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EVERYTHING you wanted to know about how your team drafts **UPDATED**

Hey everyone. I had originally planned to continue my series looking at teams' draft tendencies, and use them to predict what type of player, and what possible targets, each team would be interested in. However, with the start of MOD season, I felt that it would just get lost in the fanposts. So I have put together a massive spreadsheet outlining the results of all 30 MLB teams in the first four rounds over the past five years. It is split into three graphs below.

Some notes: Anything in the 40-60% range, is pretty much a coin toss. Anything between 20-40% and 60-80% shows a definite pattern. And anything lower than 20% or higher than 80% means if you're a betting man, it wouldn't be a bad bet to assume the team follows that trend. 0% and 100% are pretty much guarantees that the team will follow that trend this year. As for the round-specific numbers, outside of the first round, anything short of the 0-20%/80-100% realm is probably too close to be definitive. I would use the overall numbers in table 3, to look at the mix of college and prep bats and arms.

Table 1: Level of drafted players, in total and by round
Team Total picks % High School % College 1st Round % HS 1st Round % College 2nd Round % HS 2nd Round % College 3rd Round % HS 3rd Round % College 4th round % HS 4th round % College
Arizona 28 43% 57% 42% 58% 33% 67% 60% 40% 40% 60%
Atlanta 21 33% 67% 60% 40% 33% 67% 20% 80% 20% 80%
Baltimore 19 37% 63% 60% 40% 50% 50% 40% 60% 0% 100%
Boston 29 45% 55% 31% 69% 60% 40% 50% 50% 60% 40%
Chicago (N) 23 39% 61% 38% 63% 60% 40% 40% 60% 20% 80%
Chicago (A) 23 26% 74% 29% 71% 40% 60% 0% 100% 40% 60%
Cincinnati 22 32% 68% 38% 63% 75% 25% 0% 100% 20% 80%
Colorado 26 35% 65% 40% 60% 60% 40% 17% 83% 20% 80%
Cleveland 20 35% 65% 20% 80% 60% 40% 40% 60% 20% 80%
Detroit 19 26% 74% 50% 50% 20% 80% 20% 80% 20% 80%
Houston 26 58% 42% 67% 33% 80% 20% 57% 43% 20% 80%
Kansas City 20 55% 45% 50% 50% 25% 75% 100% 0% 40% 60%
Los Angeles (A) 26 46% 54% 73% 27% 33% 67% 29% 71% 20% 80%
Los Angeles (N) 22 41% 59% 67% 33% 50% 50% 0% 100% 40% 60%
Miami 20 80% 20% 80% 20% 50% 50% 100% 0% 80% 20%
Milwaukee 30 40% 60% 36% 64% 75% 25% 20% 80% 20% 80%
Minnesota 28 29% 71% 42% 58% 17% 83% 0% 100% 40% 60%
New York (N) 23 30% 70% 38% 63% 60% 40% 0% 100% 20% 80%
New York (A) 21 62% 38% 83% 17% 50% 50% 50% 50% 60% 40%
Oakland 21 38% 62% 43% 57% 25% 75% 20% 80% 60% 40%
Philadelphia 25 64% 36% 100% 0% 75% 25% 50% 50% 20% 80%
Pittsburgh 22 41% 59% 14% 86% 80% 20% 20% 80% 60% 40%
St. Louis 27 30% 70% 25% 75% 40% 60% 60% 40% 20% 80%
San Diego 31 42% 58% 64% 36% 33% 67% 0% 100% 40% 60%
San Francisco 21 14% 86% 29% 71% 25% 75% 0% 100% 0% 100%
Seattle 24 38% 63% 43% 57% 40% 60% 57% 43% 0% 100%
Tampa Bay 33 73% 27% 69% 31% 57% 43% 60% 40% 40% 60%
Texas 28 61% 39% 67% 33% 67% 33% 40% 60% 60% 40%
Toronto 37 65% 35% 65% 35% 100% 0% 57% 43% 20% 80%
Washington 22 18% 82% 13% 88% 25% 75% 0% 100% 40% 60%

The next table looks at what type of player each team picked in rounds 1-4, split between HS Arms and Bats, and College Arms and Bats.

Table 2: Type of player picked, rounds 1-4
Team 1st Round % HS Arms 1st Round % HS Bats 1st Round % College Arms 1st Round % College Bats 2nd Round % HS Arms 2nd Round % HS Bats 2nd Round % College Arms 2nd Round % College Bats 3rd Round % HS Arms 3rd Round % HS Bats 3rd Round % College Arms 3rd Round % College Bats 4th round % HS Arms 4th round % HS Bats 4th round % College Arms 4th round % College Bats
Arizona 8% 33% 50% 8% 17% 17% 50% 17% 40% 20% 20% 20% 0% 40% 40% 20%
Atlanta 40% 20% 40% 0% 33% 0% 17% 50% 0% 20% 40% 40% 0% 20% 40% 40%
Baltimore 40% 20% 40% 0% 0% 50% 25% 25% 0% 40% 40% 20% 0% 0% 40% 60%
Boston 8% 23% 38% 31% 20% 40% 40% 0% 0% 50% 50% 0% 20% 40% 20% 20%
Chicago (N) 13% 25% 38% 25% 20% 40% 20% 20% 40% 0% 20% 40% 20% 0% 80% 0%
Chicago (A) 0% 29% 14% 57% 20% 20% 60% 0% 0% 0% 67% 33% 40% 0% 60% 0%
Cincinnati 25% 13% 25% 38% 0% 75% 0% 25% 0% 0% 80% 20% 20% 0% 40% 40%
Colorado 20% 20% 40% 20% 0% 60% 20% 20% 17% 0% 17% 67% 0% 20% 40% 40%
Cleveland 0% 20% 40% 40% 60% 0% 0% 40% 20% 20% 40% 20% 0% 20% 40% 40%
Detroit 50% 0% 50% 0% 20% 0% 40% 40% 0% 20% 20% 60% 20% 0% 60% 20%
Houston 33% 33% 0% 33% 60% 20% 0% 20% 14% 43% 29% 14% 0% 20% 60% 20%
Kansas City 17% 33% 33% 17% 0% 25% 50% 25% 20% 80% 0% 0% 40% 20% 40% 0%
Los Angeles (A) 27% 45% 18% 9% 33% 0% 67% 0% 0% 29% 71% 0% 0% 20% 60% 20%
Los Angeles (N) 33% 33% 33% 0% 33% 17% 33% 17% 0% 0% 40% 60% 0% 40% 20% 40%
Miami 40% 40% 20% 0% 50% 0% 50% 0% 17% 83% 0% 0% 20% 60% 20% 0%
Milwaukee 17% 17% 42% 25% 25% 50% 25% 0% 20% 0% 40% 40% 20% 0% 40% 40%
Minnesota 17% 25% 50% 8% 0% 17% 67% 17% 0% 0% 80% 20% 0% 40% 40% 20%
New York (N) 25% 13% 25% 38% 40% 20% 20% 20% 0% 0% 40% 60% 0% 20% 20% 60%
New York (A) 33% 50% 17% 0% 0% 50% 33% 17% 25% 25% 0% 50% 0% 60% 40% 0%
Oakland 0% 43% 14% 43% 0% 25% 50% 25% 0% 20% 40% 40% 0% 60% 20% 20%
Philadelphia 50% 50% 0% 0% 25% 50% 13% 13% 17% 33% 33% 17% 0% 20% 20% 60%
Pittsburgh 14% 0% 43% 43% 40% 40% 20% 0% 20% 0% 0% 80% 60% 0% 0% 40%
St. Louis 17% 8% 25% 50% 0% 40% 20% 40% 0% 60% 40% 0% 0% 20% 40% 40%
San Diego 43% 21% 0% 36% 0% 33% 0% 67% 0% 0% 50% 50% 40% 0% 20% 40%
San Francisco 14% 14% 14% 57% 0% 25% 25% 50% 0% 0% 0% 100% 0% 0% 80% 20%
Seattle 14% 29% 29% 29% 0% 40% 0% 60% 43% 14% 29% 14% 0% 0% 40% 60%
Tampa Bay 13% 56% 13% 19% 14% 43% 29% 14% 0% 60% 0% 40% 20% 20% 20% 40%
Texas 33% 33% 8% 25% 33% 33% 17% 17% 40% 0% 40% 20% 20% 40% 40% 0%
Toronto 41% 24% 29% 6% 75% 25% 0% 0% 14% 43% 29% 14% 20% 0% 40% 40%
Washington 13% 0% 50% 38% 0% 25% 25% 50% 0% 0% 60% 40% 40% 0% 40% 20%

The final table shows the total count for each type of player noted in Table 2. It also shows how many players teams picked at each position, and how many of their pitchers were left- and right-handed.

Table 3: Type of player picked, positional breakdown
Team % Bats % Prep Bats % College Bats % C % 1B % 2B % 3B % SS % OF % Arms % Prep Arms % College Arms % LHP % RHP
Arizona 43% 29% 14% 8% 0% 0% 25% 25% 42% 57% 14% 43% 25% 75%
Atlanta 48% 14% 33% 20% 0% 0% 20% 40% 20% 52% 19% 33% 45% 55%
Baltimore 53% 26% 26% 0% 20% 10% 10% 30% 30% 47% 11% 37% 11% 89%
Boston 52% 34% 17% 13% 0% 7% 0% 40% 40% 48% 10% 38% 14% 86%
Chicago (N) 43% 17% 26% 10% 10% 10% 0% 30% 40% 57% 17% 39% 23% 77%
Chicago (A) 39% 13% 26% 11% 11% 11% 11% 11% 44% 61% 13% 48% 21% 79%
Cincinnati 50% 18% 32% 18% 9% 0% 0% 36% 36% 50% 14% 36% 18% 82%
Colorado 58% 23% 35% 13% 7% 0% 7% 13% 60% 42% 12% 31% 27% 73%
Cleveland 50% 15% 35% 10% 0% 10% 20% 20% 40% 50% 20% 30% 10% 90%
Detroit 42% 16% 26% 25% 13% 0% 38% 13% 13% 58% 11% 47% 18% 82%
Houston 54% 31% 23% 14% 7% 0% 14% 21% 43% 46% 27% 19% 8% 92%
Kansas City 40% 25% 15% 25% 13% 13% 25% 13% 13% 60% 30% 30% 42% 58%
Los Angeles (A) 38% 31% 8% 0% 10% 20% 0% 20% 50% 62% 15% 46% 44% 56%
Los Angeles (N) 50% 23% 27% 9% 9% 0% 9% 27% 45% 50% 18% 32% 36% 64%
Miami 50% 50% 0% 10% 10% 10% 0% 30% 40% 50% 30% 20% 60% 40%
Milwaukee 43% 20% 23% 15% 15% 0% 8% 8% 54% 57% 20% 37% 18% 82%
Minnesota 36% 21% 14% 0% 0% 10% 10% 30% 50% 64% 7% 57% 22% 78%
New York (N) 61% 22% 39% 14% 7% 0% 7% 29% 43% 39% 9% 30% 11% 89%
New York (A) 62% 48% 14% 23% 0% 0% 23% 31% 23% 38% 14% 24% 38% 63%
Oakland 71% 38% 33% 20% 7% 7% 20% 20% 27% 29% 0% 29% 50% 50%
Philadelphia 56% 36% 20% 7% 7% 7% 14% 21% 43% 44% 28% 16% 27% 73%
Pittsburgh 50% 9% 41% 18% 9% 0% 9% 18% 45% 50% 32% 18% 9% 91%
St. Louis 63% 26% 37% 18% 6% 6% 24% 24% 24% 37% 7% 30% 10% 90%
San Diego 61% 16% 45% 16% 5% 16% 11% 11% 42% 39% 26% 13% 8% 92%
San Francisco 62% 10% 52% 23% 8% 0% 15% 23% 31% 38% 5% 33% 25% 75%
Seattle 58% 21% 38% 21% 14% 7% 7% 29% 21% 42% 17% 25% 30% 70%
Tampa Bay 73% 52% 21% 8% 0% 4% 13% 33% 42% 27% 12% 15% 33% 67%
Texas 46% 29% 18% 15% 8% 0% 23% 8% 46% 54% 32% 21% 40% 60%
Toronto 35% 24% 11% 0% 8% 0% 23% 15% 54% 65% 41% 24% 25% 75%
Washington 41% 5% 36% 0% 0% 22% 11% 22% 44% 59% 14% 45% 38% 62%

Here is a chart showing the league-wide averages for each of the tendencies looked at in the first three charts, as asked for by RoyalsRetro.

Table 4: League-Average Tendencies
Tendency League Average
Total HS Picks 43.4%
Total College Picks 56.6%
1st round HS 49.2%
1st round College 50.8%
2nd round HS 54.2%
2nd round College 45.8%
3rd round HS 34.4%
3rd round College 65.6%
4th round HS 34.0%
4th round College 66.0%
1st Round % HS Arms 22.7%
1st Round % HS Bats 26.5%
1st Round % College Arms 27.3%
1st Round % College Bats 23.9%
2nd Round % HS Arms 22.9%
2nd Round % HS Bats 31.4%
2nd Round % College Arms 26.8%
2nd Round % College Bats 22.9%
3rd Round % HS Arms 11.7%
3rd Round % HS Bats 22.7%
3rd Round % College Arms 34.4%
3rd Round % College Bats 31.3%
4th round % HS Arms 13.3%
4th round % HS Bats 19.3%
4th round % College Arms 38.7%
4th round % College Bats 28.7%
% Bats 50.9%
% Prep Bats 25.1%
% College Bats 25.8%
% C 13.1%
% 1B 6.7%
% 2B 5.3%
% 3B 13.1%
% SS 23.2%
% OF 38.7%
% Arms 49.1%
% Prep Arms 17.9%
% College Arms 31.2%
% LHP 26.0%
% RHP 74.0%

I hope everyone finds this valuable, and are able to use it in their MOD discussions. Feel free to ask any questions, or if you find any errors let me know below (this was done by hand, I am 99.9% sure there are no errors, but you never know).

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