2013 MLB Draft: Draft Age of High School Prospects

Bob Feller, May 1st, 1937, Age 18. - Getty Images

The age of prospects at each level has a high correlation to future success. Here are the draft ages of the top high school prospects in the 2013 draft.

Looking at age is a big deal with prospecting. In the research I have done, Age to level has the strongest correlation to major league success compared to any other statistic. It is stronger in hitters compared to pitchers but it is still strong.

The most well known study on applying this to the draft was done by Rany Jazayerli that you can read here and here.

The data fell into almost perfectly equal sized tiers in his study. This is no longer the case. This year, I used what I see as the prep prospects that will likely fall into my top 300 prospects. It ended up being 164 players.

Using the same dates he did, it looked like this.

61 Very Old

36 Old

25 Average

31 Young

11 Very Young

I wanted to balance it out with current data. Here is how it looked:

22 One deviation older than average

33 From one deviation older to one half of a deviation older than average

55 One half older to one have younger than average

22 From one half younger than average to one deviation younger

32 One Deviation Younger than Average

I feel that this is more representative of how to value these players but for arguments sake, I will post both values.

Name

Pos.

Rany- Age

Draft Age

Age

Anfernee Grier

OF

Very Young

17.78

Very Young

Cal Quantrill

P

Very Young

17.81

Very Young

Terry McClure

OF

Very Young

17.82

Very Young

Christian Pelaez

P

Very Young

17.83

Very Young

Francis Christy

C

Very Young

17.90

Very Young

Silento Sayles

SS

Very Young

17.91

Very Young

Casey Shane

P

Very Young

17.92

Very Young

Justin Williams

OF

Very Young

17.93

Very Young

Steve Farinaro

P

Very Young

17.94

Very Young

Blake Taylor

P

Very Young

17.94

Very Young

Nick Longhi

1B

Very Young

17.94

Very Young

Wesley Jones

3B

Young

17.95

Very Young

Nicholas Buckner

OF

Young

17.96

Very Young

Riley Unroe

SS

Young

17.98

Very Young

Jacob Heyward

P

Young

17.98

Very Young

Matt Vogel

P

Young

18.00

Very Young

Tanner Draper

P

Young

18.00

Very Young

Trey Lee Cobb

P

Young

18.03

Very Young

Cody Bellinger

1B

Young

18.04

Very Young

Hunter Green

P

Young

18.04

Very Young

K.J. Woods

OF

Young

18.05

Very Young

Anthony (AJ) Balta

2B

Young

18.05

Very Young

Jae Roberts

3B

Young

18.06

Very Young

Joseph Starling

P

Young

18.07

Very Young

Tucker Neuhaus

SS

Young

18.10

Very Young

Robert Tyler

P

Young

18.10

Very Young

Dominic Smith

1B

Young

18.11

Very Young

Torii Hunter

OF

Young

18.13

Very Young

Taylor Blatch

OF

Young

18.14

Very Young

Jordan Sheffield

P

Young

18.15

Very Young

Christian Arroyo

SS

Young

18.16

Very Young

Mark Ecker

P

Young

18.16

Young

Jake Fraley

OF

Young

18.17

Young

Casey Meisner

P

Young

18.18

Young

Trevor Clifton

P

Young

18.21

Young

Matthew Thaiss

C

Young

18.22

Young

Chris Kohler

P

Young

18.23

Young

Elliott Barzilli

SS

Young

18.23

Young

Austin Meadows

OF

Young

18.23

Young

Tyler Alamo

C

Young

18.23

Young

A.j. Bogucki

P

Young

18.23

Young

Eric Williams

OF

Average

18.25

Young

A.J. Puk

P

Average

18.25

Young

Juan Escarra

3B

Average

18.25

Young

Matthew McPhearson

OF

Average

18.27

Young

Kean Wong

3B

Average

18.27

Young

Stephen Alemais

SS

Average

18.29

Young

Cavan Biggio

3B

Average

18.29

Young

Trevin Haseltine

P

Average

18.30

Young

Max Knutson

P

Average

18.32

Young

Andrew Harrington

P

Average

18.32

Young

Dalton Duty

2B

Average

18.33

Young

Willie Abreu

OF

Average

18.35

Young

Mason Smith

OF

Average

18.36

Average

Arden Pabst

C

Average

18.37

Average

Jordon Austin

OF

Average

18.37

Average

Keegan Thompson

P

Average

18.37

Average

Adrian De Horta

P

Average

18.37

Average

Chris Rivera

SS

Average

18.38

Average

Nick Ciuffo

C

Average

18.39

Average

Reese McGuire

C

Average

18.40

Average

Hunter Jarmon

OF

Average

18.40

Average

Trey Michalczewski

3B

Average

18.41

Average

Jack Roberts

P

Average

18.42

Average

Ian Clarkin

P

Average

18.44

Average

Zack Collins

1B

Average

18.47

Average

Marcus Doi

OF

Old

18.49

Average

Ryan Kirby

OF

Old

18.50

Average

Dominic Nunez

2B

Old

18.52

Average

Jason Sierra

OF

Old

18.52

Average

John Paul Crawford

SS

Old

18.54

Average

Brett Morales

P

Old

18.54

Average

Eugene Vazquez

OF

Old

18.54

Average

Jordan Howard

P

Old

18.55

Average

Jan Hernandez

3B

Old

18.56

Average

Jared Brasher

P

Old

18.56

Average

Cord Sandberg

OF

Old

18.56

Average

Chris Okey

C

Old

18.57

Average

Jeremy Martinez

C

Old

18.57

Average

Brian Navarreto

C

Old

18.57

Average

Logan Shore

P

Old

18.58

Average

Clinton Hollon

P

Old

18.59

Average

Spencer Trayner

3B

Old

18.59

Average

Oscar Mercado

SS

Old

18.61

Average

Chuckie Robinson

C

Old

18.61

Average

Ryan McMahon

3B

Old

18.61

Average

Andy Honiotes

P

Old

18.62

Average

Sheldon Neuse

SS

Old

18.62

Average

Hunter Harvey

P

Old

18.63

Average

Jonah Wesely

P

Old

18.63

Average

Pete Alonso

3B

Old

18.63

Average

Andy McGuire

SS

Old

18.65

Average

Gunnar McNeill

1B

Old

18.65

Average

Brennon Lund

OF

Old

18.66

Average

Mark Armstrong

P

Old

18.66

Average

Kevin Franklin

3B

Old

18.67

Average

Kevin Davis

P

Old

18.67

Average

Carlos Salazar

P

Old

18.67

Average

Ryan Boldt

OF

Old

18.67

Average

Nick Banks

OF

Old

18.68

Average

Nick Banks

OF

Old

18.68

Average

Ian McKinney

P

Old

18.68

Average

Anthony Sherlag

C

Very Old

18.69

Average

Brantley Bell

SS

Very Old

18.69

Average

Will Craig

P

Very Old

18.69

Average

Alex Bostic

P

Very Old

18.70

Average

Jordan Paroubeck

OF

Very Old

18.73

Average

Derik Beauprez

P

Very Old

18.73

Average

Rowdy Tellez

1B

Very Old

18.75

Old

Dane McFarland

OF

Very Old

18.75

Old

Carlos Williams

OF

Very Old

18.75

Old

Taylor Widener

OF

Very Old

18.75

Old

Michael Barash

C

Very Old

18.79

Old

Dustin Driver

P

Very Old

18.79

Old

Connor Jones

P

Very Old

18.79

Old

Alec Hanson

P

Very Old

18.79

Old

John Pomeroy

P

Very Old

18.79

Old

Gosuke Katoh

2B

Very Old

18.80

Old

Stephen Wrenn

OF

Very Old

18.80

Old

Kohl Stewart

P

Very Old

18.80

Old

Josh Hart

OF

Very Old

18.81

Old

Jarret DeHart

OF

Very Old

18.81

Old

Travis Demeritte

3B

Very Old

18.82

Old

Danny Zardon

3B

Very Old

18.82

Old

Thomas Hatch

P

Very Old

18.82

Old

Jonathan Denney

C

Very Old

18.82

Old

Dominic Taccolini

P

Very Old

18.82

Old

Corey Ray

OF

Very Old

18.84

Old

John Sternagel

3B

Very Old

18.84

Old

Devin Williams

P

Very Old

18.84

Old

Kramer Robertson

SS

Very Old

18.85

Old

Tres Barrera

3B

Very Old

18.86

Old

Garrett Williams

P

Very Old

18.86

Old

Ronnie Healy

C

Very Old

18.87

Old

Tyler Danish

P

Very Old

18.87

Old

Wil Crowe

P

Very Old

18.88

Old

Andrew Kelley

P

Very Old

18.88

Old

Clint Frazier

OF

Very Old

18.88

Old

Ian Hagenmiller

3B

Very Old

18.89

Old

Robert Kaminsky

P

Very Old

18.90

Old

Billy McKinney

OF

Very Old

18.92

Old

Chris Oakley

P

Very Old

18.93

Very Old

Brett Binning

SS

Very Old

18.96

Very Old

Ben DeLuzio

3B

Very Old

18.96

Very Old

Keenan Innis

OF

Very Old

18.98

Very Old

Joe Martarano

3B

Very Old

18.99

Very Old

Kacy Clemens

P

Very Old

19.00

Very Old

Zach Farmer

P

Very Old

19.00

Very Old

Austin Sexton

P

Very Old

19.02

Very Old

Stephen Gonsalves

P

Very Old

19.05

Very Old

Connor Heady

SS

Very Old

19.06

Very Old

Trey Ball

OF

Very Old

19.08

Very Old

Sean Brady

P

Very Old

19.13

Very Old

Ryder Jones

P

Very Old

19.13

Very Old

Ryley MacEachern

P

Very Old

19.16

Very Old

Logan Koch

C

Very Old

19.17

Very Old

John Kilichowski

P

Very Old

19.19

Very Old

Dalton Dulin

2B

Very Old

19.21

Very Old

Billy Roth

OF

Very Old

19.22

Very Old

Kort Peterson

OF

Very Old

19.24

Very Old

John Riley

C

Very Old

19.44

Very Old

Bernardo Bonifacio

OF

Very Old

19.48

Very Old

Corey Simpson

1B

Very Old

19.63

Very Old

Some very good player fit in each category but if you are looking for someone to promote more just because of age, there are a few that are obvious. I didn't go into detail about any specific players here, there are simply too many, but if you have questions about anyone specific, I'll answer in the comments.

UPDATED to show ages for prep players in my top 400 prospects

Name POS Pos. #2 AGE 7-21-13 Draft age
Josh Van Meter SS 17.77 Very Young
Zach Rice P 1B 17.78 Very Young
Anfernee Grier OF RHP 17.79 Very Young
Jake Bauers 1B 17.81 Very Young
Cal Quantrill P 17.82 Very Young
Terry McClure OF 17.83 Very Young
Chris Viall P 17.83 Very Young
Christian Pelaez P 17.83 Very Young
Eric Smith P 17.86 Very Young
Francis Christy C OF 17.90 Very Young
lolana Akau C 17.91 Very Young
Silento Sayles OF SS 17.92 Very Young
Lachlan Fontaine 3B 17.92 Very Young
Josh Greene OF 17.92 Very Young
Casey Shane P 17.93 Very Young
Justin Williams OF 3B 17.94 Very Young
Steve Farinaro P 17.94 Very Young
Blake Taylor P 17.95 Very Young
Nick Longhi 1B P 17.95 Very Young
Wesley Jones 3B RHP 17.96 Very Young
Nick Buckner OF 17.97 Very Young
Hunter Simmons 3B OF 17.97 Very Young
Riley Unroe SS RHP 17.98 Very Young
Daulton Jefferies P SS 17.99 Very Young
Jacob Heyward OF 3B 17.99 Very Young
Matt Vogel P SS 18.00 Very Young
Tanner Draper P OF 18.00 Very Young
Demetrius Sims SS 18.04 Very Young
Trey Lee Cobb P IF 18.04 Very Young
Cody Bellinger 1B P 18.04 Very Young
Alec Bettinger P 18.04 Very Young
Hunter Green P OF 18.04 Very Young
Phil Bickford P 1B 18.05 Very Young
K.J. Woods OF 1B 18.05 Very Young
A.J. Balta 2B OF 18.05 Very Young
Kyle Serrano P 18.06 Very Young
Jae Roberts 3B RHP 18.07 Very Young
Joseph Starling P 1B 18.08 Very Young
Tyler O'Neil C 18.10 Very Young
Aldo Koutsoyanopulos 3B OF 18.11 Very Young
Robert Tyler P OF 18.11 Very Young
Tucker Neuhaus 3B 18.11 Very Young
Jamie Westbrook SS 3B 18.11 Very Young
Dominic Smith 1B P 18.12 Very Young
Patrick Murphy P 18.13 Very Young
Bryce Welborn P MIF 18.14 Very Young
Torii Hunter OF 18.14 Very Young
Heath Quinn OF 18.14 Very Young
M.T. Minacci SS RHP 18.14 Very Young
Taylor Blatch OF P 18.14 Very Young
Billy Roth OF RHP 18.15 Young
Thomas Rogers P 1B 18.15 Young
Eric Lauer P 18.15 Young
Jordan Sheffield P SS 18.16 Young
Christian Arroyo SS 3B 18.16 Young
Mark Ecker P SS 18.17 Young
Logan Ice C 18.17 Young
Ivan Wilson OF 18.17 Young
Jake Fraley OF 1B 18.18 Young
Casey Meisner P 18.18 Young
Trevor Clifton P OF 18.21 Young
Matthew Thaiss C OF 18.23 Young
Chad Sheppard P 18.23 Young
Akeem Bostick P OF 18.23 Young
Chris Kohler P OF 18.23 Young
Austin Meadows OF LHP 18.24 Young
Elliott Barzilli SS OF 18.24 Young
Tyler Alamo C IF 18.24 Young
A.J. Bogucki P 3B 18.24 Young
Malik Collymore 2B 18.25 Young
A.J. Puk P 1B 18.26 Young
Eric Williams OF RHP 18.26 Young
Juan Escarra 3B 1B 18.26 Young
Matthew McPhearson OF 18.28 Young
Jesse Roth P 18.28 Young
Kean Wong 3B C 18.28 Young
Stephen Alemais SS 18.29 Young
Cavan Biggio 3B 2B 18.30 Young
Trevin Haseltine P 3B 18.30 Young
Max Knutson P OF 18.32 Young
Andrew Harrington P 1B 18.33 Young
Dalton Duty 2B RHP 18.34 Young
Willie Abreu OF LHP 18.35 Average
Ed Voyles P 18.36 Average
Jim Voyles P 18.36 Average
Mason Smith OF 18.37 Average
Arden Pabst C 3B 18.37 Average
Jordon Austin OF 3B 18.37 Average
Keegan Thompson P SS 18.38 Average
Adrian De Horta P 18.38 Average
Chris Rivera SS RHP 18.38 Average
Nick Ciuffo C 1B 18.39 Average
Jamar Burnette OF 18.40 Average
Reese McGuire C 3B 18.41 Average
Hunter Jarmon OF 1B 18.41 Average
Colin Winters OF LHP 18.41 Average
Trey Michalczewski 3B RHP 18.41 Average
Jack Roberts P 1B 18.43 Average
Hunter Mercado-Hood OF 18.44 Average
Ian Clarkin P 1B 18.45 Average
Zack Collins 1B C 18.47 Average
Marcus Doi OF 18.49 Average
Andrew Rosa SS 18.49 Average
Tom Milone OF 18.50 Average
Ryan Kirby OF 1B 18.50 Average
Aubrey McCarty 1B P 18.51 Average
Preston Palmeiro 3B OF 18.51 Average
Daniel Williams OF 18.52 Average
Dominic Nunez C 2B 18.53 Average
Joe Alexander Jimenez P 18.53 Average
David Denson 1B P 18.53 Average
Jason Sierra OF 1B 18.53 Average
John Paul Crawford SS OF 18.54 Average
Brett Morales P 2B 18.55 Average
Eugene Vazquez OF 1B 18.55 Average
Joe Dudek 1B P 18.56 Average
Jordan Howard P 1B 18.56 Average
Jan Hernandez 3B SS 18.56 Average
Jared Brasher P 18.56 Average
Cord Sandberg OF 1B 18.57 Average
Joseph Corrigan 1B 3B 18.57 Average
Chris Okey C UT 18.58 Average
Jeremy Martinez C IF 18.58 Average
Brian Navarreto C OF 18.58 Average
Logan Shore P IF 18.58 Average
Daniel Sweet OF 18.58 Average
Clinton Hollon P OF 18.59 Average
Cole Stapler P 3B 18.60 Average
Spencer Trayner SS RHP 18.60 Average
Oscar Mercado SS 18.61 Average
Johneshwy Fargas OF 18.62 Average
Brett Hanewich P 3B 18.62 Average
Ryan McMahon 3B 18.62 Average
Chuckie Robinson C 1B 18.62 Average
Austin Nicely P 1B 18.62 Average
J.B. Woodman OF RHP 18.62 Average
Andy Honiotes P OF 18.62 Average
Sheldon Neuse SS RHP 18.63 Average
Hunter Harvey P 18.63 Average
Jonah Wesely P 18.64 Average
Pete Alonso 3B 1B 18.64 Average
Tray Roberts OF P 18.64 Average
Andy McGuire 3B OF 18.65 Average
Gunnar McNeill 1B 18.66 Average
Brennon Lund OF RHP 18.67 Average
Mark Armstrong P 18.67 Average
Drew Ward 3B 1B 18.67 Average
Kevin Davis P 18.67 Average
Kevin Franklin 3B OF 18.67 Average
Carlos Salazar P IF 18.68 Average
Ryan Boldt OF 18.68 Average
Ian McKinney P 1B 18.69 Average
Nick Banks OF LHP 18.69 Average
Anthony Sherlag C 1B 18.69 Average
Connor Jones P 18.69 Average
Brantley Bell SS 3B 18.70 Average
Will Craig P 1B 18.70 Average
Alex Bostic P 1B 18.70 Average
Bryce Harman 1B P 18.73 Average
Jordan Paroubeck OF 18.73 Average
Derik Beauprez P 1B 18.74 Average
Jackson Lamb OF 18.75 Old
Parker Bugg P 1B 18.75 Old
Rowdy Tellez 1B OF 18.76 Old
Dane McFarland OF P 18.76 Old
Carlos Williams OF 18.76 Old
Taylor Widener OF 1B 18.76 Old
Matt Krook P OF 18.77 Old
Tyler Viza RHP 18.77 Old
Michael Barash C 3B 18.79 Old
Dustin Driver P 3B 18.79 Old
Connor Jones P OF 18.80 Old
Alec Hansen P OF 18.80 Old
John Pomeroy P 18.80 Old
Gosuke Katoh 2B SS 18.80 Old
Cody Thomas OF 18.80 Old
Kohl Stewart P OF 18.81 Old
Andrew Church P 3B 18.81 Old
Stephen Wrenn OF RHP 18.81 Old
Josh Hart OF 18.82 Old
Jarret DeHart OF 1B 18.82 Old
Travis Demeritte 3B RHP 18.82 Old
Danny Zardon 3B OF 18.82 Old
Thomas Hatch P 3B 18.83 Old
Jonathan Denney C 18.83 Old
Blake Hennessey SS RHP 18.83 Old
Dominic Taccolini P 1B 18.83 Old
Derek Rustich 3B RHP 18.83 Old
Matt Walker P 18.83 Old
Dylan Manwaring 3B RHP 18.83 Old
Luis Guillorme SS 18.83 Old
Derek Burkamper P 18.84 Old
Corey Ray OF P 18.84 Old
Cory Thompson P 18.84 Old
Devin Williams P OF 18.85 Old
John Sternagel 3B SS 18.85 Old
Kramer Robertson SS RHP 18.85 Old
Tanner Kiest P 18.86 Old
Garrett Williams P 1B 18.87 Old
Tres Barrera 3B P 18.87 Old
Jake Brentz P 18.87 Old
Tyler Danish P 3B 18.87 Old
Ronnie Healy C OF 18.87 Old
Weston Wilson SS 18.88 Old
Will Crowe P 3B 18.88 Old
Andrew Kelley P 18.89 Old
Clint Frazier OF 3B 18.89 Old
Ian Hagenmiller 3B 1B 18.90 Old
Robert Kaminsky P OF 18.90 Old
Seth Martinez P 18.91 Old
Billy McKinney OF 1B 18.93 Old
Chris Oakley P 1B 18.94 Old
Scott Eicholtz P SS 18.96 Very Old
Brett Binning SS 3B 18.96 Very Old
Ben DeLuzio SS 3B 18.97 Very Old
Keenan Innis OF RHP 18.98 Very Old
Joe Martarano 3B 19.00 Very Old
Zach Farmer P OF 19.00 Very Old
Kacy Clemens P 3B 19.00 Very Old
Cassidy Brown C P 19.02 Very Old
Austin Sexton P 3B 19.03 Very Old
Jack Klein OF RHP 19.04 Very Old
Alex Hagner P 19.05 Very Old
Stephen Gonsalves P OF 19.05 Very Old
Connor Heady SS RHP 19.07 Very Old
Trae Arbet SS 19.07 Very Old
Trey Ball P OF 19.08 Very Old
Eli White SS 19.09 Very Old
Trent Paddon P 19.10 Very Old
Kevin Trader P MIF 19.11 Very Old
Sean Brady P OF 19.13 Very Old
Ryder Jones 3B RHP 19.14 Very Old
Ryley MacEachern P 1B 19.17 Very Old
Logan Koch C 19.17 Very Old
John Kilichowski P 1B 19.20 Very Old
Dalton Dulin 2B SS 19.22 Very Old
Andrew Dunlap P C 19.23 Very Old
Kort Peterson OF 19.25 Very Old
John Riley C RHP 19.45 Very Old
Bernardo Bonifacio OF 2B 19.48 Very Old
Eric Garza SS 19.61 Very Old
Corey Simpson 1B C 19.64 Very Old
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