The difficulty of evaluating International players

With minimal accurate information and not a lot of video available, evaluating the international class is difficult.

Pitching is the most difficult thing to assess in the 2014 International amateur class. Most pitchers develop immensely from 16-21 years old and often the most from 16-18. We don't get to see this development with international arms prior to them signing. We have to guess what is going to occur.

As for me, some of the information with these guys is flat out lied about. While scouts see these guys, I don't get that for all of them. I'll use Anderson Espinoza as my example. Don't get me wrong, I really like him as a prospect but there is some misinformation out there. If you go to MLB.com and look at their list, Espinoza is 10th on their list. He is a 5'10, 150 LB teenager that gets a Pedro Martinez comp dropped on him. It also says his "fastball hovers in the 91 to 93 mph range" but that is not even close to accurate.

Lets put this in MLB Draft terms to describe what can occur. Brady Aiken will turn 18 on August 16th this year. I saw Aiken at Perfect Game National last year sitting 88-90 and hitting 92. He was just shy of being 17 at this point. This spring he was 92-95 and touching 97. If he were an international prospect, he would have been eligible to sign on his birthday in 2012, I believe.

Aiken pitched at PG Junior National in 2012 and was 87-88 with a 76 MPH curveball and 80 MPH change. At the Area Code Games that August, he was 85-87 with a 74 MPH curve and 77 MPH change.As a comparison, Anderson Espinoza sits 85-87, has a 70-72 MPH breaker and a 76-78 MPH change.

Does that mean Espinoza will be hitting 97 in two years? Someone will have to make a seven figure decision on whether that he will or won't within the next month or so, if not the next week. In my opinion, he's worth whatever he gets but like any 16 year old throwing 87, it's a gamble.

One extra layer to think about here is that Brady Aiken is very young for his class and most players that attended PG junior national this year would have already signed last year.

X
Log In Sign Up

forgot?
Log In Sign Up

Please choose a new SB Nation username and password

As part of the new SB Nation launch, prior users will need to choose a permanent username, along with a new password.

Your username will be used to login to SB Nation going forward.

I already have a Vox Media account!

Verify Vox Media account

Please login to your Vox Media account. This account will be linked to your previously existing Eater account.

Please choose a new SB Nation username and password

As part of the new SB Nation launch, prior MT authors will need to choose a new username and password.

Your username will be used to login to SB Nation going forward.

Forgot password?

We'll email you a reset link.

If you signed up using a 3rd party account like Facebook or Twitter, please login with it instead.

Forgot password?

Try another email?

Almost done,

By becoming a registered user, you are also agreeing to our Terms and confirming that you have read our Privacy Policy.

Join Minor League Ball

You must be a member of Minor League Ball to participate.

We have our own Community Guidelines at Minor League Ball. You should read them.

Join Minor League Ball

You must be a member of Minor League Ball to participate.

We have our own Community Guidelines at Minor League Ball. You should read them.

Spinner.vc97ec6e

Authenticating

Great!

Choose an available username to complete sign up.

In order to provide our users with a better overall experience, we ask for more information from Facebook when using it to login so that we can learn more about our audience and provide you with the best possible experience. We do not store specific user data and the sharing of it is not required to login with Facebook.

tracking_pixel_9351_tracker