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Astros MOD Part III: Who's Number 1?

I thought I would have an easier time selecting a #1 pick in our community mock draft, but I can't seem to come to a decision. I THINK I have it narrowed down to four candidates, I'm going to list them, what I like and don't like about them, and I would love for some input from any readers, Astros fans or otherwise, as to who y'all think should be the first player taken in 2012.

The Final Four (Hint: none of them are named Kevin, Mark or Mike)-

-RANKINGS EXTREMELY TENTATIVE-

1. Carlos Correa- I see Correa as the most complete prospect in this draft, and for now I have to consider him the favorite to be my pick. Everything about him points towards him becoming a truly special hitter- He barrels the ball all over the field and has over the fence power without having much uppercut action in his swing. He's big for a shortstop and has a lot of room to fill out, and at just 17 years old it is scary to think what kind of offensive threat he could become. I think all facets of his offensive game could become plus, and I give him a puncher's chance of remaining at shortstop. Even if he does have to move, his cannon arm would play at 3B, where he would still have more than enough bat to stick. Correa's age makes him a bit of a gamble, but I don't see a player with more upside in this bunch.

2. Byron Buxton- Based on my first two choices, it probably looks like I'm merely chasing upside with the first pick. That's not my intent. For quite a while, I was a bit of a Buxton detractor- I think speed can be overrated in baseball prospecting. However, in the case of Buxton, I see a lot more than just a trackstar. His swing and bat speed are impressive, and he already has gap power with the ability to put a few out of the park. Even if he isn't a huge power threat at this point in time, no one can look at Buck and not see a ton of projection left his long, wiry 6'4" frame. I think his future power is more significant than some seem to think, and his plus makeup should help him reach his high ceiling.

3. Lucas Giolito- Luc comes with a big red flag in his elbow injury, but what I've heard suggests that most evaluators think that's a very minor worry. Giolito's ideal pitcher's frame is a big positive, and he backs it up with premium stuff. He can uncork triple-digit heat and follow it with 2 potential plus offspeed pitches in the form of his curve and change. I think Giolito, from a stuff perspective, has the best chance of being an ace of anyone in this class, and if the arm checks out, he should get a very long look in the top slot.

4. Kyle Zimmer- Zimm has really shot up the ranks this season with his fantastic performance at USF, and his scouting reports are extremely promising. Like Giolito, he is a tall, strong right hander and should be able to handle a workhorse role in the pros. He also possesses plus heat in the 94-97 range and backs it up with 3 offspeed pitches of varying effectiveness. His curveball is a plus pitch, and his changeup could reach that level as well. His command is already quite solid, certainly ahead of Mark Appel's, and his offspeed stuff is superior to Kevin Gausman. If I take a college player, it will be Zimmer.

Who would YOU pick #1? Am I wrong about anyone, on this list or not? Let's hear what the community has to say.

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