Khalil Greene Projection Review

Khalil Greene (AP photo)
Projection Reviews
First, Khalil Greene.
Community: .279 BA, .352 OBP, .458 SLG, 16 HR, 9 steals in 531 AB
Forecaster: .266 BA, .325 OBP, .424 SLG, 14 HR, 5 steals in 515 AB
Prospectus: .260 BA, .327 OBP, .424 SLG, 15 HR, 3 steals in 467 AB
Bill James: .273 BA, .335 OBP, .446 SLG, 15 HR, 4 steals in 487 AB
ZIPS BTT: .275 BA, .342 OBP, .428 SLG, 15 HR, 3 steals in 528 AB
Sickels: .281 BA, .347 OBP, .422 SLG, 12 HR, 4 steals in 502 AB
REALITY: .251 BA, .295 OBP, .419 SLG, 12 HR, 4 steals in 394 AB
I am NOT happy with Khalil Greene's performance this year. I thought he'd do a lot better than this. The projections were close in slugging percentage and homers, but way off in batting average and OBP.
I'd be interested in observations from Padres fans or others who have seen Khalil play a lot this year. What's up with him? The numbers indicate that he's gone backwards. What's the explanation?
0 recs |
5 comments
Comments
Injuries?
Watching him play this year, defensively he's been a little more hesitant than he was last year. Last year he was flopping around diving every which way. This year, he doesn't seem as aggressive overall.
Or maybe it's just a sophmore slump.
by Dex on Sep 18, 2005 12:33 PM EDT reply actions 0 recs
Work in Progress
by wonkothesane on Sep 19, 2005 5:06 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
injuries
I think Greene's struggles this year are wholly injury related. His finger and toe as mentioned. You can tell he can't push off for snap grabs on defense nearly as well and hits a fair number of weak liners/grounders that look like they should be shots given his stroke. Couple that with standard sophmore stuff.
I think he still has the potential to put up 20+ hr w/35+ 2Bs and a near .300 BA with gold glove minus caliber defense given his college eye and defense last year. However, a lot of guys have been done in by the injury bug. I am betting he comes back next year to at least .280 and 15-18 homers, but not being able to stay healthy worries me more than a little. Still just 26 next year.
by roaddog on Sep 19, 2005 11:02 PM EDT reply actions 0 recs
Maybe we ran his projection review too soon
Quick, John! Do a projection review on a couple more Padres! The projection review karma is working!
by Dex on Sep 20, 2005 2:33 AM EDT reply actions 0 recs
I don't like him
by UncleMiltie on Sep 20, 2005 7:12 PM EDT reply actions 0 recs














