Crystal Ball Review: Jonathan Papelbon
2006 CB (posted May 4, 2006)
65 games, 4-4, 79 innings, 83/29 K/BB, 2.51 ERA, 37 saves
2006 Actual
59 games, 4-2, 68 innings, 75/13 K/BB, 0.92 ERA, 35 saves
2006 Normalized CB
3-3, 68 innings, 71/25 K/BB, 2.51 ERA, 35 saves
COMMENTARY:
Main difference here is control. ERA is problematic since the CB did not include hits or homers. I will do it differently next time. Overall, a miss.
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