Minor League Ball: An SB Nation Community

Navigation: Jump to content areas:



Sports blogs for fans, by fans.
Around SBN: Steve McNair Found Shot to Death


Tony Gwynn Prospect Retro

             
               Tony Gwynn Prospect Retro

           Tony Gwynn was drafted by the San Diego Padres in the third round of the 1981 draft, out of San Diego State University. Assigned to Walla Walla in the Northwest League, he hit .331/.415/.612 with 12 homers and 17 steals in 42 games, showing excellent plate discipline. Promoted to Double-A Amarillo in August, he hit .462 with a .725 SLG in 23 games. Coming out of college, he was a respected line drive hitter with good speed and plate discipline, but his pro debut was much stronger than even his backers anticipated. I think you'd have to rate him as a Grade B+ prospect considering his early performance.
       Gwynn moved up to Triple-A to begin 1982, hitting .328/.365/.443 in 93 games with 14 steals for Hawaii in the PCL. He hit .289 .337.389 with eight steals in 54 games for the Padres. At this point, you oldsters will recall that Gwynn was seen as a leadoff guy due to his speed and contact hitting ability, but there were doubts about his power. It was also unclear if he'd be a .280 hitter or a .300 hitter.
      He hit .309 in 89 games for the Padres in '83, then broke out with his first batting title in 1984, hitting .351. Seven additional batting titles and five Gold Gloves followed. 3,141 hits later, he's in the Hall of Fame.
      Could this be foreseen in his minor league record? It was clear from an early point that he was a very skilled line drive hitter, and his early pro performance was outstanding. But did anyone actually project that Gwynn was a Hall of Fame talent while he was in the Pacific Coast League in 1982? Probably not.

0 recs | Comment 16 comments

Story-email Email Printer Print

Comments

Display:

hm
Looking at those numbers, it looked like he would certainly hit for around .300... but a career .338 hitter I don't know if too many people could have envisioned as well.

Congrats Tony!

by blinkshot on Jan 12, 2007 9:47 PM EST reply reply actions actions   0 recs

What made Gwynn such a great hitter....
was his lack of strikeouts. DO you realize he struck out less than 25 times in a year FIVE times. Try finding someone who does that in any era of play. You put the ball in play and see what happens. But if you whiff 1 out of every 4 ABs like alot of guys today, you cant hit .330.
Some Websites (ESPN) ridicule Gwynn for not having to much power for a corner OFer (so what) and say he didnt walk enough. But when you hit .338 every year, why do you need to walk 100 times. His career OBP% is around .390. Yes he got fat at the last half of his career. But he was a great clubhouse guy, and a professional hitter. Leaving him or Ripken off a ballet is a discgrace.

by Maxima231 on Jan 12, 2007 11:19 PM EST reply reply actions actions   0 recs

.289 in the PCL
Am I reading this right, or does that say he hit .328 in the PCL in '82, not .289 as the last sentence says?  Grrr, I have to be the jerk that says something, don't I.  :(

by JeffersJV on Jan 13, 2007 10:24 AM EST reply reply actions actions   0 recs

good catch
Good catch....very sloppy writing on my part. I have fixed it. Note that .328 in the PCL in 1982 is about .289 in the majors.

by John Sickels on Jan 13, 2007 11:55 AM EST to parent up reply reply actions actions   0 recs

One of my favorite players ever
Not a lot of power, but super consistent.  IMO he never had an "off year" in his entire career.  Even on his last legs in his final 2 seasons, where he was having trouble staying on the field due to his aging body, he still was hitting in the .320's with an OBP of .360+ proving that he was indeed a hitting machine.  I think Maxima231 above is pretty much in agreement with me.

I sometimes have my doubts about the hall of fame vote when Gwynn and Ripken miss 100% by more than a few votes while Dante Bichette and Bobby Bonilla actually get some votes.

Can't wait for the Ripken retro!

by mcq fesijiba on Jan 13, 2007 10:36 AM EST reply reply actions actions   0 recs

Gwynn is God!!
How you win 8 batting titles and arent a unanimous choice to be in the hall of fame is beyond me. It really hurts the credibility of the hall and their voters.

by Jeremy1Esq on Jan 13, 2007 6:57 PM EST reply reply actions actions   0 recs

How about this:
Gwynn has the 2nd highest hits above average of all time.  (I used the average BA from baseball-refernce.com)
  1. Cobb 1068
  2. Gwynn 708
  3. Lajoie 691
  4. Speaker 680
  5. Musial 646

by elricsi on Jan 14, 2007 6:45 PM EST to parent up reply reply actions actions   0 recs

A Few Thoughts
Yeah, 8 batting titles and a career .338 BA is about as qualified as you can get for the HOF.  Should have been a unanimous selection.

In the early years, when he was still healthy, he was a surprisingly effective basestealer with 56 and only 12 CS in 1987, a year he scored 119 runs.

He averaged only 122 games played for his career.  If anything would give you pause in terms of his HOF qualifications, his durability would have to be at the top of the list.  It certainly kept his counting stats such as RBI's and Runs Scored down and he wasn't helping his team when he wasn't on the field.

by DrBGiantsfan on Jan 13, 2007 7:36 PM EST reply reply actions actions   0 recs

Addendum
He had a few truly awesome years.

1994 .394/.454/.568 with 12 HR's in 110 games.  Strike year.

1997 .372/.409/.547 with 17 HR's, 119 RBI's and 97 Runs. Might have been his best year.

by DrBGiantsfan on Jan 13, 2007 7:41 PM EST to parent up reply reply actions actions   0 recs

thanks john
i requested a gwynn prospect retro and now i got one. i didn't realize his minor league career was so short! 42 games in the northwest league (walla walla--i wish there were still a team there now, there isn't a more fun-to-say town name in the USA), 23 in the texas league, and 93 in the PCL. that's the fast track, all right.

by jpahk on Jan 14, 2007 12:45 AM EST reply reply actions actions   0 recs

Overrated
Of course Gwynn deserved to be in the Hall but, that said:
  1. Those in the press referring to him as the "best hitter since Ted Williams" are simply wrong. There's probably 25 players who debuted after 1950 who were better hitters.
  2. Speed. When you look at Gwynn's career, you see someone with incredible contact skills and excellent control of the strike zone. The big weakness, of course, was power. That's fine. Not everyone can hit for power. But, if Gwynn had worked harder to stay in shape he could have kept stealing bases at the clip he was during the '80s. I mean, you team a .330 or .340 BA with 40 steals a year and 80 BBs and now you've got something really, really special.
The point is not that he wasn't a HOFer or not that he wasn't a great player but that he could have been in the upper, upper tier had he stayed in better shape.
I defend the Pedro for Delino trade.

by Nolan on Jan 15, 2007 9:41 AM EST reply reply actions actions   0 recs

Still a great player
Yes, high batting average guys are almost all overrated by definition.  "Best hitter" by many old-school types typically means "best hitter for batting average" and old-schoolers are usually fine with that qualification.

As for staying in shape, his hitting numbers (even adjusted hitting numbers) were still more impressive after age 32 than before, which is fairly rare for batters of any body-type.

by DavidFoss on Jan 15, 2007 10:03 AM EST to parent up reply reply actions actions   0 recs

Name 25 better pure hitter!
No chance you can name 25 guys better...
If anything there are guys about his equal..
Brett, Boggs, Carew....not to many more...In todays game Ichiro is similar. he just has to do it for at least 5 more years...25 is a major reach on your part....
And dont reach for guys who arent similar hitters...I dont want to hear some guy who mostly hit .315 is a better hitter...remember. OVER .350 FIVE TIMES..
lets see that list....

by Maxima231 on Jan 15, 2007 5:08 PM EST reply reply actions actions   0 recs

Point Made
You've proven my point.

Look, when you go to the plate, you go there to create runs not to hit for a high batting average. Was Tony Gwynn the best player since Ted Williams to hit for a high BA? Sure - that's apparent in his, yes, high BA. But was Tony Gwynn one of the best players since Ted Williams in terms of creating runs? No way. Not close.

Here's 10 who did it better:

Willie Mays
Mickey Mantle
Manny Ramirez
Frank Thomas
Jeff Bagwell
Joe Morgan
Barry Bonds
Hank Aaron
Frank Robinson
Alex Rodriguez

I defend the Pedro for Delino trade.

by Nolan on Jan 17, 2007 8:49 PM EST to parent up reply reply actions actions   0 recs

Dude, thats not a valid list and you know it.
I asked you to find similar hitters and you couldnt. I named them all.
Your comparing apples to oranges. Youve got a whole list of power hitters there. You dont hear anyone mention any of those guys you listed as one of the best hitters since Ted Williams very often. But Ted Williams thought Gwynn was one of the best hitters. None of the people you listed except Bonds ever hit anywhere near as high as Gwynn. If you say your list is better because they hit HR, I say Gwynn is better because he never cost his team in lousy ABs by striking out 130+ times a year. Pure hitting isnt about taking HGH and hitting 550 foot HRs. Its about contact, controlling the strike zone and not giving away ABs. I realize todays hitters dont get embarrassed by whiffing 130+ times a year. But they should. Arod looks terrible swinging and missing at strike 3 about 20% of his Abs. However, I concede when he breaks Bonds/Aarons HR record, people might say he was the greatest hitter ever. I just dont happen to think a guy who has a career line of .304/.389/575 who whiffs more than he walks is one of the best ever.

by Maxima231 on Jan 17, 2007 10:55 PM EST reply reply actions actions   0 recs

I'll Say It Again:
"Look, when you go to the plate, you go there to create runs not to hit for a high batting average. Was Tony Gwynn the best player since Ted Williams to hit for a high BA? Sure - that's apparent in his, yes, high BA. But was Tony Gwynn one of the best players since Ted Williams in terms of creating runs? No way. Not close."

Simple logic: The point of hitting is to create runs. Tony did not create runs at nearly the rate as those players I listed. Therefore, Tony is not as great a hitter as those players I listed.

Under your view, you would rather have a hitter who hits for average, doesn't strike out and creates fewer runs than a player who doesn't hit for average, does strike out and yet creates more runs. That simply doesn't make sense and every single piece of research conducted over the last 20 years has conclusively proven that it doesn't make sense, dude.

I defend the Pedro for Delino trade.

by Nolan on Jan 18, 2007 2:15 PM EST reply reply actions actions   0 recs

Comments For This Post Are Closed


User Tools

Minor League Ball: Where the Future of Baseball is Discussed
Start posting on Minor League Ball »

Join SB Nation and dive into communities focused on all your favorite teams.

FanPosts

Community blog posts and discussion.

Recommended FanPosts

Small
Favorite All-Time Tool?
Img_small
Vin Mazzaro 6/28 predictions
Pulp_fiction_small
Which team has the best young players in the MLB?

Recent FanPosts

Small
BEST PROSPECT IN BASEBALL
Small
Smoak Promoted to AAA
27_small
Frederick's Top 50 Prospects
Small
Lars Anderson v. Chris Carter
Small
Braves Top 50 Mid Season Prospect List
Small
Who the hell is Robert Carson?
Zackgreinke2_small
Independence Day weekend MiLB thread
Small
Heyward and Freeman to AA
Small
Project Prospect's Mid-Season Top 50

Post_icon New FanPost All FanPosts Carrot-mini


Managers

Carew_small John Sickels

Official Partner of Yahoo! Sports


Site Meter