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shaftr

Mar 24, 2008 Dec 04, 2008 34 3804

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The Fall of Paul Konerko

A_konerko_195_medium
November 30, 2005: Paul Konerko signs with the Chicago White Sox (Age 29)
- 5 years / $60 Million

He was coming off a 136 OPS+ season along with his World Series Game 2 heroics.

Age 30: 134 OPS+
Age 31: 116 OPS+
Age 32: 78 OPS+

Is there a contemporary player we can compare Konerko to?

December 15, 2004: Richie Sexson signs with the Seattle Mariners (Age 29)
- 4 years / $50 million

He was coming off an injury-shortened 126 OPS+ campaign, but the year prior put up a 140 OPS+.

Age 30: 144 OPS+
Age 31: 117 OPS+
Age 32: 84 OPS+
Age 33: 88 OPS+ (Released)

So, is this another example of old player skills? Bill James defines the old player skill set as: power, walks, low average, lack of speed. Konerko definitely fits the bill on three of those, but low average is a little trickier. His BA has ranged from as low as .234 and as high as .313. He's a lifetime .277 hitter. Sexson appears to fit the old player skills more so than Konerko since his lifetime BA is .261 and there isn't as much variance in his range of season long BAs.

I've looked at Sexson's and Konerko's Pitch Data and nothing really stands out to me. Konerko's Contact % is down this season, but everything else looks in line. (Note, someone else might see something I missed).

The one wild card to all of this is consistency. I alluded to this above in regards to Batting Average. In Sexson's career (before his drop-off), he was consistently above 120 OPS+. With Konerko, we've gone thru this before with his 03 season. Much like this season, he was dismal with a .234/.305/.399 line. He rebounded with 4 good seasons.

So, will Konerko rebound and fulfill his last 2 years of his contract with 120 OPS+ seasons (and perhaps even rebound in time this year), or will he suffer a similar fate as Sexson?

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Clayton Richard at Futures Game

White Sox left-hander Clayton Richard got the start for the U.S. team. A big 6'6", 240-pound southpaw, Richard lives on his sinker. It's a tough pitch to hit hard, especially coming from a downhill plane, and it also allows Richard to induce plenty of ground balls. That ground ball tendency was evident when Richard allowed three grounders in the first, though one of them was a single. The World team eventually scored a run in the inning thanks to an error by shortstop Jason Donald, a stolen base by Elvis Andrus, and a fielder's choice by Pablo Sandoval.

Richard was posting a combined 2.44 ERA and 82/20 K/BB in 121 2/3 innings between Double-A and Triple-A before the game. He hit 91 MPH with his sinker at one point in the contest, but he was more consistently in the upper 80s to 90. He's already 24 and doesn't have much upside, but if Richard can keep limiting walks and homers, he could be a No. 3 starter if everything breaks right. He's more likely to be an innings eater, but he's a solid, underrated prospect.

comment 4 months ago N8614799_37986175_7081_tiny shaftr comment 2 comments 0 recs

Baseball Boss

I've been playing a lot of lately. The game has cards from 1907 & 2007 and you are randomly given 40 cards to start. You create a 25 man roster and slowly build your team with your winnings (by using the auction system or buying more packs).

PS> Matt Thornton is dominant on my team.

comment 4 months ago N8614799_37986175_7081_tiny shaftr comment 0 comments 0 recs

Img1673nt4

Here is a picture of what MLB.tv looks like on my TV. I have it running out of my MacBook (DVI>VGA) and into my Vizio HD TV. This is from MLB Mosaic at it's highest quality.

comment 7 months ago N8614799_37986175_7081_tiny shaftr comment 11 comments 0 recs

Offday Fun - Favorite Player Roster

I thought we need some offday funs (since right now gamedays aren't even fun).

Anyways, list your starting line up of active players consisting only of your favorite players (not necessarily the best).

Mine:

C - Brian McCann:  underrated b/c of Mauer
1b - Julio Franco:  This was tough, but whenever I see him at this age I am amused.
2b - Ray Durham:  He was one of my favorites with the White Sox, and I didn't know who else to pick.
SS - Jose Reyes:  Easy.
3b - Joe Crede:  Easier.
LF - Carl Crawford:  I'd be fine if the White Sox overpayed for him.
CF - Bill Hall:  God.
RF - Vladimir Guerrero:  I was a bigger fan when he was with the Expos and still had his speed.
SP - Pedro Martinez:  Truly dominating and I really hope he can regain that form.

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Offday Fun

A thoroughly honest game-show host has placed a car behind one of three doors. There is a goat behind each of the other doors. You have no prior knowledge that allows you to distinguish among the doors. "First you point toward a door," he says. "Then I'll open one of the other doors to reveal a goat. After I've shown you the goat, you make your final choice whether to stick with your initial choice of doors, or to switch to the remaining door. You win whatever is behind the door." You begin by pointing to door number 1. The host shows you that door number 3 has a goat.

Do the player's chances of getting the car increase by switching to Door 2?

NOTE: Explanation - http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Monty_hall_problem/

("Do you see what happens, Larry?")

Poll
Do your chances increase by switching?
Yes
21 votes
No
3 votes
Stays the Same
11 votes

35 votes | Poll has closed

11 comments | 0 recs

Offseason: Prince vs Bowie

Introduction
Since there is very little baseball news, I thought I'd start a discussion.  Lets compare Prince to David Bowie to find out which artist is more valuable.  I will break it down to try to make it as objective as possible.  

Tale of the Tape

David Bowie
1967 - Present
Studio Albums:  25
Albums Sold Worldwide:  140 Million +
US #1 Singles:  2 (5 in the UK)
Best Selling Album:  Lets Dance
Musical Instruments:  13
4-5 Star Albums:  10  (5 Five Star Albums)

Prince
1978 - Present
Studio Albums:  25
Albums Sold Worldwide:  100 Million +
US #1 Singles:  7
Best Selling Album:  Purple Rain
Musical Instruments:  Over 24
4-5 Star Albums:  9  (4 Five Star Albums)

Analysis
As you can see, it is very close.  Bowie has three different dominate periods (70-73, 76-77 & 80-83).  Whereas Prince has one longer era of dominance (80-87), including the best peak year of the two (1984).  Bowie has, for the most part, been consistently solid both critically and commercially for his entire career with 3 notable peaks.  Whereas, the majority of Prince's critical/commercial success occured in an 8 year span.

Complicating even more so, is the intangibles of each artist.  Bowie has a better filmography, even though Prince has the biggest Box Office hit.  Also, Prince was a joke for about a decade due to his name change to the symbol, then back to Prince.

Finally, they both probably took illegal substances that may or may not have affected the outcome of their work.  While these substances are illegal, the music industry has yet to have a rule outlawing their use.

So, who is more valuable?  If we agree that their influence is similiar, do you take the peak or consistent career?

Poll
Prince or Bowie?
Prince
12 votes
David Bowie
26 votes

38 votes | Poll has closed

9 comments | 0 recs

Shy Guy

My friend and I play a lot of Mario Superstar Baseball on Gamecube, so this is a story of last night's game.

It was a day game at Mario Stadium between Donkey Kong's team (my friend) and Diddy Kong's team (myself).  On the mound for Donkey Kong was the best pitcher in the game, Waluigi.  Diddy Kong countered with King Boo.  Through 8 innings, Donkey Kong was up 5-1 boosted by Bowser's 2 solo shots.  The only run for Diddy Kong was a solo shot by King Boo.  Donkey Kong was playing good defense, specifically Birdo (3b) & Magikoopa (SS) and was able to keep any more runs from scoring.

In the bottom of the 9th, Waluigi was going for the Complete Game.  Before Donkey Kong knew it, there were runners on 3rd and 2nd with Luigi up.  A bases clearing Double cut the lead to 5-3.  Shortly after that Luigi came around to score and Diddy Kong scored another run to make it 5-5.

With 2 outs, down by 1 and with King Boo at 2nd, Waluigi hit a struggling Hammer Bro to bring up Shy Guy.  Now, Shy Guy is a smooth fielding 3rd baseman, so he has earned the nickname, Joe Crede.  Well, Shy Guy lined a shot over the 3rd baseman and King Boo came around to score.

Game Over.  6-5 Diddy Kong.
MVP:  Shy Guy

So, anything can happy especially with Shy Guy (Joe Crede).
http://www.mariomonsters.com/shyguy/Shyguy01.jpg

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Another reason to love Joe Crede

from The Birmingham News

`Thanks, Crony'
Thursday, July 06, 2006
DOUG SEGREST
News staff writer

The UPS package, thrown in with the monthly paychecks, was addressed simply.

It had Chris Cron's name as recipient. The return address only had a name - "Joe Crede."

It arrived July 1 at Mobile's Hank Aaron Stadium as part of a box load of correspondence needing the attention of Cron, the Birmingham Barons manager.

 "I'm a golfer and I knew from the shape of the package that it was a sleeve of Callaway golf balls," Cron said. "So I set it aside on my desk while I went about my work."

As Cron began sorting paychecks for distribution to his team, his curiosity got the best of him. What had Crede, the Chicago White Sox's star third baseman sent him and why?

So he opened the package to find a walnut case with the Sox's World Championship logo embossed on the top above Crede's name.

Inside the case? Not a single solitary golf ball.

Instead, there was a sparkling, Tourneau watch, with 10 diamonds on each side of a black face featuring another Chicago World Series logo in silver.

On the inside of the watch was an inscription: "Thanks, Crony - Joe."

Ever seen a 42-year-old man weep?

 "I was shaking like crazy, I could barely open it. Then my eyes teared and I must have cried for five minutes," Cron said. "You get to a point in your life or your career where sometimes things aren't the way you want them to be and you're away from your family all the time.

"Then you open something like this ... it touches you immediately. It touches you deeply."

Cron and other managers in the White Sox organization received World Series rings following Chicago's 2005 sweep of the Houston Astros.

 "I'm grateful for that. It was the organization's way of saying thank you. But this watch means more, because it's from an individual."

Cron wasn't the only one to enjoy Crede's goodwill. The Sox star also bought a championship watch for another former Barons skipper, Nick Capra.

"This was a memento from me to them," Crede said Wednesday before Chicago played Baltimore. ``It was my way of saying thank you for everything they've done for me."

A fifth-round draft choice in 1996, Crede was going nowhere fast in Low-A Hickory. He struggled around the Mendoza line for much of the first half of his first full season and wondered how quickly he would need to find a real job.

"I didn't think I was good enough to play at that level, much less in the big leagues. I figured I'd play in the minors a year or two, then go somewhere else. But Crony kept putting me in the lineup every day," Crede said.

"It was such a huge step for me, from high school to the minors, and he taught me so much - not just about baseball, but life. He took me under his wing."

Cron said if Crede didn't consider himself special, everyone else did.

 Sure, he had talent, but he also had a demeanor, mixing humility with maturity beyond his years.

And he became a favorite of Cron's because of the way he played ball between the lines and the way he treated Cron's kids away from the field. If Cron's young kids came to the ballpark, Crede willingly provided the entertainment.

The player and mentor moved up the ladder together - to High-A Winston-Salem in'98 and to Double-A Birmingham in '99, where Crede firmly established himself as a big-league prospect.

 A year later, with Cron managing Triple-A Colorado Springs, Crede played for Capra before a late-season call-up and his White Sox debut.

"Cappy made it very fun to play for him," Crede said. "He kept the clubhouse loose and his players relaxed."

The championship watch won't stay in Cron's Hoover Metropolitan Stadium office. He's taking it home to Phoenix for an all-star break vacation today to share with his wife, Linda, and his three children.

"This is what kind of guy Joe is ..." Cron said, reminiscing about the World Series. Cron flew his entire family to Chicago, just before the opener at U.S. Cellular Field.

"We're walking into the hotel to check in and there's Joe Crede coming out of the elevator, headed to the ballpark," Cron said. "He spends 15 minutes talking to us, like he doesn't have a care in the world, and poses for a bunch of pictures with my kids.

"I've had a lot of good kids play for me, but Joe Crede's in a different ballpark altogether. When I saw the gift he sent, I would have gotten the same satisfaction if he'd sent me a Hallmark card.

"But that gift thought brought me back," he added, looking at the watch while dwelling on the sentiment. "This is the reason I do what I try to do in this game."

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Mr. 400

Tonight, Pablo Ozuna went 3/5 with 2 runs and rose his average to .438.  He also made a nice defensive play in the 9th inning.  I know his .400 BA will not last, but I've been saying this for a long time now.    I'm glad Ozzie continues to find ways to get him in the game.

Jose Contreras struck out a career high 13 batters, but still was roughed up for 5 runs.  Many people, myself included, look at K/9 IP as a way to evaluate pitchers, but tonight Jose showed us why it isn't always the best indicator.  Strikeouts normally take more pitches than any other out, resulting in higher pitch counts, less innings pitched and more work for the bullpen.  In that regard, not having a true strikeout ace benefits the White Sox.

Speaking of defense, Cincinnati helped the White Sox a lot in this win.  In the 6th inning, Paul Konerko would have been thrown out at the plate had Ryan Freel not foolishly cut the ball off.  Also, a botched Double Play in the 9th resulted in the 2 go ahead runs for Chicago.  Both balls were hit by Joe Crede, proving the magic that his bat possesses.

Finally, outside of Bobby Jenks shaky 9th inning, the bullpen for the White Sox continues to improve.  I continue to be amazed at the development of Matt Thornton.  His progress made Javier Lopez expendable.

10 comments | 0 recs

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