Drew Stubbs Book Excerpt

by John Sickels on Dec 7, 2007 2:36 PM EST in News Comment 8 comments

Drew Stubbs, OF, Cincinnati Reds
Bats: R Throws: R HT: 6-5 WT: 190 DOB: October 4, 1984

(stats are in the book)
A star at the University of Texas, Stubbs was drafted in the first round in '06, seventh overall. He has excellent tools: speed, power, overall athleticism. Right now his best skills are defensive: he is a tremendous defensive outfielder. But his bat is surprisingly unrefined for a college player. He works the count, but his swing gets long, and he strikes out so much that some scouts doubt he'll be an adequate hitter at higher levels. He posted a +13 percent OPS in the Midwest League, and his SEC of +37 percent shows a potentially broad base of skills. Stubbs has the physical ability to be a Seven Skill player, but he needs to show he can make contact against better pitching, and he needs to improve his basestealing efficiency. He could be really good, he could be merely mediocre, or he could flame out when he reaches Double-A, a definite high-risk/high-reward prospect. Grade B-.

0 recs | Comment 8 comments

Story-email Email Printer Print

Comments

how does stubbs compare...

to jermaine mitchell?

both cf's in the tough hitting MWL
both recently turned 23, 06 draft picks
both potential 5 tool types

by rayver723 on Dec 7, 2007 2:53 PM EST reply actions 0 recs

i think

b- is low--b?

--http://yankeesfuture.wordpress.com Bobby Mcnally (alias)

by bobbymcnally on Dec 7, 2007 2:57 PM EST reply actions 0 recs

2nd half

john what do you make of the numbers stubbs put up after he started choking up on the bat? think he can keep that up?

by taggartd on Dec 7, 2007 3:22 PM EST reply actions 0 recs

Stubbs and choking up on the bat

I really don't think that had much to do with his better second half. Stubbs actually posted a .925 OPS the month BEFORE he started choking up on the bat. Then once he started choking up, he still posted an OPS over .900, but not quite as good.

For what its worth, Stubbs hit much better when he was not in the leadoff spot of the line up. I don't think that he should be a leadoff guy just because he is fast. In the leadoff spot he takes pitches that maybe he shouldn't just because he is a leadoff hitter. Out of the leadoff spot his strikeout rate dropped 6% from the leadoff spot. That is fairly significant.

http://www.redsminorleagues.com

by dougdirt on Dec 8, 2007 3:57 AM EST up reply actions 0 recs

Question

I'm still learning about different prospects and such but I was wondering....
What make Justin Maxwell, and Tyler Colvin both B
While Stubbs B-
Looking at the stats Stubbs has the best OBP, while a little less average and power. They look like all college picks, mostly playing in the low minors and relatively close in age. Stubbs is a gold glove center fielder right now, but I don't know about the others. Considering Stubbs players a premier postion at a very high level defensive, you have to consider the when doing the grades, right? Even if Stubbs only posts a .750 OPS, he still would get on base at a decent rate ~.350 OBP. He really looks like a Mike Cameron type, and Cameron has been a very good MLB player. I think Stubbs should get a solid B.

by mlbfan30 on Dec 7, 2007 3:58 PM EST reply actions 0 recs

IMO Drew's upside...

is a bigger stronger Jim Edmonds. I watched him in Dayton and really looked like some freak of nature run after those balls hit in the gap and get them even. He literally has Bo Jackson like athleticism. I have never seen anyone that big patrol CF like he does. Once he started to choke up, he was great. I hope he keeps it up.

2009 Cincinnati Reds Outfield

RF: Josh Hamilton
CF: Drew Stubbs
LF: Jay Bruce
Reserve: Chris Dickerson

by Havok1517 on Dec 7, 2007 6:03 PM EST up reply actions 0 recs

7 Skill

I've never run into it what does that mean?

1941 .406

by FrozenTed9 on Dec 7, 2007 9:43 PM EST reply actions 0 recs

teh internets sez

Seven Skills: A player evaluation system developed by baseball minor-league analyst/writer John Sickels as a sabermetrically-based alternative to the Five Tools. The Seven Skills include:
hitting for average
hitting for power
strike zone judgment
baserunning ability
fielding range
fielding reliability
throwing utility.

by DevilsAdvocate on Dec 8, 2007 11:42 AM EST up reply actions 0 recs