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Toronto Blue Jays Top 20 PRE-SEASON Prospects in Review


Blue Jays infielder Aaron Hill

Toronto Blue Jays Top 20 PRE-SEASON Prospects in Review

1) Brandon League, RHP
    He was awful, 6.56 ERA in the majors, 5.71 in Triple-A, with a total collapse of his ratio set. His ratios have never quite matched his reputation and scouting reports. I thought he might have some adjustments to make, but I didn't expect him to fall apart this dramatically.

2) David Purcey, LHP
    Sound season, pitched well in A-ball then went 4-3, 2.93 in eight starts in Double-A, with a 45/25 K/BB in 43 innings. Very good stuff, still working on his command. Might be ready in the second half. Keep close track of his K/BB ratios.

3) Aaron Hill, SS
    Hit .274/.342/.385 in 105 games for Toronto. He will hit better than that in the long run, I'm pretty certain. Main question is how much power he will develop, but batting average and OBP should only improve.

4) Josh Banks, RHP
    8-12, 3.83 in 27 starts for Double-A New Hampshire, 145/11 K/BB in 162 innings. Absolutely outstanding command and control, just 11 walks in a full season! If anything, his control may be too good, and there is some Zach Greinke-like risk here.

5) Francisco Rosario, RHP
    3.95 ERA, 80/42 K/BB in 116 innings for Triple-A Syracuse, 12 relief outings and 18 starts. Solid year as a swingman, still working on his control. Good news is that he is healthy.

6) Zach Jackson, LHP
    Went 16-8 combined at three levels, but his ERAs and components got worse as he moved up, culminating in a 33/21 K/BB in 47 innings in Triple-A with 61 hits allowed. Was obviously rushed according to the numbers, and could use a consolidation season at one level. Still a good prospect long-term.

7) Russ Adams, SS
    Hit .256/.325/.383 in 139 games for the Blue Jays. Drew 50 walks against just 57 strikeouts in 481 at-bats. I like the BB/K/AB ratio, but overall he hasn't hit as well as expected when he was in college, just a .283/.362/.393 mark in his minor league career with no signs of growth.

8) Guillermo Quiroz, C
    Limited to 48 games by injuries and did not hit well when he did play. It's been two years since his big breakout, leading to fears that his '03 campaign was the illusion.

9) Dustin McGowan, RHP
    Fully recovered from Tommy John surgery. Posted 6.35 ERA in 45 major league innings, but if you saw him pitch his natural talent was obvious. Even slight improvement in his command will make him a dominator.

10) Shawn Marcum, RHP
     6-4, 4.95 in 18 starts for Syracuse, 90/18 K/BB in 104 innings. Like Josh Banks, his command is terrific, but sometimes he is too hittable.

11) Jamie Vermilyea, RHP
      Great as a swingman in Double-A (2.60 ERA, 52/16 K/BB in 66 innings) but less effective in Triple-A, with 5.60 ERA and 49 hits in 35 innings. Probably better off strictly in relief.

12) Gabe Gross, OF
     Unable to duplicate his spring training power outburst, but still hit .297/.380/.438 in Triple-A. I like him but he is something of a tweener, and probably won't be a regular.

13) John Hattig, 3B
      Lost most of the season to injury, though he hit .316/.387/.421 in 26 games for Syracuse when healthy.  Too old at age 25 to be a top prospect, but he has some ability.

14) Adam Lind, OF
      Hit .313/.375/.487 in 126 games for Dunedin, with 42 doubles and 12 homers. A very intriguing prospect who deserves more attention.

15) Ismael Ramirez, RHP
      Went 8-13, 4.12 in 27 starts for New Hampshire, 125/32 K/BB in 151 innings. Another efficient strike thrower who doesn't have a great ceiling but usually pitches well.

16) Vince Perkins, RHP
      7-7, 4.03 for New Hampshire, 111/51 K/BB in 132 innings. Better stuff than Ramirez, and gradually improving command.

17) Gustavo Chacin, LHP
      Boy, was I WRONG about this guy! Went 13-9, 3.72 in 34 starts for the Jays, 121/70 K/BB in 203 innings. His minor league track record was erratic, I didn't like his ratios, and whenever I saw him pitch he just nibbled around the sides and got hit hard. But he comes to the majors, wins 13 games, and makes me look like a chump. Good job, Gustavo! Next step: doing it again.

18) Curtis Thigpen, C
     Sleeper prospect, hit .287/.397/.413 for Lansing in the Midwest League, with an excellent 54/34 BB/K ratio in 293 at-bats. Hit .284/.340/.426 in 39-game trial in Double-A. I like him.

19) Davis Romero, LHP
      Scouts don't like him much and he's been exposed to Rule 5, but stat-wise there are things to like here, including a career 503/112 K/BB ratio in 405 innings, with a 3.03 ERA. Went 9-6, 3.47 as a swingman for Dunedin, 136/34 K/BB in 125 innings.

20) Yuber Rodriguez, OF
      Tools outfielder was awful for Lansing, hitting .200/.293/.277, struck out 114 times in 111 games.

Mixed results here. The Jays have a collection of command pitchers and hard-throwers, but few guys who combine both skills. I still don't know what to make of Chacin and I wish his walk rate would come down a bit, but I have to respect what he did this year.

0 recs | Comment 13 comments

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John Ford Griffin
Not in the top 20, but where does he fit into the 2006 Blue Jays?  Is he a 5th OF/DH, does he platoon, is he just a AAAA guy who spends another year in AAA?  He strikes out a ton, but will take a walk and hit 30 homers at Syracuse last year.

by mhef08 on Nov 28, 2005 5:06 PM EST   0 recs

Griffin
Griffin's problem is the Jays have four outfielders--five if they add Giles--and they've shown they prefer Gross.

Next year, they may give a look to Negron, too.

by Mr Met on Nov 28, 2005 5:51 PM EST to parent up   0 recs

McGowan
John, what is your gut instinct on McGowan?  Is he a future #1?

by samjjones on Nov 28, 2005 5:10 PM EST   0 recs

lind
I think Lind is a huge sleeper.  John, do you see him in AA all year next year?  Or whats the ETA for Jackson and Percey?

by philblunt on Nov 28, 2005 7:33 PM EST   0 recs

Chacin
Even after Chacin had an amazingly consistent year everyone continues to doubt his ability to repeat his success....After watching everyone of the kid's start i am pretty confident he will give the Jays another 200 plus innings with a 3.8ish era. The kid knows how to pitch.

On another note McGowan looked filthy at times and has a Roy Halladay type ceiling...I am hoping JP doesn't include him in any package deals.

Finally....What do you see the Jays doing with Thigpen? do they keep him at the C position?

Dating Patsy's little sister!

by Jdog on Nov 28, 2005 9:57 PM EST   0 recs

Not impossible, I suppose
Even after Chacin had an amazingly consistent year everyone continues to doubt his ability to repeat his success....After watching everyone of the kid's start i am pretty confident he will give the Jays another 200 plus innings with a 3.8ish era. The kid knows how to pitch.

Allan Anderson was able to squeeze out another quality year similar to that, so I don't see why Chacin can't. Not saying it's likely, but it's possible.

by Sulla on Nov 28, 2005 10:23 PM EST to parent up   0 recs

O-Dog
I wonder whathis line would look like with O-Dog out and Soriano at 2B, just a thought.

by Ienpw on Nov 29, 2005 1:45 PM EST to parent up   0 recs

Casey Janssen
A guy to watch out for next year (and who will undoubtedly be on this list) is Casey Janssen. He was a 4th rounder in the 2004 draft out of UCLA, and in his first full season (from low A to AA) he had a combined line of:
148.2 ip, 2.17 era, 122 h, 5 hr, 136/20 k/bb at age 23. Not too shabby.

Also, Francisco Rosario has filthy, filthy stuff. If he hadnt had TJ surgery in 2003, he would be killing in the majors now.

by Anders on Nov 29, 2005 1:38 AM EST   0 recs

janssen + jays
i think janssen is amazing.. theres not many pitching prospects i'd rank above him (i already got blasted for it hehe).. but that line is great and he has good use of 5 pitches, good  control. i think he could be the bluejays best guy right now

i like Rosario also if he gets healthy.. they have so many good pitchers in their system that are a little underrated - banks, marcum, israel ramirez, zach jackson, ect.. on top of that, they drafted romero this year.. i think their pitching depth could shock alot of people.. ricciardi is in a great position to make a trade if theres any market for one of their  pitchers

by ufo on Nov 29, 2005 2:00 PM EST to parent up   0 recs

Purcey
He has the potential to be great, but the chance of him being ready in 2006 is small.  His W/IP needs to get down to 4 before you'd even think about it. He struggled getting through 5 innings in single A even when he was throwing a shutout, because he'd be up at 85-90 pitches.

If he does improve his command over the first half of the season in double A, they can then promote him to triple A and see if he can replicate it there in the second half.  All going well, he has a shot at making the team out of spring training in 2007.

by Mike Green on Nov 29, 2005 9:50 AM EST   0 recs

Thigpen
"18) Curtis Thigpen, C; Sleeper prospect, hit .287/.397/.313 for Lansing in the Midwest League"

That should be a .413 SLG%.

"Hit .284/.340/.426 in 39-game trial in Double-A"

And that includes a slow start after skipping the FSL and going right to AA from the Midwest League.

First two weeks at NH: 38 AB, .211/.268/.342, 1 HR, 2 BB, 8 K
Rest of season at NH: 103 AB, .311/.366/.456, 3 HR, 7 BB, 11 K

by Pistol on Nov 29, 2005 11:57 AM EST   0 recs

yates
Will Kyle Yates make the '05 list?

by FI on Nov 29, 2005 3:52 PM EST   0 recs

Maybe
He had a pretty decent 2005, but unless something changes, he's probably in the 15-25ish range of T.O. prospects. Still, he walks few and doesnt allow a lot of home runs.

by Anders on Nov 30, 2005 5:13 PM EST to parent up   0 recs

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