Shake On It: Trade Deadline Discussion Thread

Who Will Get Burned?
TRADE DEADLINE DISCUSSION THREAD
Use this thread to discuss the trade deadline trades.
To get it started, consider this question:
True or False: The Phillies got screwed on the Abreu deal.
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True
Question: If you were Colorado, would you rather have John Grabow or Jeremy Affeldt in return for Ryan Shealy?
GRABOW, NO DOUBT
by gashousegang on Jul 31, 2006 11:52 AM EDT up reply actions
False
by TheMike011 on Jul 31, 2006 10:17 AM EDT reply actions
True
Yeah, but
When it's all said and done, you have to pay Hughes and attach that 3-5 mill to him as if it were his salary since you in effect "paid" the Yanks to include him in the deal. He's a good prospect - that's a lot of money to pay to an unproven guy. I'd rather use that 3-5 mil extra on proven talent.
IF they are busy team this off-season, fans in Philly may be asking "Bobby who" in a year from now. If they aren't very active this off-season, the Phils organization didn't screwed, but rather their fans will have been since it would then prove to be nothing more than a $ grab.
i don't think that's right
more importantly...they traded for another 1st round draft pick in CJ Henry...since he's a first round draft pick from last year and Hughes from two years ago - my guess is their costs are probably about the same...
Even so...
should read
Bonus money would be the only difference
Rookie and Short season 900$ a month
Low A ball 1000$ a month
High A ball 1200$ a month
AA is 1850$ a month
AAA is 2850$ per month.
well
if the phillies could have thrown in $3 mil to get Hughes i'm amazed they didn't do it...
No, I don't think I misread
I see.
False
To get that much money off your books is huge no matter how you look at it.
Like Lowell?
Look at Lowell, everyone thought he was done. He just needed a change of scenery
by deltabourne on Jul 31, 2006 10:50 AM EDT up reply actions
May the newly traded shine on that crazy diamond.
Michael Barrett ain't going nowhere.
Not Screwed & Tigers get Casey for zippy
Sean Casey to the Tigs for a AA pitcher. Brian Rogers (24/R) At the very least, a nice LH bat off the bench.
screwed
OUTSTANDING POINT
by I Love Oakland As on Jul 31, 2006 10:56 AM EDT up reply actions
yep
Re:
Exactly. The whole "saving money" excuse is preposterous, their team needed to get some young talent in return for Abreau and they dropped the ball.
Well
I don't think this was a bad deal based on the amount of money they saved to use during the off season. You need to reserve judgement until 2007 season. Clearly Abreu was not part of the future given his salary and they unloaded a guy who seems to be in a decline. Plus they got a couple of interesting prospects back.
People are really underestimating Abreus value
if i told u a guy was a early 30's career .300/.400/.500 who has had at least 20 hr, 30 sb 100 rbis and 100 runs since 99 (not quite as true with rbis as is with runs), how much would u pay for that guy? Damon got 13 mil a year and doesnt have anywhere near that kind of production. Lance Berkman is making 14.5 mil per year, and he hasnt been as consistently productive as Abreu? I really dont think abreu is vastly overpaid if overpaid at all for his services.
I'm not
re: 18 mil
by TINSTAAPP on Jul 31, 2006 9:00 PM EDT up reply actions
I'm not
seriously
yesterday within different paragraphs of the same post you simulataneously state a.) that you were honestly asking if Podsednik was an all-star last year and b.) that Podsednik was only an all-star due to a button/t-shirt/media campaign. Either you didn't know he was an all-star or you wouldn't be aware of all the minutiae of how he became an all-star. It can't be both.
But you contradict yourself all the time. You actually may be the only poster I've ever seen straw man himself. You'll review your old post and just take the part that supports your new argument and ignore the rest of the crap. Alot of people do this to others posts. I've really never seen anyone so consistently do it for their own. I guess your unique. That's something.
by TINSTAAPP on Jul 31, 2006 9:18 PM EDT up reply actions
No, no and no?
Believe me I know full well that Podsednick was an All-star last year. The "are you serious?" part was me asking natsfan if he was serious about using that as support to what he was trying to say, because Pods team bought his way onto the team with the "elect Pods" campaign they launched last year. I pointed that out a few posts later. Whose using partial truths here now?
Good Point
They're similar players in terms of walking a ton and overall reliability, but Giles is, or was, the true slugger of the two. It's kind of a disservice to Abreu to think that he ever had 40 HR power.
by sasquatch83 on Jul 31, 2006 11:36 AM EDT up reply actions
I disagree
I see what you're saying Dean, but that arguement is highly subjective and can turn into semantics when you start trying to figure in other things. What if the Abreu's replacement plays at a high level - actually outperforming what he is getting paid? It may not be what Abreu gives you, but if it's reasonably close at a 10th of the cost... well then you can start the arguement that moving Abreu actually saves you money in addition to what the ledger shows.
We also don't know what was said behind closed doors. Abreu reportedly had become dis-interested and/or wanted to win now. No sense in keeping a guy that didn't necessarily want to be there.
wrong
You stand corrected
"Though the Yankees farm system is improving, this trade was all about money. New York will absorb the remainder of Abreu's contract ($13 million salary in 2006, $15 million in 2007 and either $16 million or a $2 million buyout in 2008) and the rest of Lidle's $3.3 million salary for this season. Because the Yankees took on roughly $23 million in financial commitments, they didn't have to part with any of their best prospects. Smith is the only player Philadelphia received who's playing above low Class A. Henry, who has the best pedigree of the group as a first-round pick in 2005, has struggled mightily in his first full season."
Here's the rest...
http://www.baseballamerica.com/today/majors/news/262077.html
Angelos...
I don't even really know what the deal was, but Astros and O's had agreed to a deal for several hours, only to have Angelos step in as the documents were being finalized to be sent to the NY office.
No wonder he's considered the worst owner in baseball.
The man lacks integrity.
by FredUD on Jul 31, 2006 11:00 AM EDT reply actions
Astros Broadcast Crew
"Drayton to me before the game that a deal was done on Saturday for about 2 hours with a certain East coast team that has trouble making decisions."
There was some discussion back and forth, but the guy who said that would not say it was the Orioles becuase he promised he wouldn't say the teams name. The other guy in the discussion said "He can't say it, so I will. It was the Orioles."
by FredUD on Jul 31, 2006 12:26 PM EDT up reply actions
didn't hear that
The Boston Globe
by sasquatch83 on Jul 31, 2006 1:06 PM EDT up reply actions
oswalt
It would be nice to foresee a mulder-like meltdown, maybe the astros are that smart(though I really really doubt it)
by Team Moneyball on Jul 31, 2006 3:42 PM EDT up reply actions
true
False
Definitely a good move for the Phillies, IMO, although potentially disasterous long-term to the MLB economy as a whole. Don't like the idea of teams essentially selling players to the superpower teams.
Perhaps
by I Love Oakland As on Jul 31, 2006 11:14 AM EDT up reply actions
Casey to Tigers for Capps-esque RP, Brian Rogers
by SamsDog on Jul 31, 2006 11:12 AM EDT reply actions
Rogers?
Brian Rogers
Of course, I don't know how much value there is in a 24 year old middle reliever in AA, but it sounds like the Tigers basically gave up nothing.
by TheCouga on Jul 31, 2006 4:44 PM EDT up reply actions
N/A
Now you see why I gave up and went back to being a Mets fan. Great trade, Pat!
by tim @ Minor League Ball on Jul 31, 2006 11:20 AM EDT reply actions
Bandwagon
As a Mets fan, the only things worse would be switching allegiance to the Yankees or Bravos.
Me
After 8 years of Ed Wade, I was about ready to cash in, but then Wade was finally fired and it looked like there was some hope with Pat Gillick. Then Pat signed Alex Gonzalez, Abe Nunez, and Ryan Franklin, and I knew nothing much had really changed. The final straw was how pathetically they handled the Brett Myers wife-beating episode. That's when I realized that these guys were not only losers but villians.
Now, I tune in to MLB.tv and WFAN 660 (which I can barely get), and watch and listen to the Mets dominate. Life's too short to waste rooting for a team that doesn't care.
by tim @ Minor League Ball on Jul 31, 2006 12:26 PM EDT up reply actions
Um...
by yanksfan6129 on Jul 31, 2006 11:28 AM EDT reply actions
False
yankees trade
I don't know... if I was a Phillies fan, I'd be all up in Pat Gillick's grill, no doubt.
I think the Yankees had all the leverage
Looks like Cashman knew he was in control.
by OneHitWonder @ Minor League Ball on Jul 31, 2006 12:32 PM EDT up reply actions
False
The question of whether they got value for Abreu is meaningless - of course they didn't, they couldn't expect to under the circumstances. However, they did free up the funds to sign Utley and Howard to the types of long term contracts that they will be demanding AND they have money to acquire a FA or 2 at substantially lower salaries than Abreu would have commanded in 2007. I would point out that Sheffield is unlikely to be resigned by the Yankees in 2007 and hence will be on the market. No idea what his price will be but, under the circumstances, it's likely to be less than if he had not been injured.
What is the Phillies' budget?
If Gillick has unrevealed information that Abreu is toast, that's one thing, but I do not understand why he is dumping so much payroll.
Best part of trade for Yankees
You can argue anyway you want about what Gillick did but any Philly fan out there will have to wait to see what gets done with the money. To the point above that it is only the money above Abreu's worth - that is false. The value of this trade is what the Phillies do with the $21 million for next year. If they sign a decent catcher (3-4 mil), 3B (4-5 mil) and OF (6 mil) and have enough to sign a pitcher (6 mil) to fill in the holes around Utley, Howard, Rowand, Rollins and to a lesser degree, Burrell - this will be a great trade. If Gillick hands the $21 mil over to ownership to line their pockets - then we can begin the assault.
nope
Now, as slurve says above, it's possible that they can get more than $15M worth for their $15M if they re-invest it. I don't think that is a reasonable assumption, though. "This bad idea now will be made up for by us being really smart later?" Not a way of thinking that you want to rely on. Lacking any information to the contrary, I think the only fair assumption is that $15M gets you $15M.
your salary quotes
If they don't use the salary to get a marquee performer this is a failure. A collection of Jacque Jones and Randas and this is an abortion.
by TINSTAAPP on Jul 31, 2006 1:01 PM EDT up reply actions
I'm not slick...
Plenty available
Joe Crede - always a possibility
Blalock
Chad Tracy
Brandon Inge - good source of power
All making 3 mill or less
Victor Martinez or Ryan Doumit are possible given that Paulino has pretty much stolen the job from Doumit and V Mart (weak on defense) is already losing his cacthing job in Cleveland.
Plenty of OF's can be obtained for $6 million as well - if you get a guy who can hit .280 and hit 15-20 hr's, steal a few bases - then the only thing you lost is bb's from what Abreu has done this year and for $6 mill - you can get that.
Whether the Phillies have the management skills to not make a knee jerk reaction and overpay again for somebody remains to be seen however those dollar parameters are realistic.
If you get someone who replaces what Abreu did this year for $6, replaces what Lidle did for $5 or 6 mil, then you have just freed up about $9-10 million in money which is a lot more than $5.
In addition - the ability to give more playing time to Victorino has potential value as well given his skill set. He would make a great #8 hitter in this line-up. Getting a chance to see what he and Bourn can do for the rest of the year also has value in determining what they may or may not need for next year.
Abreu was not a $15 million and not even a $10 million dollar player this year and if he was complaining about being in Philly, then he was not even worth $5 because you don't need that type of nonsense in your locker room.
There is a great core of players here and with a few additions for next year - this team could easily be competing for a wild card and maybe even push for the division. I am giving Gillick until opening day to see truly how this trade works out.
huh
Texas just floated Blalock to the Astros for Lidge. They want a premium talent back. The Dbacks have no depth at 3B. For them to trade Tracy they will want pitching - something that the Phillies can't afford to give up. Ditto on V-Mart. Possibly available but you'd have to pay a big ransom. Unfortunately Gillick got zilch from the Yankees to help him deal for another player...
Abreu or no Abreu I don't see what that has to do with Doumit. He makes nada.
by TINSTAAPP on Jul 31, 2006 1:50 PM EDT up reply actions
Not necessarily
Whether it's by trade or free-agency it doesn't matter. They have flexibility to make some things happen - now will they do it?
got best 2nd baseman in game
center fielder who was important cog in last world champ team,
ss who went on some almost 40 game hitting streak with speed good d,
power hitting left fielder,
good hitting established catcher,
good if not quite ace level 3-headed starting pitching staff with adequate end-rotation fillers.
decent to good relief pitching
HAD one of best all around left fielder
lets see that's bout a whole roster..
uh oh..
hole at 3rd basebase
"sorry folks, guess we just too far away too contend in near future"
tranlation:
"the owner wants to pocket the muh and ah warntsa to keep mah jerb, so ahl jers set the bar so low, that, dang, abject abysmal failure is success"
another translation.
"dern you people are too stupid to breath"
by dryice on Jul 31, 2006 3:16 PM EDT reply actions
don't overvalue your players
Jason Giambi is terrific, but he's more of a DH than 1B. But if we call him a 1B, I'd go and say I'd rather have Morneau, Pujols, Konerko, Ryan Howard. No way he's top-3 1B.
Jeter has soft hands and a good arm but terrible range.
Mussina is the only ace on that staff right now. Johnson is old, banged up and looks lost at times. Wang has a solid ERA but his peripherals suggest (even for a sinkerballer) that he is pitching over his head right now.
Don't overvalue your players. The Yanks are dangerously thin in starting pitching and are also limited on defense.
That being said, the Abreu deal was a great one and the Yanks have a scary team.
by nyr2k2 on Jul 31, 2006 8:55 PM EDT up reply actions
I believe you are very confused
I don't think that post was about the Yankees but if it was then everything you said was correct.
maybe just quit postin here ..
top first baseman - howard
power hitting, around hitting corners burrell, abrue (the HAD guy)
speed good d ss, oh yea well-publicized hitting streak - rollins
important cog in last world series champ - rowland
maybe the 3-headed near ace pitching staff was confusin..(myers, wolf, hamels) so probably shouldn't have said that..but wolf was former all-star, quality pitcher. myers is good, and hamels is top prospect with good control
but understated relief corps which is excellent with shut down closer - gordon.
that's just about a whole freakin lineup of high quality filler players sprinkled w/ studs - which is what comprises a championship team.
this is the team that is dumping payroll in order to "rebuild" cuz the GM says something on the order he can't see the light at the end of the tunnel for "at least" the next couple years... and, oh yea, there only a few games out of the wild card spot now.
on the question as to who wins the abru trade..
easy...aint the phillies fan. they got an owner who wants to pocket the dough and a GM who - when he HAS 4 aces - plays it like he's got a sampler. That way, can't lose cuz never in the game.
just wondering why the phillies fans are buying this crap
by dryice on Aug 2, 2006 12:46 AM EDT up reply actions
Huh?
minor deals
by pinkfloyd @ Minor League Ball on Jul 31, 2006 3:20 PM EDT reply actions
Todd Walker
Seems smart for San Diego. He's an acceptable 3B, and I'm sure they didn't give up anyone of note. Park shouldn't hurt him as much as some other guys.
soriano not moved??????!!!!???
Julio Lugo
Does one of Upton or Guzman play SS for Tampa now?
Neither will play short
LF - Crawford
3B - Upton
CF - Baldelli
DH - Gomes
RF - Young
2B - Cantu
1B - Guzman
C - Navarro
SS - Zobrist
Of course, a left-handed power bat like Jeromy Burnitz or Ryan Klesko would fit into the line-up nicely.
that's a pretty good lineup
by yanksfan6129 on Aug 1, 2006 9:51 AM EDT up reply actions
Not exactly Murderers' Row ...
Chacon for Craig Wilson
by OneHitWonder @ Minor League Ball on Jul 31, 2006 4:33 PM EDT reply actions
Shealy traded
MLB TRADE UPDATE
The Colorado Rockies have acquired left-hander Jeremy Affeldt and right-hander Denny Bautista from the Kansas City Royals for infielder Ryan Shealy and right-hander Scott Dohmann.
by OneHitWonder @ Minor League Ball on Jul 31, 2006 4:46 PM EDT reply actions
Maddux to the
Cubs get Neifi's other brother.
I blame Sickels for this. Why in the hell is he not working for the Cubs? Come on John lets get those resumes in!
by rifle24 on Jul 31, 2006 11:48 PM EDT up reply actions
What did the Pirates accomplish today?
They exchanged Perez/Wells as the 5th starter for Shawn Chacon.
Sigh....
False
I honestly
I see this deal as being basically the same idea behind the Carlos Lee/Podsednick trade last year. The biggest part of that deal for the White Sox wasn't Podsednick - it was the financial flexibility they gained to then go out and get Dye/Pierzinski.
One thing in sports - when someone wins a championship, the rest of the league starts to try and imitate what they did. The Phils are similar to the Sox in that they are good, but what they were doing need to be tweaked. Worked for the Sox, why not the Phils?
not the same
by im not new on Jul 31, 2006 8:25 PM EDT up reply actions
Different, but the same
Oldest Trade Still Active
by TT @ Minor League Ball on Aug 1, 2006 11:23 AM EDT reply actions
not quite as old, but...
Trade Deadline
In addition to the 4 prospects from the Yanks they got SUPERSTAR HUGO SALARYDUMP. They can trade Hugo for 2 Frontline Starters in the offseason and make another run next year. The Phillies got what they wanted.
by yankee4ever on Aug 1, 2006 1:59 PM EDT reply actions
Oswalt and Schmidt?
Oswalt
by OneHitWonder @ Minor League Ball on Aug 1, 2006 8:51 PM EDT up reply actions
I'm pretty sure
Re: Oswalt
by I Love Oakland As on Aug 1, 2006 10:29 PM EDT up reply actions
yeah
OMG
by I Love Oakland As on Aug 2, 2006 8:10 AM EDT up reply actions
Fun Fact
by OneHitWonder @ Minor League Ball on Aug 1, 2006 8:52 PM EDT reply actions
Phils
False - Phillies did not get screwed
Even Boston tries to stay under the luxury cap threshhold.
by conig166 on Aug 2, 2006 1:35 PM EDT reply actions

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