AQA Thread

Mike Pelfrey

Starter or reliever long term?

by rdf8585 on Aug 24, 2006 2:58 PM EDT reply actions

starter

by John Sickels on Aug 24, 2006 3:13 PM EDT up reply actions

Question:

What grade would you give overall to the Yankees farm system now?

by yanksfan6129 on Aug 24, 2006 2:58 PM EDT reply actions

C+

C+, you have Tabata and Hughes but not a lot of depth.

by John Sickels on Aug 24, 2006 3:13 PM EDT up reply actions

Thanks for taking the time to do this John

Is Angel Salome going to be able to stick behind the plate? If not where is he likely to be moved?

by dixieflatline @ Minor League Ball on Aug 24, 2006 3:00 PM EDT reply actions

salome

good question. I don't know....he doesn't really have an obvious position otherwise....too short for first base, not enough speed for outfield. They will probably keep him at C as long as possible.

by John Sickels on Aug 24, 2006 3:15 PM EDT up reply actions

Dustin Nippert

He seems to do well at AAA, but so far has really struggled in the big league. Do you see him still being a decent prospect, or has his star dimmed from his performance this year?

by FunWithHeadlines on Aug 24, 2006 3:00 PM EDT reply actions

nippert

He still has some command issues obviously but he's still a decent prospect. Just needs more time.

by John Sickels on Aug 24, 2006 3:16 PM EDT up reply actions

Alex Gordon

Now that he's had almost a full year in the minors, what do you think a typical yearly line (BA, HR, RBI) will be during his prime?

by dmitri on Aug 24, 2006 3:01 PM EDT reply actions

gordon

Hmm......

.297, 33 homers, 107 RBI, high OBP, excellent defense, 10-15 steals a year.

by John Sickels on Aug 24, 2006 3:16 PM EDT up reply actions

Its been a rough year in some regards for the Braves system (Lerew, Saltalamacchia come immediately to mind). We also are a bit short of upper level pitching prospects with the past graduations of Davies and James. Who do you like better as the Braves top pitching prospect right now, Matt Harrison, Jo Jo Reyes, or someone else?

by abravesfan on Aug 24, 2006 3:01 PM EDT reply actions

braves

They have quickly thinned out in the pitching ranks. I'd rate Harrison ahead of Reyes at this point but no one stands out as a sure-fire thing. They need to get their young arm group recharged.

by John Sickels on Aug 24, 2006 3:17 PM EDT up reply actions

thanks for the reply

hopefully evarts and rasmus and some of the 06 draftees can start the restocking

by abravesfan on Aug 24, 2006 3:19 PM EDT up reply actions

Ray Liotta

What happened to him? He's just been beyond horrible.

Thanks John

by zhoul31 on Aug 24, 2006 3:02 PM EDT reply actions

liotta

I've heard that his velocity is down a bit and that he's had problems with his mechanics. Could be a Dan Meyer/Mike Hinckley situation here....

by John Sickels on Aug 24, 2006 3:27 PM EDT up reply actions

Ryan Sweeney

John, how have thoughts changed on Sweeney this year? The power is coming along, what is his ceiling? thanks.

by maggsmaggs on Aug 24, 2006 3:02 PM EDT reply actions

progress

I think he's made substantial progress....his power seems to be developing and he is still very young for the level. Ceiling: the good version of Shawn Green.

by John Sickels on Aug 24, 2006 3:28 PM EDT up reply actions

Is there any hope for...

Gavin Floyd and Scott Baker? I know it's way too early to give up on them, but why have they struggled in their callups and do they have a future in their respective starting rotations?

by dodgerdh on Aug 24, 2006 3:02 PM EDT reply actions

yes

Well, I still like Baker but am less certain of Floyd. I think Baker will emerge as the new Radke within a year or two. Not sure about Floyd...he might need a different organization.

by John Sickels on Aug 24, 2006 3:37 PM EDT up reply actions

Take your pick

Billy Butler or Hunter Pence, and why?

by spectfreak on Aug 24, 2006 3:02 PM EDT reply actions

butler

Butler. He's younger.

by John Sickels on Aug 24, 2006 3:37 PM EDT up reply actions

Tabata/Andrus/Martinez

Which one do you think is better right now and who will have the better long-term projection?

by 12to6 on Aug 24, 2006 3:02 PM EDT reply actions

not sure

Well, on the most recent 50/50 list I had Tabata/Martinez/Andrus in that order. I might put Martinez ahead right now since Tabata is hurt. Not sure. All three are terrific.

by John Sickels on Aug 24, 2006 3:46 PM EDT up reply actions

high school age kids.

what the prognosis on the kids: Tabata (NYY), Andrus (Braves), and F Martinez (NYM)? In which order would you rank them and do you have any red flags on them aside from, obviously, that they're young and still have to prove themselves at higher levels?

by scooter on Aug 24, 2006 3:03 PM EDT reply actions

question

see previous question.

I am very confident in Tabata and Martinez offensively. Andrus might need more time with the bat.

by John Sickels on Aug 24, 2006 3:47 PM EDT up reply actions

Cubs prospects

What are your thoughts on Mitch Atkins? He's having a great year down in Peoria. He's 20 and currently 12-3 with a 2.36 ERA, 117:49 K:BB and 98 hits allowed in 125.2 innings of works.

Also, have you heard any reports on Mark Pawelek's stuff in Boise of late?

Thanks, love the site!

by Ienpw on Aug 24, 2006 3:04 PM EDT reply actions

number

Well, Atkins has good numbers certainly. I would need to see some scouting reports and talk to some folks before giving him an exact grade...off the top of my head I don't know what he throws.
Likewise I haven't heard anything about Pawelek lately other than that the Cubs were a bit disappointed in him in general.

by John Sickels on Aug 24, 2006 3:48 PM EDT up reply actions

2006 Rangers Draft Class

What do you think of the two lefties in this draft class, Kasey Kiker and Danny Ray Herrera? Will Kiker crack the top 10 and D-Ray Herrera top 30 by the end of the year? Thanks.

by Longhorn @ Minor League Ball on Aug 24, 2006 3:05 PM EDT reply actions

leftie

I assume you mean the Ranger prospect lists. I expect Kiker to be in the top 10, yes. Don't know about Herrera at this point. Kiker obviosly has a higher physical ceiling.

by John Sickels on Aug 24, 2006 3:49 PM EDT up reply actions

Oops

And obviously i was talking about Rangers top 10 and Rangers top 30, my bad...

by Longhorn @ Minor League Ball on Aug 24, 2006 3:49 PM EDT up reply actions

2006 Draft

What team seems to have had the best draft thus far?

by 12to6 on Aug 24, 2006 3:07 PM EDT reply actions

class

Don't know yet....the REd Sox look awful good with Anderson and Bard signing. Need to study it more in depth after the season ends.

by John Sickels on Aug 24, 2006 3:49 PM EDT up reply actions

Paul Janish

Now that Paul Janish's bat has come around, with his plus plus glove, should he be considered the Reds' shortstop of the future? Who might be a decent comp for his skillset (great glove, good eye, contact bat)?

Thanks!

by gogotabata on Aug 24, 2006 3:07 PM EDT reply actions

janish

I'd want to see Janish in Double-A before getting too excited, but he's certainly made progress this year. SS of the Future? Maybe but again I want some Double-A data. Comp......Walt Weiss with more power?

by John Sickels on Aug 24, 2006 3:52 PM EDT up reply actions

q

Would you still take Hermida - long term - over Markakis or has Markakis proved he's the better bet?

by captoats85 on Aug 24, 2006 3:07 PM EDT reply actions

long term

Hmm....toughie. Very close. I might go with Markakis now but again it is very close.

by John Sickels on Aug 24, 2006 3:53 PM EDT up reply actions

Javi Herrera

What does his future look like after steroids and injury?

by jsickler89 on Aug 24, 2006 3:07 PM EDT reply actions

no idea

No idea, frankly. Depends on his recovery.

by John Sickels on Aug 24, 2006 3:53 PM EDT up reply actions

How do you...

feel about Lars Anderson, Ryan Kalish and Tyler Weeden?

by templeUsox on Aug 24, 2006 3:08 PM EDT reply actions

anderson

I love Anderson. Off the top of my head I don't know enought about Kalish or Weeden to comment here.

by John Sickels on Aug 24, 2006 4:07 PM EDT up reply actions

12to6 is a genius!

lol...since he beat me to my question, let me ask a different one. In a generally strong system, the Dodgers seem to lack middle infield prospects. Do you think Hu or Abreu have a major league future? Is Laroche a 3Bman, or any chance he'll play 2B? And is Denker done as a prospect after flaming out at High A, or does his (repeat) performance in Low A resuscitate him? Any other names I'm missing in their system at 2B or SS?

by scooter on Aug 24, 2006 3:09 PM EDT reply actions

dodgers

I think LaRoche is athletic enough to handle second base although his range may drop off in the long run . I like Hu.....not sure about ABreu. I'm now doubtful about Denker.

by John Sickels on Aug 24, 2006 4:09 PM EDT up reply actions

A Fun Question!

John - Often times when you post about a player, you'll put a picture of one of his baseball cards. Do you collect? If so, what do you collect - certain players, certain brands, etc... Also, what is your favorite card?

by ConorGlassey on Aug 24, 2006 3:09 PM EDT reply actions

card

I used to collect but haven't done so in a long time. I use the baseball card photos because they are cool, and I can grab them and use them without having to worry too much about copyright issues.

by John Sickels on Aug 24, 2006 4:09 PM EDT up reply actions

Fred Lewis

From what I've read, it looks as if he'll be given an opportunity to see if he can play outfield for the Giants in 2007. What sort of career do you think he might have? Viable major leaguer in a couple of years, or just a bench guy?

by FunWithHeadlines on Aug 24, 2006 3:09 PM EDT reply actions

bench

I don't think he'll hit enough to be a long-term regular. Looks like a useful bench guy though.

by John Sickels on Aug 24, 2006 4:10 PM EDT up reply actions

Movie question

What's your favorite scene from Free Enterprise?

by StickRat on Aug 24, 2006 3:09 PM EDT reply actions

free enterprise

I haven't watched that in a couple of years. Good movie. Probalby the opening fistfight.

by John Sickels on Aug 24, 2006 4:11 PM EDT up reply actions

Carlos Gonzalez - D'Backs

Given a normal growth curve, is he a .300 hitter in the majors?

by dmitri on Aug 24, 2006 3:09 PM EDT reply actions

possible

Given a normal growth curve, it is possible. Also depends on if he tries to develop his power more than his contact skills.

by John Sickels on Aug 24, 2006 4:12 PM EDT up reply actions

Mystery

Who is the best prospect that nobody knows about?

by zhoul31 on Aug 24, 2006 3:10 PM EDT reply actions

lots

Well, at the upper levels I am still shocked by the lack of attention being paid to Chris Iannetta. At the lower levels, there are many candidates.

by John Sickels on Aug 24, 2006 4:14 PM EDT up reply actions

What are the reports...

you have heard about Michael Bowden and Clay Buchholz?

Do you have any opinions on any of the GCL players yet?

by templeUsox on Aug 24, 2006 3:10 PM EDT reply actions

both

I like both of these guys....both have shown above average command of above average stuff.
I have heard that Red Sox front office types are very high on both of these guys. Both look like solid long-term investments to me, as young pitchers go.

I havent' really studied the GCL yet.

by John Sickels on Aug 24, 2006 4:27 PM EDT up reply actions

Kevin Kouzmanoff

How would you grade Kouzmanoff based on his performance this year, and what would you project him to do in his first full season in the bigs?

by jasunny on Aug 24, 2006 3:10 PM EDT reply actions

bat

He's got a Grade A bat.

Questions about his defense and his age (he's already 25) knock him down to B+. But a fine hitter. Could hit .280+ in the show, maybe .300.

by John Sickels on Aug 24, 2006 4:28 PM EDT up reply actions

Homer Bailey ...

Best comp for career succcess and style/stuff ....

Paul Householder, Gary Redus, Tommy Lawless, Duane Walker ... prospects rawk!

by design28 on Aug 24, 2006 3:10 PM EDT reply actions

baiely

Curt Schilling at best....Matt Clement at the midpoint?

by John Sickels on Aug 24, 2006 4:30 PM EDT up reply actions

Trevor Crowe

Can he make the move to 2B and where does he rank among 2B prospects?

by lebronballer23 on Aug 24, 2006 3:12 PM EDT reply actions

don't know

I don't know. The INdians are publically optimistic but these kinds of conversions can be tough. Hard to rank him until we see if he can handle the glove OK>

by John Sickels on Aug 24, 2006 4:30 PM EDT up reply actions

question

what's fernando martinez's ceiling?

http://sheafaithful.blogspot.com/ aamzing baseball blog

by Ludacrispat26 on Aug 24, 2006 3:12 PM EDT reply actions

martinez

A cross between Vlad Guerrero and Andruw Jones.

by John Sickels on Aug 24, 2006 4:31 PM EDT up reply actions

Sox Prospects

Who in the Red Sox system has the most raw upside?

Dustin Pedroia is the man

by Lesterfan on Aug 24, 2006 3:13 PM EDT reply actions

"raw"

"Raw" upside is a pretty vague term I think. This guy they drafted first this year, OF Jason Place, is impressing a lot of people in rookie ball with his tools.

by John Sickels on Aug 24, 2006 6:53 PM EDT up reply actions

Jurrjens

What do you think of Jair Jurrjens' season and his long term potential?

by falsealarms on Aug 24, 2006 3:15 PM EDT reply actions

jurj

His strikeout rate has slipped since he was promoted to Double-A. I'd rate him a Grade C+ prospect. 4th-5th starter or long relief potential.

by John Sickels on Aug 24, 2006 6:54 PM EDT up reply actions

Melky Cabrera

Hey John--about a year later--what's your reevaluation of Melky Cabrera? I don't think even the most rabid Yankee fan thinks he's going to be a big star, but it looks like he can hit a bit more than you projected. Thanks for all the hard work!

by SirCaptain on Aug 24, 2006 3:16 PM EDT reply actions

melky

Yeah, Melky has really surprised me. I was down on him....I didn't like his numbers that much, and when I saw him in person he looked pretty bad. But there he is in the majors. . .definitely more than I expected. Big star no, but a solid guy who will have a long career I think.

by John Sickels on Aug 24, 2006 6:55 PM EDT up reply actions

rookies

Of the successful rookies this year, which do you feel is playing most over their head and a candidate for sophomore season regression? If your going to choose Uggla give me another name too - LOL.

by natsfan2005 @ Minor League Ball on Aug 24, 2006 3:16 PM EDT reply actions

hhmmm....

hhmmmmm.....Melky? :)

by John Sickels on Aug 24, 2006 6:55 PM EDT up reply actions

Come on

Pleeeaaaassssseeee, how about:

Papelbon
Liriano

and, the best choice of all:

Luke Scott

John: In psychological terms, you were "primed" for Melky.

by rmyawn on Aug 26, 2006 4:36 AM EDT up reply actions

yeah

I was a little let down by that answer. Was expecting some insight on a premium rookie not an occasional fringy starter. My fault for not framing the question to choose from a defined pool of players i guess...

Bobby Crosby - a poor man's Adam Everett.

by natsfan2005 @ Minor League Ball on Aug 26, 2006 11:01 AM EDT up reply actions

Travis Snider

Granted that a couple of months of minor league performance is still a rather small sample size, it's hard not to get excited by what Travis Snider has done so far. What do you see in his future and how quickly could he move?

by jasunny on Aug 24, 2006 3:16 PM EDT reply actions

snider

Snider is great. I think he will move very quickly....he could see Double-A next year if he continues to progress like this, like Billy Butler last year.

by John Sickels on Aug 24, 2006 6:56 PM EDT up reply actions

Inman

How would you handle a player like Will Inman who is tearing up the sally league at a young age but already has had a sore shoulder and missed some time? He is right at 100 IP this year, should he be given a taste of A+ or AA ball or just shut down for the year?

by dixieflatline @ Minor League Ball on Aug 24, 2006 3:19 PM EDT reply actions

inman

I'd shut him down if I were the Brewers. No sense in risking him given his health history. He has excellent potential but so do a lot of other guys who blow their arms out.

by John Sickels on Aug 24, 2006 6:57 PM EDT up reply actions

Daric Barton

Are you worried about him after this lost season, and do you think his ceiling is Mark Grace or higher?

by jasunny on Aug 24, 2006 3:20 PM EDT reply actions

barton

Well, I'm a little bit worried but given his youth he has plenty of time to rebound. Mark Grace without the defense seems a possible outcome, maybe a bit more power.

by John Sickels on Aug 24, 2006 6:57 PM EDT up reply actions

James Loney

I wondering what to think of James Loney. He has performed well this year, but his value seems very dependent on his batting average. What are your thoughts? He has obviously improved, but how high has his star risen this season?

by count sutton on Aug 24, 2006 3:20 PM EDT reply actions

loney

I go back and forth on this guy. The key for him this year has been better health, but you're right, he has to keep the batting average up. Possible comparison: Cecil Cooper.

by John Sickels on Aug 24, 2006 6:58 PM EDT up reply actions

Sulentic

Thoughts on Matt Sulentic?

by Cristobalm on Aug 24, 2006 3:21 PM EDT reply actions

sulentic

Sulentic....I'm really glad I shadow-drafted him. I rated him as one of the best high school hitters in the draft, and personally I think he will have a better career than a lot of guys drafted ahead of him.

by John Sickels on Aug 24, 2006 6:59 PM EDT up reply actions

Clayton Kershaw

If you were doing his BPB write up right now, what grade would he get?

by big85blue85 on Aug 24, 2006 3:21 PM EDT reply actions

kershaw

Kershaw.....difficult call. B+ at a minimum, possibly A-.

by John Sickels on Aug 24, 2006 7:00 PM EDT up reply actions

A Couple Cubs Questions

What are your thoughts on Jose Ceda (acquired for Todd Walker), who'll be making his Boise debut today?

Long-term, who do you prefer...Gallagher or Veal?

by Raisin on Aug 24, 2006 3:24 PM EDT reply actions

ceda

I don't know enough about Ceda off the top of my head to comment.

Veal.

by John Sickels on Aug 24, 2006 7:00 PM EDT up reply actions

Jeff Niemann

What do you see for him, given his recent success?

by lebronballer23 on Aug 24, 2006 3:24 PM EDT reply actions

niemann

Well, the numbers are pretty good. I'd want to see some scouting reports or make some calls before making an exact projection. Cautious optimism seems the safest bet.

by John Sickels on Aug 24, 2006 7:01 PM EDT up reply actions

Brandon Wood

What do you make of his 42 doubles and 25 HRs against his 149 strikouts?

by ephinz on Aug 24, 2006 3:25 PM EDT reply actions

wood

I think his power will carry forward but that his batting average and OBP will take a hit if they promote him to the majors too soon. He needs a full dose of Triple-A next year. Note that he has more athleticism and is younger than a guy like Dallas McPherson. In the long run I think Wood will be fine, IF they handle him correctly.

by John Sickels on Aug 24, 2006 7:02 PM EDT up reply actions

Ben Johnson

What do you make of his explosion in Triple-A recently and relatively tame performance in his limited time in the majors? What does the future hold for him?

by Niv24 on Aug 24, 2006 3:25 PM EDT reply actions

johnson

Johnson is a guy I have liked as a sleeper for awhile. I think he is going to have a surprise season at age 27 or 28 or something, come out of nowhere and hit 25 homers for the minimum salary. He just needs the at-bats.

by John Sickels on Aug 24, 2006 7:04 PM EDT up reply actions

Ian Stewart

Is there still hope?

by dmitri on Aug 24, 2006 3:26 PM EDT reply actions

ian

Sure. He's still young, just 21.

by John Sickels on Aug 24, 2006 7:04 PM EDT up reply actions

Lastings Milledge

What's he going to be up to now that Shawn Green is a Met?

In the name of David Wright, Jose Reyes, and Lastings Milledge. Amen.

by BlackOps on Aug 24, 2006 3:29 PM EDT reply actions

K

Working on his strike zone judgment. He was rushed and it shows. Still a fine long-term property but he needs to consolidate.

by John Sickels on Aug 24, 2006 7:05 PM EDT up reply actions

Blue Jays

Could you name 2 sleepers in the Jays system you think will make a decent career for themselves?

Dating Patsy's little sister!

by Jdog @ Minor League Ball on Aug 24, 2006 3:29 PM EDT reply actions

jays

I'd have to sit down and study this.

by John Sickels on Aug 24, 2006 7:05 PM EDT up reply actions

Jacoby Ellsbury

More like Damon (avg, some power, speed) or more like Pierre (avg, speed only) - or are both of those two comparisons above Ellsbury's ceiling?

by nymetsrock on Aug 24, 2006 3:30 PM EDT reply actions

damon

More like Damon I think, maybe not as much peak power.

by John Sickels on Aug 24, 2006 7:06 PM EDT up reply actions

The Big Jump

What prospect has made THE BIG JUMP this season? Someone who was totally off the radar, was rated a C or not at all last year, and has moved up significantly.

by dodgerdh on Aug 24, 2006 3:31 PM EDT reply actions

jump

Hmm.....well Loney has to be a good candidate. I was skeptical heading into this year after his previous struggles. Erik Lis in Minnesota is an interesting guy. Need to see him at higher levels though.

by John Sickels on Aug 24, 2006 7:07 PM EDT up reply actions

Weeks

I know he isn't a prospect anymore but I wanted to know what you thought about him missing the end of the last two seasons with hand/wrist problems. Will this be a nagging concern with him considering how often he gets hits by pitches and his wrist-y swing?

by dixieflatline @ Minor League Ball on Aug 24, 2006 3:31 PM EDT reply actions

weeks

Yes, I am concerned about this. It may sap his offensive development, especially in the power department. Nagging injuries for middle infielders often inhibit their offensive development. However we're still talking Rickie Weeks here...I don't think we've seen the best from him yet.

by John Sickels on Aug 24, 2006 7:08 PM EDT up reply actions

Van Benschoten

Taking his injuries into account, where would you place JVB's ceiling?

by zhoul31 on Aug 24, 2006 3:34 PM EDT reply actions

JVB

well, i'd say a back-end starter now.

by John Sickels on Aug 24, 2006 7:08 PM EDT up reply actions

Chris Parmelee

How does Parmelee stack up against the elite HS outfield talent from the 2005 draft (Bruce, Upton, Maybin, Rasmus, McCutchen)?

by limozeen on Aug 24, 2006 3:34 PM EDT reply actions

parm

Parmelee good power potential, but not the same broad-base of skills as some of those other guys.

by John Sickels on Aug 24, 2006 7:09 PM EDT up reply actions

Jesse Litsch

What are your thoughts on this Blue Jay pitcher?

Dating Patsy's little sister!

by Jdog @ Minor League Ball on Aug 24, 2006 3:35 PM EDT reply actions

litsch

awful numbers in Double-A. I am skeptical right now.

by John Sickels on Aug 24, 2006 7:10 PM EDT up reply actions

skeptical

Jesse must have read that and thought..I dominated high A ball already this year to earn the promotion to Double A...and once I have adjusted I will be just fine. He then goes out last night and throws up this very decent line

7.0 3 1 1 1 4

Dating Patsy's little sister!

by Jdog @ Minor League Ball on Aug 26, 2006 9:25 AM EDT up reply actions

Cesar Carrillo

What does the future hold, is he still just as promising a prospect?

by lebronballer23 on Aug 24, 2006 3:36 PM EDT reply actions

healthy

We have to see if he is healthy before making a projection. If healthy I like him as a B+ type guy.

by John Sickels on Aug 24, 2006 7:11 PM EDT up reply actions

Draft 2006

who was the biggest steal in the draft, factoring in bonus money and where he was picked?

Dating Patsy's little sister!

by Jdog @ Minor League Ball on Aug 24, 2006 3:37 PM EDT reply actions

Lars

Well, I have to say Lars Anderson right now since the Red Sox have signed him.

by John Sickels on Aug 24, 2006 7:11 PM EDT up reply actions

Other bargains

I think you would have to consider Bryce Cox, signed for $250,000, in the third round. Expected to shoot up the system quickly and has closer stuff. I guess its too late to post tho

by wir963 on Aug 24, 2006 10:51 PM EDT up reply actions

cox

Good choice.

Marcus Lemon in the Rangers system. Watch him!

by John Sickels on Aug 24, 2006 11:08 PM EDT up reply actions

Is Chris Young (Ari)...?

probably the last and best offensive callup among stud prospects (somehere between Cameron & Beltran for his career) this year?

by Havok1517 on Aug 24, 2006 3:39 PM EDT reply actions

young

Unless Chris Iannetta gets called up in Colorado, or the Royals make a move with Gordon or Butler, probably.

by John Sickels on Aug 24, 2006 7:12 PM EDT up reply actions

Curtis Thigpen

What do you see as his ceiling and are the reports about improved defense this year correct?

Dating Patsy's little sister!

by Jdog @ Minor League Ball on Aug 24, 2006 3:39 PM EDT reply actions

thigpen

I have heard that his glove is better but I have no direct knowledge. If true, think Jim Leyritz with a better glove.

by John Sickels on Aug 24, 2006 7:12 PM EDT up reply actions

daniel haigwood

haigwood's componant ratios have not held up since moving from the eastern league (9.11 k/9ip, 4.5 bb/9ip, .75 hr/9ip) to the texas league (7.62, 7.01, .69). his "stuff" has always been said to be average, but his performance has been anything but. even with the drops in his componant ratio's his era has remained solid for the texas league at 3.98. what is the likelihood that he can land in texas' rotation next season, and actually stick there?

by overlord on Aug 24, 2006 3:40 PM EDT reply actions

haig

He needs a full dose of Triple-A. If they rush him to the majors next year he'll probably get pounded.

by John Sickels on Aug 24, 2006 7:13 PM EDT up reply actions

mets pick 'em

You can have one for your imaginary team's farm system:

Mike Carp or Carlos Gomez?

by jeck on Aug 24, 2006 3:41 PM EDT reply actions

gomez

gomez.

by John Sickels on Aug 24, 2006 7:13 PM EDT up reply actions

Gwynn

After what he has shown this year does Tony Gwynn jr. now have enough power to make it in the show? Does he still project as a 4th or 5th OF?

by dixieflatline @ Minor League Ball on Aug 24, 2006 3:42 PM EDT reply actions

tony jr

not enough power to start. Can hit .260-.270 but not .300 in the majors. Think Chris Gwynn.

by John Sickels on Aug 24, 2006 7:14 PM EDT up reply actions

BJ Upton

He seems to be regressing, and I find it hard to believe it's all boredom. Do you still think he's going to be the star that everyone has predicted for the last 3 or 4 years?

by dmitri on Aug 24, 2006 3:43 PM EDT reply actions

upton

Well, it's POSSIBLE. But I'm having a touch of doubt as well. I don't want to overreact to a small sample though.

by John Sickels on Aug 24, 2006 7:14 PM EDT up reply actions

Dustin McGowan

Has the Jays handling of him this year hurt his progress(back and forth from the pen to rotation, majors to minors) is he going to be an ace?

Dating Patsy's little sister!

by Jdog @ Minor League Ball on Aug 24, 2006 3:44 PM EDT reply actions

dustin

He may need a new organization in order to thrive.

by John Sickels on Aug 24, 2006 7:15 PM EDT up reply actions

pitch counts

Has the use of pitch counts been mishandled? Is it a case of good intentions, poor use?

by donniebaseballman on Aug 24, 2006 3:46 PM EDT reply actions

counts

Good question but impossible to answer in depth in this format. In general, I think that pitch counts are a very useful tool that MIGHT be overused or overemphasized in some cases. Pitchers need to be treated as individuals.

by John Sickels on Aug 24, 2006 7:16 PM EDT up reply actions

Gallardo

Does Gallardo have a chance to crack the Brewers' rotation out of spring training next year or is mid-season more likely? Can he be a dominant #1 starter?

Thanks, John!!!

"Rule #76. No excuses, play like a champion!"

by andy 5 on Aug 24, 2006 3:46 PM EDT reply actions

midseason

Midseason. I'd see him as more of a 2-3 guy than a 1.

by John Sickels on Aug 24, 2006 7:16 PM EDT up reply actions

Twins

Do you ever see the Twins developing a big bat to go along with their stockpile of arms?

by zhoul31 on Aug 24, 2006 3:48 PM EDT reply actions

morneau

Well, they have Justin Morneau and Joe Mauer. So sure, they can develop some hitters, too.

by John Sickels on Aug 24, 2006 7:16 PM EDT up reply actions

Thank you

I don't think a lot of people could've called Cuddyer's line in April either.

by evilgenius on Aug 25, 2006 1:19 AM EDT up reply actions

Scott Elbert

I read that Dodger Farm Director Terry Collins believes Elbert will be a future ace. Do you agree with this and what is his ETA?

by silverwidow on Aug 24, 2006 3:49 PM EDT reply actions

yes

Yes, it is possible. ETA 2008.

by John Sickels on Aug 24, 2006 7:17 PM EDT up reply actions

Will...

Clint Everts ever make it back from TJ surgery?

And the top starting pitching prospect in the minors is....?

by SenorGato88 on Aug 24, 2006 3:49 PM EDT reply actions

don't know

Don't know.

It might be Kershaw.

by John Sickels on Aug 24, 2006 7:17 PM EDT up reply actions

Anthony Reyes

How has Anthony Reyes done vs how you thought he would do?

by donniebaseballman on Aug 24, 2006 3:49 PM EDT reply actions

reyes

Not as good but it's not like he's been TERRIBLE. I think he'll be fine next year.

by John Sickels on Aug 24, 2006 7:18 PM EDT up reply actions

Also...

where would you rank the Cubs farm system?

by SenorGato88 on Aug 24, 2006 3:50 PM EDT reply actions

cubs

below average. can't get more specific at this time.

by John Sickels on Aug 24, 2006 7:19 PM EDT up reply actions

Billy Butler

Most prospect reviews look at all aspects of performance, and understandably Butler gets downgraded for defense. Based solely on hitting ability, how does Butler rate among the top prospects?

by dmitri on Aug 24, 2006 3:50 PM EDT reply actions

bat

He has a top five bat.

by John Sickels on Aug 24, 2006 7:19 PM EDT up reply actions

Snider and Lind

What grade would you provisionally assign to Travis Snider and Adam Lind?

by parrot11 on Aug 24, 2006 3:52 PM EDT reply actions

B+

B+ in both cases.

by John Sickels on Aug 24, 2006 7:19 PM EDT up reply actions

Felix

Any theory on Hernandez' disappointing numbers this year and do you think he'll be The King! next year, or ordinary Felix Hernadnez.

All I ever get from you guys is arson and tugboats.

by Thrillhouse on Aug 24, 2006 3:52 PM EDT reply actions

pitcher

He's a pitcher. And considering his age he's done well. People expected too much.

by John Sickels on Aug 24, 2006 7:20 PM EDT up reply actions

Deolis Guerra

Yes, I know, TNSTAAPP, but do you ever see him being a starter at the major league level? He's been fantastic lately for a 17 year old at low A ball (was just promoted to high A). I know 64/34 K/BB in 81.2 innings at that level isn't great, but he has a 2.20 ERA and has only given up 3 homers, and his last two starts featured him first striking out 11 in 5 innings and then throwing 5 no hit innings. Thanks in advance!

http://www.minorleaguebaseball.com/app/milb/stats/stats.jsp?n=Deolis%20Guerra&pos=P&sid=milb &t=p_pbp&pid=500610

When asked why I was a Mets fan, I responded, "pain is my lifeblood."

by wrightHOF on Aug 24, 2006 3:52 PM EDT reply actions

guerra

I simply don't know enough to comment at this point beyond what you've already said. His numbers are OK, he keeps the ball down, but the overall K/IP and walk rate isn't hot.

by John Sickels on Aug 24, 2006 7:21 PM EDT up reply actions

Biggest Surprises

In all your years of prospecting, what "can't miss" prospect surprised you most by missing and what "no name" prospect surprised you most by soaring to major league stardom?

by zhoul31 on Aug 24, 2006 3:53 PM EDT reply actions

can't miss

Too big a question to be honest. I've dealt with this issue in the past on the site and will do so again.

by John Sickels on Aug 24, 2006 7:22 PM EDT up reply actions

Ryan Braun

Do you see Ryan Braun sticking at 3rd? After a pretty dissapointing first half at A+ he seems to have put it togather at AA. Does he look like a B/B+ guy to you?

by dixieflatline @ Minor League Ball on Aug 24, 2006 3:53 PM EDT reply actions

bat

Bat looks good. I'd need to check current reports on his defense. B/B+ still seems fair, yes.

by John Sickels on Aug 24, 2006 7:23 PM EDT up reply actions

Justin Huber

Will he ever get a chance to start (with any team) or will he be relegated to bench material?

by RogoRooter on Aug 24, 2006 3:54 PM EDT reply actions

huber

He deserves the chance but I have no idea what the Royals plan to do with him. Ryan Shealy seems to have taken Huber's place.

by John Sickels on Aug 24, 2006 7:24 PM EDT up reply actions

J.D. Durbin

Any chance Durbin gets called up by the Twins? I think he could be a good set-up man if given the chance.

by mckeeno on Aug 24, 2006 3:57 PM EDT reply actions

agree

Agreed. If his control holds up he could be quite effective. Don't know if the Twins agree. Durbin can be something of a head case at times.

by John Sickels on Aug 24, 2006 7:24 PM EDT up reply actions

Jose Arredondo and Radhames Liz

Which of these two is most likely to have a successful major league career and why? Or maybe both could be misses.

by rdf8585 on Aug 24, 2006 3:58 PM EDT reply actions

liz

I like Liz better. Neither are sure things.

by John Sickels on Aug 24, 2006 7:24 PM EDT up reply actions

Christian Garcia

Breakout candidate in 2007 or still a huge question mark given his injury this year?

by ftheyankees on Aug 24, 2006 3:58 PM EDT reply actions

injury

Injury equals question mark.

by John Sickels on Aug 24, 2006 7:25 PM EDT up reply actions

Who is your breakout Astro prospect

so far this year?

"You hear a lot of things... because there are a lot of people talking." (Shamus original)

by Shamus on Aug 24, 2006 4:00 PM EDT reply actions

astros

You know more about the AStros than I do, Shamus. I would have said Zobrist but he's gone.

by John Sickels on Aug 24, 2006 7:25 PM EDT up reply actions

Pence

What is your current grade on Hunter Pence?

"You hear a lot of things... because there are a lot of people talking." (Shamus original)

by Shamus on Aug 24, 2006 4:01 PM EDT reply actions

pence

B+

by John Sickels on Aug 24, 2006 7:26 PM EDT up reply actions

Ryan Harvey

Though the strikeouts remain a concern, Harvey has posted OPS' of 969 and 950 in July and August. In the same time, he has 12 homers and 11 doubles. What, if anything, does this do for his long term prospects?

by falsealarms on Aug 24, 2006 4:01 PM EDT reply actions

harvey

I don't trust him to hit breaking balls at higher levels. His performance lately doesn't hurt certainly, but I'd need to look more closely at the ratios and the scouting reports before I know whether or not he's made real progress.

by John Sickels on Aug 24, 2006 7:26 PM EDT up reply actions

Parra

Is Manny Parra finally healthy? Does he still have the tools to make it?

by dixieflatline @ Minor League Ball on Aug 24, 2006 4:02 PM EDT reply actions

parra

I don't know. Sure, if healthy. Big if.

by John Sickels on Aug 24, 2006 7:27 PM EDT up reply actions

Sorry to ask 2

This is my 2nd question, so I'll understand if you want to bypass it.

If you had to pick 3 players below AA to start a minor league system who would they be?

thanks

by mckeeno on Aug 24, 2006 4:02 PM EDT reply actions

too big

Tabata
Andrus
Martinez

by John Sickels on Aug 24, 2006 7:27 PM EDT up reply actions

WHat

grade would you give the Astros farm system this year?

"You hear a lot of things... because there are a lot of people talking." (Shamus original)

by Shamus on Aug 24, 2006 4:02 PM EDT reply actions

grade

Don't know....again, I'd have to study this in more detail to give anything approaching a valid answer. Default answer is "average."

by John Sickels on Aug 24, 2006 7:28 PM EDT up reply actions

Rick Ankiel

Will Ankiel ever make it to the big leagues as a hitter? Any chance that he gives pitching another try?

by zhoul31 on Aug 24, 2006 4:02 PM EDT reply actions

no

No. No.

by John Sickels on Aug 24, 2006 7:28 PM EDT up reply actions

Eric Patterson

What's your take on Eric Patterson?

I'm convinced he could put together a pretty nice little career with numbers approximating Todd Walker... Perhaps a bit lighter on SLG and higher on OBP.

And does late 2007 sound realistic as an arrival date?

by CubbieBlue66 on Aug 24, 2006 4:03 PM EDT reply actions

patterson

A mild disappointment this year. Maybe "Cubs organization" and "Patterson" just doesn't mix. I still think he could be a solid player...your Walker comp is fair.

by John Sickels on Aug 24, 2006 7:29 PM EDT up reply actions

Hey John

Question that's always bothered me...When a scouting report says "above-average," as in "Cole Hamels has an above-average changeup," does this mean it is above-average when compared to major leaguers, prospects, or just regular minor leaguers?

by Dfarth on Aug 24, 2006 4:04 PM EDT reply actions

average

It depends on the writer in question but most of the time they mean "average by major league standards."

by John Sickels on Aug 24, 2006 7:29 PM EDT up reply actions

Oh and one more

Can you tell us anything about Deolis Guerra (sorry he's been asked about, I don't have time to read all the questions)? I'd like to know his ceiling and where you think he ranks on a Top-Prospect list.

by Dfarth on Aug 24, 2006 4:07 PM EDT reply actions

correction

* supposed to read "sorry if he's been asked about"

by Dfarth on Aug 24, 2006 4:15 PM EDT up reply actions

This or that

Brandon Jones or Carlos Gomez... and course, why? Both seem to have a good deal of raw tools.

by big85blue85 on Aug 24, 2006 4:07 PM EDT reply actions

jones

Jones. I trust the braves more than the mets.

by John Sickels on Aug 24, 2006 7:31 PM EDT up reply actions

Adam Miller

What grade would you give him and what is his ETA given how long it took the Indians to promote Sowers?

by lebronballer23 on Aug 24, 2006 4:07 PM EDT reply actions

B+

B+. ETA mid-to-late-2007.

by John Sickels on Aug 24, 2006 7:31 PM EDT up reply actions

Lane

Did my analysis of Lane make any sence to you?

"You hear a lot of things... because there are a lot of people talking." (Shamus original)

by Shamus on Aug 24, 2006 4:08 PM EDT reply actions

yes

Yes, I thought it was a good analysis.

by John Sickels on Aug 24, 2006 7:31 PM EDT up reply actions

Blue Jays drafting strategy

Do you see Toronto modifying its draft strategy (i.e. draft more high risk high reward HS prospects)? After this year's draft, their Lalonde (director of scouting) said "We feel our system in the Minor Leagues is reaching a point where we have enough quality young players that have reached the higher levels. We could afford to take a younger player that would take a little longer to develop."

by parrot11 on Aug 24, 2006 4:09 PM EDT reply actions

yes

I can see some modifications, yes. I am against fundamentalism...and that means I'm against teams that say "never draft high schoolers" as much as I'm against teams that say "never draft college guys." I think you have to do both, and the Jays are smart enough to figure this out.

by John Sickels on Aug 24, 2006 7:33 PM EDT up reply actions

Red Sox draft or Yankee draft?

Considering the Yankees got all of their top 17 picks done.. aside from Joba who is expected to sign.. and with the Red Sox signing of Anderson and Bard.. who had the better draft?

by ryanm1058123 on Aug 24, 2006 4:09 PM EDT reply actions

sox

Red Sox.

by John Sickels on Aug 24, 2006 7:33 PM EDT up reply actions

Yohermyn Chavez

Do you know this prospect?

Dating Patsy's little sister!

by Jdog @ Minor League Ball on Aug 24, 2006 4:09 PM EDT reply actions

chavez

Off the top of my head, no. Good batting average at Pulaski, but no power.

by John Sickels on Aug 24, 2006 7:34 PM EDT up reply actions

Qs

John, could you very briefly comment on each of these young players and what chance you think they have to become above-average regulars?

Rich Hill; Dioner Navarro; Andy Marte

Thanks!

and boom goes the dynamite.

by Mean Dean on Aug 24, 2006 4:09 PM EDT reply actions

hill etc

Hill needs to get away from the Cubs. Navarro....dunno. I remain confident in Marte and he is the best of the trio.

by John Sickels on Aug 24, 2006 7:35 PM EDT up reply actions

Brandon Erbe

What are your thoughts about the youngster?

by lebronballer23 on Aug 24, 2006 4:11 PM EDT reply actions

erbe

Erbe is a favorite sleeper of mine. Use the "search" function on the site and you'll find my opinion of him.

by John Sickels on Aug 24, 2006 7:35 PM EDT up reply actions

Ian Stewart

Future all star? Any shot at redemption?

Sorry, 2 mins late :)

by ISC on Aug 24, 2006 4:11 PM EDT reply actions

ian

He is way too young to get paranoid about right now. Still has a good chance for a fine career.

by John Sickels on Aug 24, 2006 7:36 PM EDT up reply actions

CUTOFF

CUTOFF. No more questions please!!

by John Sickels on Aug 24, 2006 4:12 PM EDT reply actions

The best scouts

John, who do you think are the 5 best scouts in the business? Has there been a scout(s) that has helped you alot when you were starting out? Did you feel that your non-traditional background (a history major, if I remember correctly) has been much of a hinderance or possibly an advantage?

by parrot11 on Aug 24, 2006 4:15 PM EDT reply actions

Do you think Suzuki will start in 2008?

Does Kurt Suzuki start for Oakland once Kendall's contract expires next year? Or will Landon Powell surpass him on Oaklands depth chart? Is he (suzuki) avg player, all star, backup, etc.

Thanks,

"Win or Lose, Still Drink Booze"

by Bud Light @ Minor League Ball on Aug 24, 2006 4:44 PM EDT reply actions

Esteve

What do you see in the future for Eddie Martinez-esteve? I was expecting a good year from him until he got injured, how does he project in the majors?

by sausage on Aug 24, 2006 4:54 PM EDT reply actions

Yunel Escobar

MLB regular or bench player...Betemit comp sound good?

by themurph @ Minor League Ball on Aug 24, 2006 5:28 PM EDT reply actions

Patsy Dean

One more...where did Patsy go?

by themurph @ Minor League Ball on Aug 24, 2006 5:34 PM EDT reply actions

Want more pictures

Email me @ imasickbastard@hotmail.com and i will forward you the last few i took of her

Dating Patsy's little sister!

by Jdog @ Minor League Ball on Aug 25, 2006 2:06 PM EDT up reply actions

not that interested

catchy email address...I hope that is sarcasm, weirdo

by themurph @ Minor League Ball on Aug 26, 2006 9:06 AM EDT up reply actions

Ok so it wasn't that funny

definately sarcasm...lol

Dating Patsy's little sister!

by Jdog @ Minor League Ball on Aug 26, 2006 9:28 AM EDT up reply actions

Chris Lubanski

Much of his success last season was attributed to playing in High Desert. He is putting together another good season in Double A. How close is he and does this season valid his prospect status?

by Trader J on Aug 24, 2006 5:41 PM EDT reply actions

2007 Draft: David Price

Do you think David Price will be an elite pitching prospect and no-brainer #1 pick in next June's draft?

by eazyb81 on Aug 24, 2006 6:25 PM EDT reply actions

Underwear

Boxers or briefs?

by Brickhaus on Aug 25, 2006 12:05 AM EDT reply actions

neither, commando

by overlord on Aug 25, 2006 7:11 AM EDT up reply actions

Thanks

Thanks for the AQA John. Know it takes a lot of time, but it's always appreciated.

by dodgerdh on Aug 25, 2006 2:41 PM EDT reply actions

Laird

John,
Gerald Laird has been amazing in his limited PT (He catches 2 out of 5 starts at this point) but he's been hitting very well and has been throwing out runners with good regularity and is actually somewhat of a threat on the basepaths (Especially for a catcher). How much did you like him when he was a prospect, and based on what he's done this year do you think he has a chance to be an above average catcher in the majors?

by jeromechef on Aug 25, 2006 3:18 PM EDT reply actions

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