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Yu Darvish vs. Bryce Harper

I've been thinking more about Texas Rangers signing Yu Darvish today and was trying to figure out a new angle to approach this, to stimulate more community discussion.

I asked a poll question about Darvish yesterday, and so far 54% of you think that the Rangers did NOT spend too much money on him, that he'll be worth the $111 million in other words.

What I want to do today is take monetary considerations away and focus on Darvish's value to a team, solely in terms of wins or losses.

Not worrying about money, if you could have Yu Darvish or Washington Nationals prospect Bryce Harper for the next ten years, who would you pick? I'm not thinking in fantasy terms here, but rather real life baseball. Who would you rather have for the next decade? I realize that Harper might not be in the majors in 2012, so assume that Harper's "decade clock" for purposes of the question begins whenever he reaches the majors, even if that is 2013 or 2014.

Poll
Would you rather have Yu Darvish or Bryce Harper for the next decade?
Yu Darvish
282 votes
Bryce Harper
1817 votes

2099 votes | Poll has closed

112 comments  | 

The Ultimate Sports Social Media Job Contest

XFINITY Presents: The Ultimate Sports Social Media Job Contest

Have you ever wanted a shot at winning your dream job in sports social media? Here's your chance - XFINITY is launching a nationwide contest to find the next sports social media star to serve as the voice of XFINITY behind-the-scenes at the biggest sporting events nationwide in 2012.

The contest is called "Xfinity Presents: The Ultimate Sports Social Media Job" and runs from January 13th through March 25th. The winner will receive a one-year salary, all the electronics for the ultimate sports pad, and will have the opportunity to share thoughts, insights, and content with fans nationwide via the @XFINITYSports Twitter handle on a daily basis. This is truly a dream job opportunity for anyone looking to make a name for themselves in the world of sports and social media.

Here's how it works:

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0 comments  | 

Washington Nationals Top 20 Prospects for 2012

Washington Nationals  draft picks pitcher Alex Meyer (17), third baseman Anthony Rendon (23) and outfielder Brian Goodwin  are introduced before a baseball game against the Arizona Diamondbacks, Tuesday, Aug. 23, 2011, in Washington. (AP Photo/Luis M. Alvarez)

Washington Nationals Top 20 Prospects for 2012

THIS LIST WAS REVISED JANUARY 19, 2012

The list and grades are a blending of present performance and long-term potential. Comments are welcome, but in the end all analysis and responsibility is mine of course. Full reports on all of players can be found in the 2012 Baseball Prospect Book. We are now taking pre-orders. Order early and order often!

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193 comments  | 

Toronto Blue Jays Top 20 Prospects for 2012

Toronto Blue Jays relief pitcher Joel Carreno throws in the eighth inning of a baseball game against the Tampa Bay Rays Friday, Sept. 23, 2011, in St. Petersburg, Fla. The Blue Jays won 5-1. (AP Photo/Mike Carlson)

Toronto Blue Jays Top 20 Prospects for 2012

THIS WAS UPDATED JANUARY 19, 2012

The list and grades are a blending of present performance and long-term potential. Comments are welcome, but in the end all analysis and responsibility is mine of course. Full reports on all of players can be found in the 2012 Baseball Prospect Book. We are now taking pre-orders. Order early and order often!

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205 comments  |  1 recs | 

New York Yankees Top 20 Prospects for 2012

ST PETERSBURG, FL - SEPTEMBER 28:  Pitcher Dellin Betances #68 of the New York Yankees pitches against the Tampa Bay Rays during the game at Tropicana Field on September 28, 2011 in St. Petersburg, Florida.  (Photo by J. Meric/Getty Images)

New York Yankees Top 20 Prospects for 2012

THIS LIST WAS UPDATED JANUARY 19, 2012

The list and grades are a blending of present performance and long-term potential. Comments are welcome, but in the end all analysis and responsibility is mine of course. Full reports on all of players can be found in the 2012 Baseball Prospect Book. We are now taking pre-orders. Order early and order often!

Continue reading this post »

470 comments  | 

Boston Red Sox Top 20 Prospects for 2012

Ryan Lavarnway of the Boston Red Sox hits a home run against the Baltimore Orioles during the fourth inning at Oriole Park at Camden Yards on September 27, 2011 in Baltimore, Maryland.  (Photo by Rob Carr/Getty Images)

Boston Red Sox Top 20 Prospects for 2012

THIS LIST WAS UPDATED JANUARY 19, 2012

The list and grades are a blending of present performance and long-term potential. Comments are welcome, but in the end all analysis and responsibility is mine of course. Full reports on all of players can be found in the 2012 Baseball Prospect Book. We are now taking pre-orders. Order early and order often!

Continue reading this post »

255 comments  | 

Thinking about Yu Darvish

New car, caviar, four-star daydream (AP Photo/Jeff Chiu, File)

As everyone knows by now, the Texas Rangers signed Yu Darvish yesterday to a six-year, $60 million contract, plus a $51 million posting fee. Rob Neyer at Baseball Nation has a good rundown of how Darvish compares to other Japanese pitchers who have made the transition to the North America. I was starting to write a similar piece, but I saw what Rob wrote and I decided not to waste my time duplicating the same information.

Rob's conclusion:

"Yu Darvish has the performance, he has the pitches, and I think he might be the Rangers' staff ace this season. I certainly think he'll rank among Hideo Nomo, Hiroki Kuroda, and Daisuke Matsuzaka at their best. Which would make Darvish, if he doesn't get hurt, well worth the Rangers' $19 million-per-season investment. And unlike Matsuzaka before he joined the Red Sox, Darvish has never really been hurt."

I have to agree with that. I think the chances are quite high that Darvish will be as good as everyone expects, a genuine ace.

If I was going to give Darvish a prospect grade, he would be a Grade A. However, given his age and experience level in Japan, I really don't see Darvish as a typical "prospect." In my mind, this is more like a major league free agent signing, and certainly the Texas Rangers farm system does not deserve credit for "developing" Darvish.

Including the posting fee, the Rangers spent over $111 million to sign him. Do you think that's too much to pay, even for a guy who should be/could be a number one starter?

Poll
Including his contract and the posting fee, did the Rangers spend too much on Yu Darvish?
Yes
493 votes
No
601 votes

1094 votes | Poll has closed

73 comments  | 

Rating the Farm Systems: Preliminary Steps

I've updated all the Top 20 lists, and you can find the menu with links to all of them over on the left side of the page. Teams with major changes I will repost and re-open the comment threads today and tomorrow.

The next step is to rank the farm systems. Some readers in the Fanpost section have taken the grades and, using a variety of different methodologies, come up with a ranking system. Each poster has used a slightly different approach.
Anyone who has done that or wants to do that, feel free to go ahead and continue. You can use the grades as they are currently listed. I have my own ranking system but I'm interested in seeing how the results compare to what you guys come up with. The main caveat: don't count Yu Darvish as a "prospect" for the Rangers. I'm still trying to figure out what to do about him.

6 comments  | 

Houston Astros Top 20 Prospects for 2012

Houston Astros Top 20 Prospects for 2012

THIS LIST WAS REVISED JANUARY 18, 2012

The list and grades are a blending of present performance and long-term potential. Comments are welcome, but in the end all analysis and responsibility is mine of course. Full reports on all of players can be found in the 2012 Baseball Prospect Book. We are now taking pre-orders. Order early and order often!

Continue reading this post »

161 comments  | 

Chicago White Sox Top 20 Prospects for 2012

Addison Reed of the Chicago White Sox pitches in the fourth inning during the game against the Detroit Tigers at Comerica Park on September 4, 2011 in Detroit, Michigan.  (Photo by Leon Halip/Getty Images)

Chicago White Sox Top 20 Prospects for 2012

REVISED JANUARY 18, 2012

The list and grades are a blending of present performance and long-term potential. Comments are welcome, but in the end all analysis and responsibility is mine of course. Full reports on all of players can be found in the 2012 Baseball Prospect Book. We are now taking pre-orders. Order early and order often!

Continue reading this post »

105 comments  | 


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