Community Projection: Sean Burroughs

No, he'll never hit 20 homers (assuming he remains in San Diego), though I do forsee a year where he desperately tries to hit for power and ends up in the toilet as far as his beneficial statistics.

No, maybe never 15 in a season.... unless of course he ends up playing a season in Colorado.

I don't think he will ever hit 20.  I projected this over 145 games, but I think he'll hit the bench and the Padres will get Xavier Nady in at third.

Yes. He's only 23. This season, his slugging will go up from all the doubles he'll leg out and the fact that the Pads are playing day games again.

.302/.364/.413 with 6 HR

For more on the Padres check out:

http://PadresRunDown.blogspot.com

Yes, he will hit 20.

No. He only had 23 doubles last year anyway, and didn't hit much better on the road, either. I think he'd have to hit nearly .320 in order to be really valuable at this point.

Funny, I just looked at his Similar Batters through Age 23 at baseball reference; Three hall of famers on that list, but two of them never hit 20 home runs in a season.

PeterF has it right:
> Are we talking carreer home runs? ;-)

Only way he gets to 20 HR is by hitting 12 of them inside the park.

People have been saying the power will come for Burroughs since he was 18.  Haven't seen it yet.

And what a strange list of comparables (to age 23)!
http://www.baseball-reference.com/b/burrose01.shtml

20 HR in a season - Nope, not unless they bring the Petco fences in about 40 feet

.275/.336/.428 11 homeruns (9 road).  No he won't ever hit 20.

He'll start trying to yank some (with limited success), so the average will go down and the power will go up (but not enough to make him good).  The BB rate will stay shitty.  Padres will bench and move him in 2006, possibly prematurely.

His ultimate future is hard to forecast.  With that body and swing, something has to be really screwed up for him not to develop power, but it's hard to imagine that a guy hitting 2 homeruns in 570 PAs isn't massively screwed up already.

I believe he'll probably hit 20 at some point, he's still young and has a chance to continue to develop power.

Of course if he tries overly hard to hit homers he may end up adversly effecting the rest of his game.

I think he presses to provide more power this year lowering his average and OBP, but slightly raising his SLG.  Still don't think he'll hit a lot of HRs though.

He's only 24, so it's hard to count him out for 20 homeruns at some point in his career.

4 HRs

No, he'll never hit 20.

GH

Yes, he'll have one season of ~25 and a couple more seasons at or near 20.

I'd say he can hit 20 HR atleast once.

He's at an age at which improvements become dramatic. He'll start hitting a few doubles, getting XBH in more like 7 or 8% of his ABs.

He'll need to play a full season during his prime to get to 20 HRs, but I see no reason why he couldn't.  I'll guess 26 as his career high.  

I think he'll hit over 20 once or twice, but not for the Padres.

I'm not looking before I post, but I can see the post prior to mine.  Big Ben and I are close, but I think Burroughs hits a few more doubles it looks like.

.315/.388/.461 11hr

Yes, he gets 20hr in one year

.304/.367/.419/ 9 HR's  Yes

He'll hit 20, maybe even as many as 25, sometime between ages 26 and 28.

.320/.390/.440, 15 HR, YES he gets 20 once or twice, probably after leaving San Diego.

.290 / .335 / .420 / 11 HR

.267/.319/.389 with 7 HR

That's if he plays 145 games, which I don't know that he will. I figure an intelligent (or safe) projection would have him continuing about like he is or maybe raising his doubles, but I'm going to go low on Burroughs.

He might hit twenty if he catches on with the Rockies.

No, never 20 home runs

dont think he'll ever hit 15 homers a season in MLB. 10 may even be a stretch. He had 2 homers last year over 523 at bats. I'd say on the days (two is plural) he hits one out you can go and buy yourself a lotto ticket.