Tony Gwynn Prospect Retro
Tony Gwynn Prospect Retro
Tony Gwynn was drafted by the San Diego Padres in the third round of the 1981 draft, out of San Diego State University. Assigned to Walla Walla in the Northwest League, he hit .331/.415/.612 with 12 homers and 17 steals in 42 games, showing excellent plate discipline. Promoted to Double-A Amarillo in August, he hit .462 with a .725 SLG in 23 games. Coming out of college, he was a respected line drive hitter with good speed and plate discipline, but his pro debut was much stronger than even his backers anticipated. I think you'd have to rate him as a Grade B+ prospect considering his early performance.
Gwynn moved up to Triple-A to begin 1982, hitting .328/.365/.443 in 93 games with 14 steals for Hawaii in the PCL. He hit .289 .337.389 with eight steals in 54 games for the Padres. At this point, you oldsters will recall that Gwynn was seen as a leadoff guy due to his speed and contact hitting ability, but there were doubts about his power. It was also unclear if he'd be a .280 hitter or a .300 hitter.
He hit .309 in 89 games for the Padres in '83, then broke out with his first batting title in 1984, hitting .351. Seven additional batting titles and five Gold Gloves followed. 3,141 hits later, he's in the Hall of Fame.
Could this be foreseen in his minor league record? It was clear from an early point that he was a very skilled line drive hitter, and his early pro performance was outstanding. But did anyone actually project that Gwynn was a Hall of Fame talent while he was in the Pacific Coast League in 1982? Probably not.
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hm
Congrats Tony!
by blinkshot on
Jan 12, 2007 9:47 PM EST
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What made Gwynn such a great hitter....
Some Websites (ESPN) ridicule Gwynn for not having to much power for a corner OFer (so what) and say he didnt walk enough. But when you hit .338 every year, why do you need to walk 100 times. His career OBP% is around .390. Yes he got fat at the last half of his career. But he was a great clubhouse guy, and a professional hitter. Leaving him or Ripken off a ballet is a discgrace.
by Maxima231 on
Jan 12, 2007 11:19 PM EST
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.289 in the PCL
by JeffersJV on
Jan 13, 2007 10:24 AM EST
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good catch
by John Sickels on
Jan 13, 2007 11:55 AM EST
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One of my favorite players ever
I sometimes have my doubts about the hall of fame vote when Gwynn and Ripken miss 100% by more than a few votes while Dante Bichette and Bobby Bonilla actually get some votes.
Can't wait for the Ripken retro!
by mcq fesijiba on
Jan 13, 2007 10:36 AM EST
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Gwynn is God!!
by Jeremy1Esq on
Jan 13, 2007 6:57 PM EST
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How about this:
- Cobb 1068
- Gwynn 708
- Lajoie 691
- Speaker 680
- Musial 646
by elricsi on
Jan 14, 2007 6:45 PM EST
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A Few Thoughts
In the early years, when he was still healthy, he was a surprisingly effective basestealer with 56 and only 12 CS in 1987, a year he scored 119 runs.
He averaged only 122 games played for his career. If anything would give you pause in terms of his HOF qualifications, his durability would have to be at the top of the list. It certainly kept his counting stats such as RBI's and Runs Scored down and he wasn't helping his team when he wasn't on the field.
by DrBGiantsfan on
Jan 13, 2007 7:36 PM EST
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Addendum
1994 .394/.454/.568 with 12 HR's in 110 games. Strike year.
1997 .372/.409/.547 with 17 HR's, 119 RBI's and 97 Runs. Might have been his best year.
by DrBGiantsfan on
Jan 13, 2007 7:41 PM EST
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thanks john
by jpahk on
Jan 14, 2007 12:45 AM EST
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Overrated
- Those in the press referring to him as the "best hitter since Ted Williams" are simply wrong. There's probably 25 players who debuted after 1950 who were better hitters.
- Speed. When you look at Gwynn's career, you see someone with incredible contact skills and excellent control of the strike zone. The big weakness, of course, was power. That's fine. Not everyone can hit for power. But, if Gwynn had worked harder to stay in shape he could have kept stealing bases at the clip he was during the '80s. I mean, you team a .330 or .340 BA with 40 steals a year and 80 BBs and now you've got something really, really special.
by Nolan on
Jan 15, 2007 9:41 AM EST
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Still a great player
As for staying in shape, his hitting numbers (even adjusted hitting numbers) were still more impressive after age 32 than before, which is fairly rare for batters of any body-type.
by DavidFoss on
Jan 15, 2007 10:03 AM EST
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Name 25 better pure hitter!
If anything there are guys about his equal..
Brett, Boggs, Carew....not to many more...In todays game Ichiro is similar. he just has to do it for at least 5 more years...25 is a major reach on your part....
And dont reach for guys who arent similar hitters...I dont want to hear some guy who mostly hit .315 is a better hitter...remember. OVER .350 FIVE TIMES..
lets see that list....
by Maxima231 on
Jan 15, 2007 5:08 PM EST
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Point Made
Look, when you go to the plate, you go there to create runs not to hit for a high batting average. Was Tony Gwynn the best player since Ted Williams to hit for a high BA? Sure - that's apparent in his, yes, high BA. But was Tony Gwynn one of the best players since Ted Williams in terms of creating runs? No way. Not close.
Here's 10 who did it better:
Willie Mays
Mickey Mantle
Manny Ramirez
Frank Thomas
Jeff Bagwell
Joe Morgan
Barry Bonds
Hank Aaron
Frank Robinson
Alex Rodriguez
by Nolan on
Jan 17, 2007 8:49 PM EST
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Dude, thats not a valid list and you know it.
Your comparing apples to oranges. Youve got a whole list of power hitters there. You dont hear anyone mention any of those guys you listed as one of the best hitters since Ted Williams very often. But Ted Williams thought Gwynn was one of the best hitters. None of the people you listed except Bonds ever hit anywhere near as high as Gwynn. If you say your list is better because they hit HR, I say Gwynn is better because he never cost his team in lousy ABs by striking out 130+ times a year. Pure hitting isnt about taking HGH and hitting 550 foot HRs. Its about contact, controlling the strike zone and not giving away ABs. I realize todays hitters dont get embarrassed by whiffing 130+ times a year. But they should. Arod looks terrible swinging and missing at strike 3 about 20% of his Abs. However, I concede when he breaks Bonds/Aarons HR record, people might say he was the greatest hitter ever. I just dont happen to think a guy who has a career line of .304/.389/575 who whiffs more than he walks is one of the best ever.
by Maxima231 on
Jan 17, 2007 10:55 PM EST
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I'll Say It Again:
Simple logic: The point of hitting is to create runs. Tony did not create runs at nearly the rate as those players I listed. Therefore, Tony is not as great a hitter as those players I listed.
Under your view, you would rather have a hitter who hits for average, doesn't strike out and creates fewer runs than a player who doesn't hit for average, does strike out and yet creates more runs. That simply doesn't make sense and every single piece of research conducted over the last 20 years has conclusively proven that it doesn't make sense, dude.
by Nolan on
Jan 18, 2007 2:15 PM EST
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