Community Projection: Justin Morneau

The problem with predicting Morneau's numbers is the fact that he was so unbelievable sick this weekend. He should have a huge season if he's 100% healthy, but he's not going to start the season that way.

by sabernar on Mar 7, 2005 4:12 PM EST reply actions

sabernar

Exactly why projecting him is interesting! :)

by John Sickels on Mar 7, 2005 4:15 PM EST reply actions

Morneau 2005

.279/.353/.506/29 HR

One DL trip, 149 games played

I figure he'll miss a few early in the year and get shut down for two weeks due to fatigue in or around August.

by ToddyBaseball on Mar 7, 2005 4:27 PM EST reply actions

Morneau

With his current health situation I can't help but downgrade my thoughts about him this year.

.265/.335/.485 15 days on the DL

by FuriousB on Mar 7, 2005 4:29 PM EST reply actions

285/360/550

No time on the DL

Daddyboy

by Daddyboy on Mar 7, 2005 4:33 PM EST reply actions

Morneau 2K5

.273/.345/.505
21 days of DL time

by rhodehead on Mar 7, 2005 4:36 PM EST reply actions

My Projection for Morneau

My boss would hate it that I have been working on my own projection system all day.

I have Morneau at:
.273/.341/.515

He will miss 13 games. Some of the games he plays will likely be at DH while LeCroy covers 1B, which is why he won't miss more.

Sickels, this site rules!!!

by count sutton on Mar 7, 2005 4:48 PM EST reply actions

.288, .365, .485 30 days DL

However, he'll bust out big-time in '06.

by brian @ Minor League Ball on Mar 7, 2005 4:50 PM EST reply actions

Morneau

Despite the plethora of illnesses over the offseason, I think he can have a decent season. A very slow start before putting up something like:

.267/.332/.532, 26 days

by kingofthehobos on Mar 7, 2005 4:54 PM EST reply actions

My Morneau Projections

.281/.357/.554 with 22 days on the DL

by Megawatt @ Minor League Ball on Mar 7, 2005 4:55 PM EST reply actions

Morneau

.272/.344/.512 34 HR 1 15 day dl stint

by cookiedabookie82 on Mar 7, 2005 5:03 PM EST reply actions

morneau

avg .290, obp .350, slg .550, days on DL zero. I gave him 32 HR and 90 RBI.

by rwperu34 on Mar 7, 2005 5:13 PM EST reply actions

Morneau in '05

.280/.345/.510 w/ 0 days on the DL

by ConorGlassey on Mar 7, 2005 5:16 PM EST reply actions

J.M.

290/370/550/ 36 HR 115 RBI
a couple day-to-day stints on DL

by AaronMullen on Mar 7, 2005 5:18 PM EST reply actions

Optimism knows no bounds!

Nice optimistic thoughts, but remember that if a player is put on the DL, it's for a minimum of 15 days. Otherwise they're just inactive. They can, however, be on the DL for more than 15 days, just not less.

by Megawatt @ Minor League Ball on Mar 7, 2005 6:08 PM EST up reply actions

Morneau

.286/.355/.525 no DL. 150+ games.

by ericinmadison on Mar 7, 2005 5:23 PM EST reply actions

J.M. projection

I'll say .287/.364/.528, with 30 days on the DL.

Can I also predict that the Twins will win the division every year until at least 2011? Oops, guess I just did.

Mr. Sickels: what do you think of Alex Romero? Could he either play CF or hit 28-30 homers some day for Minny? Thanks!

by Mary Sunshine on Mar 7, 2005 5:24 PM EST reply actions

romero

I like Romero but I don't think he will have that kind of power.

by John Sickels on Mar 7, 2005 5:36 PM EST up reply actions

Morneau

.282/.351/.544

21 days on dl

by AR44 on Mar 7, 2005 5:32 PM EST reply actions

morneau

280/350/500, nice round numbers

by SoCalSoxFan on Mar 7, 2005 5:36 PM EST reply actions

Morneau projection

.276/.360/.550 with 15 days on the DL. 38 HR's & 115 RBIs.

by alskntwnsfn on Mar 7, 2005 5:36 PM EST reply actions

ill take a gander

.366 OBP
.590 SLG
7 days on the DL

incidentals
30 HRs

by brazos on Mar 7, 2005 5:37 PM EST reply actions

morneau 2005 projection

.290/.370/.580

25-30 HR's
105+ RBI

by usdsoo on Mar 7, 2005 5:43 PM EST reply actions

Morneau Prediction

If he was healthy, I'd predict 35-40 HR. But since it looks like he might start a little slow, I'll tune my prediction down a tad to

.280/.349/.491, 15 days on the DL

that's still 30 HR, as I think he's going to have a monster 2nd half.

by sasquatch83 on Mar 7, 2005 5:46 PM EST reply actions

Morneau

.276/.340/.530
0 days on DL

by jeck on Mar 7, 2005 5:50 PM EST reply actions

05

.304/.386/.579, 0 days on DL.
Starts slow, monster 2nd half, but chokes in playoffs.

by irwin @ Minor League Ball on Mar 7, 2005 5:55 PM EST reply actions

Morneau

.277/.353/.548 15 days on the DL, 34 homers, 102 RBI's

Rocky Top, you'll always be, Home Sweet Home to me, Good 'Ole Rocky Top, Rocky Top, Tennessee.

by UT Volunteer on Mar 7, 2005 5:55 PM EST reply actions

Morneau

.270/.340/.460, probably 15-30 days on DL, call it 20 days on average.

by Ellis on Mar 7, 2005 6:15 PM EST reply actions

Morneau

.260/.350/.500

by jwolfie70 on Mar 7, 2005 6:21 PM EST reply actions

The Good Doctor

.268/.343/.493
15 days on the DL

by Nick Schulte on Mar 7, 2005 6:24 PM EST reply actions

Not healthy, but no DL

.282/.355/.534

No time on the DL, but I'll say he'll miss 10-15 games for health/fatigue based reasons this year.

by eclone on Mar 7, 2005 6:27 PM EST reply actions

love this kid

.290/.400/.600

No time on DL

by Keenlow on Mar 7, 2005 6:35 PM EST reply actions

DL Time..

.285/.385/.600 30 Days DL keep his counting stats down

by JPMouton on Mar 7, 2005 7:15 PM EST reply actions

Power, not contact...yet

.267/.337/.550

No DL, can't say the same for Mauer.

by The Cheat on Mar 7, 2005 7:57 PM EST reply actions

sweet...

.265/.345/.550
now all he needs is a good nickname

by erudite @ Minor League Ball on Mar 7, 2005 8:22 PM EST reply actions

oops...

sorry for the extra post...
I predict one retroactive 15 day DL stint (crosses fingers)

by erudite @ Minor League Ball on Mar 7, 2005 8:30 PM EST up reply actions

Morneau

.285/.355/.525
20 days on DL

by ShadowDBAP on Mar 7, 2005 8:30 PM EST reply actions

Good first full year

.265/.345/.500

I agree that his difficult off-season will affect his endurance this year, but I don't necessarily agree that it'll affect him right at the beginning of the season. It's March 7th today, not April 7th. I think he'll start the year on a high, but hit a wall sometime in the 1st half.

Besides, I'm more worried about Mauer's knee :)

by Oden on Mar 7, 2005 8:47 PM EST reply actions

Morneau

2x15 Day DL stints.

.265/.340/.510

by bibigon on Mar 7, 2005 8:49 PM EST reply actions

OK

.274/.355/.510

35 HRs.

Maybe, maybe, 15 days on the DL.

by SenorGato88 on Mar 7, 2005 9:02 PM EST reply actions

best guess

I'm guessing his weird series of illnesses this winter will affect him at the start of the season, and then kill him down the stretch endurance-wise. If he was totally healthy, I'd say .298/.366/.603. Since he won't be, I'll downgrade him to .285/.361/.554/30 days on the DL.

by joeficarra on Mar 7, 2005 9:17 PM EST reply actions

Morneau

.275/.340/.530

ZERO time on the DL. So he had a few teeth(wisdom) removed, so he had a little lung infection(pleurisy & pneumonia), so he had a little tummy-ache(appendicitis)...what was my point?

An interesting side-bar. I was at the Metrodome last year for a Twins game. Mourneau hit a foul ball down the 3rd baseline over my head. I could hear the ball "sizzle" as it went over my head. It was the oddest sound I ever heard.

by scarfo on Mar 7, 2005 9:17 PM EST reply actions

Morneau Prediction

.278/.345/.505 and 15 days on the DL.

Go A's!!!

by Lodgeman on Mar 7, 2005 10:03 PM EST reply actions

Island of Dr. Morneau

Put me down for .281/.368/.529, and 31 home runs.
I think this may be a conservative projection.

soxfan

by soxfan on Mar 7, 2005 10:19 PM EST reply actions

Mourn

.285/.365/.545 and 21 days on the DL

by ultxmxpx on Mar 7, 2005 10:33 PM EST reply actions

Justin

.272/.360/.550 with 36 homers and 15 days on the DL.

by ohad @ Minor League Ball on Mar 7, 2005 11:06 PM EST reply actions

morneau

.270/.345/.486 32 days on the DL

by chri5 on Mar 7, 2005 11:12 PM EST reply actions

morneau

.285/.350/.520 with 30 homers no time on DL, with 150 games played, because he may get precautionary days off.

i think i'm being nice here to a rookie in batting in the middle of a twins line-up. Though he still gets ROY, if Jeremy R. or Dallas M. don't go out and dominate

by Aesop on Mar 7, 2005 11:21 PM EST reply actions

ROY

Seeing as how Morneau had over 300 plate appearances last season, I doubt he'll be in contention for ROY.

by jonk1982 on Mar 8, 2005 12:17 AM EST up reply actions

Morneau hits...

.278/.343/.507 with 32 jacks & 0 days

-peter

by PeterF on Mar 8, 2005 12:04 AM EST reply actions

Morneau

No ROY for Morneau - he doesn't qualify. Too much service time.

.265/.345/.465

I love him and think he will have a big second half, but don't underestimate his illness. I watched Sizemore last season and he seemed a shadow of himself (viral infection?).

by pedrophile on Mar 8, 2005 12:15 AM EST reply actions

He's no Hafner

I'd venture a .284/.351/.538 line.

by Bodhizefa on Mar 8, 2005 4:29 AM EST reply actions

Yikes - though one

.263/.339/.480 - one trip to the 15 day DL

by theoldbreed on Mar 8, 2005 6:48 AM EST reply actions

Morneau

.301/.374/.499
could have a Miguel Cabrera type breakout.

by mrmetaa on Mar 8, 2005 7:14 AM EST reply actions

The Island of Dr. Morneau

.282/.342/.538/ 35 days on the DL

by Brickhaus on Mar 8, 2005 8:42 AM EST reply actions

Morneau

.270/.340/.520 - 15 day DL

by simsypoo on Mar 8, 2005 8:46 AM EST reply actions

Morneau

.280/.353/.532 and one simple 15-day stay.

by Arthur on Mar 8, 2005 9:05 AM EST reply actions

Morneau

.305, .360, .480, 23 days on DL.

by NFA Brian on Mar 8, 2005 9:35 AM EST reply actions

Optimistic

139 gp
.283/.351/.568
38 hr

by splitter on Mar 8, 2005 10:46 AM EST reply actions

cutoff

OK, no more entries after this.

by John Sickels on Mar 8, 2005 10:50 AM EST reply actions

2005

.271 - .355 - .485 32hr
15 days on DL but he'll miss a lot more time against tough lefties as Gardy lets him grow into those ABs over the next year or two. With LeCroy around there's no need to feed him into the woodchipper when monsters like Randy Johnson are pitching. I see about 450-500 PAs in 145 games where he pinch hits in games he doesn't start.