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J.J. Putz Prospect Retro

J.J. Putz Prospect Retro

J.J. Putz was drafted by the Seattle Mariners in the sixth round in 1999, from the University of Michigan. A senior, he was somewhat erratic in college but impressed scouts with his arm strength, although it was clear he'd have to improve his command in pro ball. Assigned to the Northwest League after signing, he posted a 4.84 ERA in 22 innings for Everett, with a 17/11 K/BB ratio and 23 hits allowed: mediocre numbers in a small sample size. I'd go with Grade C at that stage: live arm, might develop, might not.

Putz moved up to the Midwest League in 2000, going 12-6, 3.15 in 25 starts for Wisconsin, with a 105/63 K/BB in 143 innings. His K/BB and K/IP ratios were below average....and at age 23, in the Midwest League, that wasn't a good sign. He showed off a strong fastball, but he didn't change speeds well and his control was erratic. I gave him a Grade C in the '01 book.

An impressive spring camp earned Putz a promotion to Double-A in '01, skipping high-level A entirely. He went 7-9, 3.83 in 26 starts for San Antonio, with a 135/59 K/BB in 148 innings. An improved breaking ball boosted his strikeout rate despite the higher level of competition. I increased his grade to C+ in the '02 book, noting the improvement in his ratios....he was making progress.

Putz returned to Double-A in '02, going just 3-10 but with a 3.64 ERA in 15 starts due to poor run support. Promoted to Triple-A, he went 2-4, 3.83 in nine starts for Tacoma. His combined K/BB ratio was 99/49 in 138 innings. His slider continued to improve, but he was still having trouble with his changeup. I moved him back down to Grade C in the '03 book, basically because he was already 26 years old and barely established in Triple-A.

The Mariners converted Putz to the bullpen in 2003, and he had a fine year for Tacoma, posting a 2.51 ERA with 11 saves and a 60/34 K/BB in 86 innings. He made his major league debut that year, getting into three games with Seattle. The switch to relief boosted his fastball velocity another 1-3 MPH, and without having to worry about a changeup his breaking ball seemed better as well. I gave him a C+ in the '04 book and wrote that he "should have a career as a productive middle reliever."

That's what he did in '04 and '05, then last year he turned in a stellar season as a closer, thanks to dramatically improved command. This wasn't really predictable given his minor league record: his K/BB and K/IP were much, much better last year than anything he ever did in the minors.

Overall this is an example of a guy with good arm strength who made adjustments and thrived when converted to a role that matched his talents.

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2006
Putz' improvement in 2006 was almost entirely due to the fact that he developed a splitter (learned from Eddie Guardado previously). Mixing a 97-99 MPH fastball with a 90 MPH splitter, you don't really need to be fine about location, and he pretty much just threw them out there and let people flail away (hence the improved control ratio).

by Fett42 on Apr 2, 2007 11:33 AM EDT   0 recs

Splitter
Yeah, the refined splitter (he had one before, but Guardado showed him a new, more effective grip) is what vaulted Putz's component numbers in 06.

Putz is a fine example of why teams salivate over one-pitch guys who throw in the upper 90s.  Teach 'em a new grip, add another pitch to arsenal, and--voila!

by Yakker on Apr 2, 2007 5:00 PM EDT to parent up   0 recs

if it was that easy
Ambiorix Burgos would still be a Royal.

by doublestix on Apr 3, 2007 12:02 AM EDT to parent up   0 recs

+1
Anyone who saw Putz strike Bonds out with 2 outs in the 9th knows that you can't talk about his 2007 leap without mentioning the splitter.
Reporting on Baseball from around the world! http://globalbaseball.wordpress.com

by jhelfgott on Apr 3, 2007 2:18 PM EDT to parent up   0 recs

JJ
I would agree, he grew up 10 mins away from me in Michigan and i saw him pitch quite often in high school.  He never had that same confidence until he was converted to the pen.  I think that was the difference. When he was comfortable all the mental issues went away and he became a pitcher again.

by rpm2419 on Apr 2, 2007 11:59 AM EDT   0 recs

Not just the 'pen
You could hear the collective groan of M's fans from anywhere in Seattle whenever Putz stepped on the mound in '05.  He had one pitch he could throw for a strike, and hitters would sit and wait for that 97-mph straight-as-hell fastball--and then put it over the fence when it came.  

JJ was a completely different pitcher in '06, and it was 100% because of the splitter.  It may not be a pitch that he throws for a strike often, but it looks so much like the fastball out of his hand that hitters can't sit and wait for the cheese anymore.  

by DrunkIrish on Apr 2, 2007 8:25 PM EDT to parent up   0 recs

Yeah in 05 he had that arrow fastball and a crap
slider.

Now he has an arrow fastball, a crap slider, and a plus split.

by Goose on Apr 2, 2007 9:59 PM EDT to parent up   0 recs

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