |
25 |
2.80 |
4 |
2.75 |
||
LHP |
2S |
1 |
0.00 |
4 |
2.50 |
0 |
0.00 |
||
LHP |
3 |
24 |
3.88 |
21 |
3.81 |
0 |
0.00 |
||
LHP |
4 |
37 |
2.81 |
25 |
1.44 |
3 |
4.00 |
||
LHP |
5 |
31 |
1.68 |
19 |
1.95 |
5 |
0.00 |
||
LHP |
6 |
23 |
2.48 |
16 |
2.63 |
9 |
3.22 |
||
LHP |
7 |
35 |
1.91 |
23 |
0.65 |
8 |
1.88 |
||
LHP |
8 |
29 |
1.79 |
20 |
1.00 |
12 |
1.58 |
||
LHP |
9 |
33 |
1.76 |
21 |
1.10 |
7 |
2.57 |
||
LHP |
10 |
30 |
0.73 |
12 |
0.50 |
9 |
1.56 |
||
LHP |
312 |
220 |
59 |
Just for a quick refernce, this is what each ranking denotes:
10 All-time Great - 50+ WAR |
9 Star -10-49.9 WAR |
8 Occasional All-Star - 5-9.9 WAR |
7 Starter-Solid Regular - 2-4.9 WAR |
6 Part-time player - 0 to 1.9 WAR |
5 Bench warmer - Below 0 WAR 0 Never reach the Majors |
Amended per Cesar V's request
4 - Year | High School | Junior College | |||||||
Position | Round | No. | Average | No. | Average | No. | Average | ||
ALL | 1 | 165 | 6.90303 | 116 | 7.077586 | 3 | 7.666667 | ||
ALL | 1S | 46 | 6.086957 | 36 | 6.222222 | 3 | 5 | ||
ALL | 2 | 113 | 6.088496 | 80 | 6.1 | 9 | 6.111111 | ||
ALL | 2S | 1 | 5 | 7 | 5.142857 | 0 | #DIV/0! | ||
ALL | 3 | 71 | 6.169014 | 65 | 6.261538 | 10 | 7 | ||
ALL | 4 | 70 | 5.9 | 47 | 5.723404 | 7 | 5.428571 | ||
ALL | 5 | 71 | 6.239437 | 42 | 6.071429 | 7 | 5.857143 | ||
ALL | 6 | 56 | 6.339286 | 31 | 6.225806 | 11 | 6.545455 | ||
ALL | 7 | 65 | 5.815385 | 23 | 6.347826 | 9 | 6.444444 | ||
ALL | 8 | 50 | 6.16 | 22 | 6.727273 | 8 | 5.625 | ||
ALL | 9 | 50 | 6.06 | 17 | 5.588235 | 11 | 6 | ||
ALL | 10 | 42 | 5.809524 | 17 | 6.176471 | 11 | 6.636364 | ||
ALL | 800 | 503 | 89 | ||||||
C | 1 | 10 | 7.2 | 9 | 8 | 0 | #DIV/0! | ||
C | 1S | 2 | 6.5 | 2 | 5 | 0 | #DIV/0! | ||
C | 2 | 12 | 5.75 | 12 | 6.166667 | 0 | #DIV/0! | ||
C | 2S | 0 | #DIV/0! | 0 | #DIV/0! | 0 | #DIV/0! | ||
C | 3 | 6 | 5.833333 | 5 | 7.4 | 0 | #DIV/0! | ||
C | 4 | 5 | 5.6 | 2 | 7 | 0 | #DIV/0! | ||
C | 5 | 8 | 6 | 8 | 5.875 | 0 | #DIV/0! | ||
C | 6 | 3 | 7.333333 | 1 | 6 | 2 | 5 | ||
C | 7 | 4 | 6.25 | 1 | 7 | 0 | #DIV/0! | ||
C | 8 | 2 | 6 | 3 | 5 | 0 | #DIV/0! | ||
C | 9 | 4 | 5.75 | 0 | #DIV/0! | 0 | #DIV/0! | ||
C | 10 | 1 | 5 | 2 | 8 | 0 | #DIV/0! | ||
C | |||||||||
1B | 1 | 10 | 8 | 10 | 7 | 0 | #DIV/0! | ||
1B | 1S | 0 | #DIV/0! | 3 | 6.666667 | 0 | #DIV/0! | ||
1B | 2 | 5 | 6.2 | 2 | 5.5 | 2 | 6 | ||
1B | 2S | 0 | #DIV/0! | 1 | 5 | 0 | #DIV/0! | ||
1B | 3 | 6 | 6 | 2 | 7.5 | 2 | 6.5 | ||
1B | 4 | 2 | 7 | 2 | 5 | 0 | #DIV/0! | ||
1B | 5 | 8 | 7.125 | 1 | 6 | 0 | #DIV/0! | ||
1B | 6 | 5 | 6.4 | 0 | #DIV/0! | 0 | #DIV/0! | ||
1B | 7 | 3 | 6 | 1 | 5 | 0 | #DIV/0! | ||
1B | 8 | 0 | #DIV/0! | 0 | #DIV/0! | 1 | 6 | ||
1B | 9 | 3 | 5.333333 | 0 | #DIV/0! | 0 | #DIV/0! | ||
1B | 10 | 3 | 7 | 1 | 5 | 0 | #DIV/0! | ||
1B | |||||||||
2B | 1 | 2 | 9 | 0 | #DIV/0! | 0 | #DIV/0! | ||
2B | 1S | 0 | #DIV/0! | 0 | #DIV/0! | 0 | #DIV/0! | ||
2B | 2 | 3 | 5.666667 | 1 | 5 | 0 | #DIV/0! | ||
2B | 2S | 0 | #DIV/0! | 0 | #DIV/0! | 0 | #DIV/0! | ||
2B | 3 | 0 | #DIV/0! | 1 | 5 | 0 | #DIV/0! | ||
2B | 4 | 0 | #DIV/0! | 0 | #DIV/0! | 0 | #DIV/0! | ||
2B | 5 | 6 | 5.833333 | 1 | 9 | 0 | #DIV/0! | ||
2B | 6 | 1 | 5 | 1 | 9 | 0 | #DIV/0! | ||
2B | 7 | 1 | 5 | 0 | #DIV/0! | 1 | 9 | ||
2B | 8 | 1 | 5 | 0 | #DIV/0! | 0 | #DIV/0! | ||
2B | 9 | 2 | 7.5 | 1 | 5 | 0 | #DIV/0! | ||
2B | 10 | 2 | 6.5 | 1 | 9 | 1 | 8 | ||
2B | |||||||||
3B | 1 | 9 | 7.777778 | 9 | 7 | 0 | #DIV/0! | ||
3B | 1S | 2 | 5.5 | 3 | 7 | 0 | #DIV/0! | ||
3B | 2 | 9 | 6.333333 | 6 | 6.5 | 0 | #DIV/0! | ||
3B | 2S | 0 | #DIV/0! | 0 | #DIV/0! | 0 | #DIV/0! | ||
3B | 3 | 3 | 6.333333 | 4 | 5.5 | 0 | #DIV/0! | ||
3B | 4 | 1 | 10 | 0 | #DIV/0! | 0 | #DIV/0! | ||
3B | 5 | 2 | 7 | 1 | 9 | 1 | 6 | ||
3B | 6 | 2 | 7 | 1 | 8 | 0 | #DIV/0! | ||
3B | 7 | 10 | 6.6 | 6 | 7.166667 | 0 | #DIV/0! | ||
3B | 8 | 5 | 6.2 | 0 | #DIV/0! | 1 | 5 | ||
3B | 9 | 4 | 6.25 | 1 | 6 | 0 | #DIV/0! | ||
3B | 10 | 2 | 5.5 | 1 | 5 | 1 | 8 | ||
SS | 1 | 16 | 6.9375 | 19 | 7.105263 | 0 | #DIV/0! | ||
SS | 1S | 3 | 7.666667 | 5 | 6.2 | 0 | #DIV/0! | ||
SS | 2 | 10 | 5.7 | 12 | 5.833333 | 1 | 6 | ||
SS | 2S | 0 | #DIV/0! | 1 | 5 | 0 | #DIV/0! | ||
SS | 3 | 8 | 6.25 | 14 | 5.642857 | 1 | 7 | ||
SS | 4 | 6 | 5.666667 | 4 | 6 | 2 | 5 | ||
SS | 5 | 11 | 6.545455 | 2 | 5 | 0 | #DIV/0! | ||
SS | 6 | 6 | 6.333333 | 1 | 8 | 0 | #DIV/0! | ||
SS | 7 | 9 | 6 | 2 | 6 | 1 | 9 | ||
SS | 8 | 7 | 5.857143 | 4 | 7 | 0 | #DIV/0! | ||
SS | 9 | 5 | 6.2 | 1 | 5 | 2 | 7 | ||
SS | 10 | 5 | 5.8 | 4 | 6 | 2 | 6 | ||
SS | |||||||||
OF | 1 | 26 | 6.576923 | 24 | 7.333333 | 0 | #DIV/0! | ||
OF | 1S | 13 | 6.230769 | 4 | 6.25 | 0 | #DIV/0! | ||
OF | 2 | 15 | 6.333333 | 13 | 7 | 2 | 6 | ||
OF | 2S | 0 | #DIV/0! | 1 | 6 | 0 | #DIV/0! | ||
OF | 3 | 8 | 6.875 | 10 | 7.2 | 2 | 9.5 | ||
OF | 4 | 12 | 5.916667 | 12 | 6 | 2 | 5.5 | ||
OF | 5 | 4 | 6 | 5 | 5.2 | 1 | 6 | ||
OF | 6 | 6 | 6 | 4 | 6.75 | 2 | 6.5 | ||
OF | 7 | 13 | 5.384615 | 3 | 7 | 1 | 5 | ||
OF | 8 | 8 | 6.375 | 0 | #DIV/0! | 1 | 5 | ||
OF | 9 | 8 | 6.375 | 2 | 5 | 1 | 5 | ||
OF | 10 | 7 | 5.857143 | 3 | 6 | 3 | 6.333333 | ||
OF | |||||||||
RHP | 1 | 69 | 6.57971 | 35 | 6.771429 | 2 | 9 | ||
RHP | 1S | 18 | 6.111111 | 12 | 6 | 2 | 5 | ||
RHP | 2 | 40 | 6.225 | 23 | 5.565217 | 2 | 7 | ||
RHP | 2S | 1 | 5 | 2 | 5 | 0 | #DIV/0! | ||
RHP | 3 | 25 | 6 | 16 | 6.0625 | 5 | 6.6 | ||
RHP | 4 | 26 | 5.846154 | 20 | 5.65 | 1 | 5 | ||
RHP | 5 | 23 | 6.130435 | 18 | 6.166667 | 5 | 5.8 | ||
RHP | 6 | 23 | 6.565217 | 16 | 5.8125 | 3 | 6.666667 | ||
RHP | 7 | 13 | 5.615385 | 7 | 6.142857 | 3 | 6.333333 | ||
RHP | 8 | 19 | 6.105263 | 12 | 7.083333 | 2 | 5 | ||
RHP | 9 | 13 | 6.461538 | 8 | 5.75 | 5 | 5.8 | ||
RHP | 10 | 18 | 5.666667 | 4 | 5.5 | 2 | 6 | ||
RHP | |||||||||
LHP | 1 | 23 | 7.086957 | 10 | 6.8 | 1 | 5 | ||
LHP | 1S | 8 | 5.25 | 7 | 6.428571 | 1 | 5 | ||
LHP | 2 | 19 | 5.947368 | 11 | 6.363636 | 2 | 5.5 | ||
LHP | 2S | 0 | #DIV/0! | 2 | 5 | 0 | #DIV/0! | ||
LHP | 3 | 15 | 6.2 | 13 | 6.153846 | 0 | #DIV/0! | ||
LHP | 4 | 18 | 5.777778 | 7 | 5.142857 | 2 | 6 | ||
LHP | 5 | 9 | 5.777778 | 6 | 6.166667 | 0 | #DIV/0! | ||
LHP | 6 | 10 | 5.7 | 7 | 6 | 4 | 7.25 | ||
LHP | 7 | 12 | 5.583333 | 3 | 5 | 3 | 5 | ||
LHP | 8 | 8 | 6.5 | 3 | 6.666667 | 3 | 6.333333 | ||
LHP | 9 | 11 | 5.272727 | 4 | 5.75 | 3 | 6 | ||
LHP | 10 | 4 | 5.5 | 1 | 6 | 2 | 7 | ||
LHP |
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