Keith Law top 100 Prospects

Law likely isn’t just going on his rookie-ball stats. And Lindor has no pro ball stats to speak of, 20 plate appearances.

Coming out, a lot of scouts compared his approach to Bobby Abreau. I just don’t think the power numbers he showed last year are reality. But I do think he should be a solid avg/obp guy moving up. Very interesting prospect though.

Not that I was a pitcher, but I am 6’5" and was about 185 lbs until I hit 21-22 and then I went up to about 230 or so. Some guys fill out later.

that Law is clearly gambling on the ceiling. Nothing wrong with that. There’s definitely a chance he doesn’t maintain his delivery and the control that came with it, and if you’re pessimistic then he’s probably much riskier for you.

but I also doubt Mahtook ever walks as much as Jackson. What I meant was that Mahtook has a similar game, with across the board solid tools…just none of them (speed, power, defense) project to be quite as good as any of Jackson’s.

is a low ceiling high floor guy to me. If you have good defense and can play SS, it’s exceedingly easy to be a 1-2 WAR guy in the majors. Just look at Alcides Escobar.

But it’s not surprising at all to me that KLaw doesn’t like him as a prospect. He cares too much about upside.

I take Law for what he is. He’s a good writer with eclectic tastes and a snarky sense of humor. I simply don’t think he’s especially good (or bad for that matter) at ranking prospects. As he has said himself, he’s not a professional talent evaluator. Its not like I’m not giving him credit or anything…I said myself that some of his rankings will look prescient a year from now when we look back on them. I just think his style leads to quite a few big misses as well.

As for Simmons, I hadn’t even read Law’s chat yet, so no that had nothing to do with it. Obviously I disagree with him, but I understand why he’s down on Simmons. If anything I have more trouble with his comments on Teheran (which simply don’t make sense to me) and his placement of Delgado.

Why did you feel the need to immediately bring this back to Simmons in a post where I wasn’t even the least bit condescending about Law’s rankings?

You comments make it sound much worse than it is. He mentions him as overrated and says he doesn’t buy the bat yet. I don’t see where he says anything along the lines of “Simmons might get to AAA.”

I could be wrong on Vitters, I thought when Klaw dropped him off his list that he was still #1 on BA’s Cubs list or just behind Jackson. Any case, even if he ranked him highly on skills, he was willing to change his mind when the contact issues did not resolve. My point on Vitters was that he went from #30 two years ago to off the list last year, and this time last year I saw other services still ranking him highly.

It’s pretty well known that Klaw is a huge fan of advanced metrics. That’s very different from comparing 1 minor leaguer to another on the basis of stats alone, which he doesn’t do because in most cases the comparisons are invalid (hitter/pitcher friendly environments, different ages, years in pro ball, etc). But he very clearly looks at K rates, contact rates, etc when evaluating talent and uses stats to cross-reference what his eyes & other scouting sources tell him. When he got the job in Toronto it was as their lead stats analyst.

http://www.sabernomics.com/sabernomics/index.php/2007/11/espns-keith-law-interview/