Community Projection: Jose Lopez

by John Sickels on Jan 31, 2007 12:17 PM EST in News Comment 8 comments

Only 19 entries for Lopez...I thought he'd garner more but apparently he wasn't as interesting to others as I thought. The results:

151 games, 586 at-bats, 165 hits, .282, 32 doubles, 5 triples, 17 homers, 78 RBI, 35 walks, 86 strikeouts, 7 steals.

The home runs look aggressive to me.

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Maybe pointless, but....

John... Are you using mean or median to calculate the community projections? Median might help weed out some outliers. Or you might end up with nearly identical numbers. Just a thought.

by DaleCoop14 on Jan 31, 2007 3:52 PM EST reply actions 0 recs

average

It's just a straight average calculation.

by John Sickels on Jan 31, 2007 5:38 PM EST reply actions 0 recs

Jose Lopez...

The 2nd baseman in Seattle...nobody cares.

Sad...in NY he'd be the 2nd coming of Cano...

"Strikeouts are good...groundballs are better. Home runs are okay...but walks SUCK!" Mike Caldwell

by Torncuff on Jan 31, 2007 7:14 PM EST reply actions 0 recs

Yep

It's a small miracle that Felix gets the press that he does.

by Goose on Jan 31, 2007 9:22 PM EST up reply actions 0 recs

homeruns are a little optimistic

I think that's about right, minus about 5 to 7 homeruns.

by eeleye on Jan 31, 2007 9:35 PM EST reply actions 0 recs

Really?

You don't think after slugging .505 at the ages of 20 and 21 in an extreme pitchers park in the PCL, and then hitting 9 in the first two months of 2006, that he'll barely improve on his 2006 total?

by Goose on Jan 31, 2007 10:56 PM EST up reply actions 0 recs

PS...

Mariner fans are just down this offseason after Bavasi made so many disheartening trades. Just check out USS Mariner, they're jumping off roofs. Fire Bavasi!

by eeleye on Jan 31, 2007 9:36 PM EST reply actions 0 recs

some sort of record here?

I wonder if this is one of the most "high" projections by the community, as compared with the projection services. To point:

Community: .282/.329/.440, 17 HR (I used 9 HBP, 5 SF which were his 2006 totals).
Bill James HB: .279/.315/.418, 11 HR.
Baseball HQ: .277/.308/.406, 10 HR.
PECOTA: .274/.312/.405, 10 HR.
Marcels: .280/.323/.416, 10 HR.
Zips: .275/.314/.423, 14 HR.

I didn't get a chance to do a projection for him, but I think the community one looks pretty solid, and the other all look pessimistic to me.

by BobbyMac on Feb 2, 2007 7:48 AM EST reply actions 0 recs