First, it's about a year later, let's see how these 2012 clowns are doing, and enjoy the first and final few line breaks in this whole post. What's up with that?
1.(30) Zach Eflin, RHP, Chuluota, FL
Really started to come on after an uninspiring start and holding his own as one of the youngest pitchers at his level.
2.(89) Alec Rash, RHP, Adel, IA - did not sign
Now this chaps my ass. I was in the budgetary catbird seat and could've signed nearly anyone in the draft, but those tightwads in Philly can't budget properly. Rash got shut down with elbow troubs this year, that's what you get.
2.(94) Edwin Diaz, RHP, Caguas, PR
Thin, great arm, and green as whatever the most cliched plant is. Lots of walks in rookie ball last year, it'll be fun to see what he can make of himself.
3.(124) Damion Carroll, RHP, King George,VA
Same story as above, but instead of a whippy wisp, he's built to last. 6th round pick of the Real Rays (it's a shadow draft, not a hindsight draft), will move real slow.
4.(157) Dylan Baker, RHP, Western Nevada College
Wheels have completely fallen off after a great start in the MWL. Still has a good arm and only now college draft age, but needs to get something going.
5.(187) Josh Elander, C, TCU
Offensive minded catcher is now an outfielder, but still very offensive minded. Tearing the cover off the ball in the SAL and looking like a deal.
6.(217) Preston Tucker, OF, Florida
He was sure to hit in the low minors, and so far so good. All bat, and not a great prospect, but up to par thus far.
7.(247) Jamodrick McGruder, 2B, Texas Tech
Hit a soggy .237-.353-.281 in the NYPL but walked more than he K'd and stole 30 bases in 65 games, so the advertised skills are present at least. No full season assignment for 2013, but he could pop up as a sleeper with a BABIP correction.
8.(277) Taylor Dugas, OF, Alabama
Yankee pick I can get behind: signed for 10 Gs, and immediately established ownership of the strike zone. Borderline non-prospect but very skilled like a poor man's Mike O'Neill, or a young Brett Gardner if he were a veal calf.
9.(307) Jeremy Rathjen, OF, Rice
Athletic senior had a strong rookie ball experience, but his bat has evaporated in 2013. Still has tools and is probably a lot better than his line, but officially a coma prospect...or a blink prospect? Which is which?
10.(337) Sam Stafford, LHP, Texas
The man who brought you the Alec Rash pick, back on the field after labrum surgery. Walking the yard in A ball and now in the pen, but had a good curve and above average velocity a couple years ago. We'll wait, it's all profit.
And now for 2013. Decided to go the whole 40 this year cause I know a little more, and even if it's hard to account for everything realistically, who cares? Chalk picks are *'d
1.(26) Rob Kaminsky, LHP, Montvale, NJ
1.(32) Aaron Judge, OF, Fresno State *
1.(33) Ian Clarkin, LHP, San Diego, CA *
2.(66) Tucker Neuhaus, 3B, Tampa, FL
3.(90) Ryon Healy, 1B, Oregon
3.(103) Matt McPhearson, OF, Upper Marlboro, MD
4.(134) Trey Masek, RHP, Texas Tech
5.(164) Sam Wolff, RHP, New Mexico
6.(194) David Garner, RHP, Michigan State
7.(224) Mitchell Garver, C, New Mexico
8.(254) Brandon Thomas, OF, Georgia Tech *
9.(284) Malik Collymore, 2B, Toronto, ON
10.(314) Michael Bass, 2B, UNC - Wilmington
Projectable Righties and advanced hitting gives way to Pitchable Lefties and tools. Heading into pick #26, my top 4 remaining were Kaminsky, Judge, Clarkin and Ervin, tightly bunched, and it wasn't close. Because the butterfly effect doesn't exist in shadow drafting, Kaminsky, in addition to just being at the top of my "board," was also probably the pick that was most likely to leave at least two of the others around for 32 and 33, so, success. In the real world of course, if the Yankees had picked Kaminsky, Aaron Judge might've never even been born. I think that's how that works. Easy-peasy.
I was super torn in round 2 between Neuhaus, Jan Hernandez, Tyler O'Neill (the C -> 3B, not the OF), and Jordan Paroubeck. Neuhaus is by far the least exciting of the three right now and maybe the foreseeable future, but he's super young and his slow burning potential edges Paroubeck's flash. I can't only draft outfielders. Apparently he just signed at slot for the Brewers, so that's one fish in the bag (which is an expression. fish in, cat out). Turns out Hernandez was around at #89, but I'm locked into college players with that one, and Healy is one of my faves. Athletic perhaps to the point of positional versatility (?) rarely Ks, big raw power...he Reads. McPhearson's another veteran of the Reds CMD, the DeAnthony Thomas to Judge's Rob Gronkowski. There's been a lot of tough sign talk about him around here, but this is the only place I've heard it. He's getting his money. I thought I hated Masek before the draft started (BA has him ranked 49th. What?), but apparently MLB really hates him. I like him just fine here. Would've preferred Covey, who went just before. Lively, who wound up going right after, was #2 in the mix but despite Masek's role-uncertainty and worrying delivery, the athleticism and ability to keep it on the ground with his, uh, livelier fastball won out. Then I saved a ton money, and I think that's how you do it: ML athletes and a guy named Michael Bass. I happened upon him in my research and was taken. The Pads apparently took him in the 20somethingth, so he really was a draft prospect of sorts. All the better. I anticipate leftovers, possibly significant leftovers.
Now, the less detailed, and less visually striking 11th-40th:
11.344 Edwin Diaz 2B HS
12.374 Julian Ridings OF Western Carolina
13.404 Eric Lauer LHP HS
14.434 Caleb Smith LHP Sam Houston State *
15.464 Marcus Greene C JuCo
16.494 Caleb Kellogg RHP Tampa
17.524 David Gates RHP JuCo
18.554 Gabe Speier LHP HS
19.584 Scott Silverstein LHP Virginia
20.614 Javier Reynoso LHP JuCo
21.644 Kirby Pellant SS Ohio State
22.674 Marcus Doi OF HS
23.704 Jordan Mills LHP St. Marys
24.734 Taylor Blatch RHP HS
25.764 Jordan Floyd LHP HS *
26.794 Luis Aviles SS HS
27.824 Bryan Radziewski LHP Miami (Fl)
28.854 Robert Tyler RHP HS
29.884 Rowdy Tellez 1B HS
30.914 Wesley Jones SS HS
31.944 Christian Ibarra 3B LSU
32.974 Andrew Dunlap RHP Hard Knocks
33.1004 Trever Morrison SS HS
34.1034 Jake Walsh LHP Missouri
35.1064 Daulton Jefferies RHP HS
36.1094 Alex Blackford RHP Arizona State
37.1124 Josh Pettitte RHP HS *
38.1154 Matt Wainman LHP William and Mary
39.1184 Kyle McGrath LHP Louisville
40.1214 Kyle Buchanan OF FGCU *
You can probably see the pattern: guys I targeted, guys I'd like to get if possible/we'll see, and then as it became increasingly impossible: guys of whom I've become aware/nepotism. Gotta wait for the signings to start to come in before it really takes shape. The shadow draft format kinda breaks down after 10 rounds, cause you can leave room, but then it's luck of the draw as to which of signability players will actually get signed, but I can pat myself on the back when Julian Ridings and Kirby Pellant are all-stars.