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Prospect of the Day: Addison Reed, RHP, Chicago White Sox

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Prospect of the Day: Addison Reed, RHP, Chicago White Sox

In just one year, Chicago White Sox relief prospect Addison Reed rose from college ball at San Diego State, to Triple-A and the cusp of the major leagues.

Addison Reed began his career in the San Diego State bullpen as a freshman in 2008, posting a 2.73 ERA with a 26/8 K/BB ratio in 26 innings. In 2009 he took on a larger role, seizing the closer job behind ace starter Stephen Strasburg, picking up 20 saves with a miniscule 0.65 ERA and a sharp 38/7 K/BB in 28 innings. With Strasburg gone in 2010, Reed moved to the starting rotation and performed well, with an 8-2 record, 2.50 ERA, and a 90/16 K/BB in 79 innings with 65 hits allowed.

Star-divide

Reed was seen as a possible first round pick in the early spring of '10, but he didn't throw as hard as a starter as he did in relief, which hurt his stock slightly. The White Sox drafted him in the third round, then moved him back to the bullpen last year in the Pioneer League, with excellent results (1.80 ERA, 44/6 K/BB in 30 innings, 17 hits). There was talk of Reed moving back to the rotation for 2011, but the White Sox decided he would move more quickly in relief, and their judgment looks justified.

Reed began this year with Low-A Kannapolis but didn't last long: he posted an 11/1 K/BB in eight innings with four hits allowed. He remained dominant after moving up to High-A Winston Salem: 1.59 ERA in 28 innings, 39/4 K/BB, 21 hits allowed. This earned him a jump to Double-A in June, and he was even more effective for Birmingham, with an 0.87 ERA and a 33/6 K/BB in 21 innings with a mere 10 hits allowed. He moved up to Triple-A Charlotte last week and has fanned 11 in his first six innings, allowing one hit and zero walks.

All told, this year Reed has pitched 63 innings at four levels, with a 94/11 K/BB ratio and 36 hits allowed leading to a 1.29 ERA. Add in what he did in the Pioneer League last year, and in 93 professional innings he has a 1.46 ERA with a 138/17 K/BB ratio and a mere 53 hits allowed.

Reed threw 88-92 MPH last year when used as a starter for the Aztecs, but in the bullpen he threw 91-95 MPH in the Pioneer League and has been a tick higher this year, in the 94-97 range. He has outstanding command of the fastball, and mixes it with a superb slider, one of the best breaking pitches in the minors. His changeup is inconsistent, but in the bullpen the fastball/slider combination has been enough for him to dominate. His ratios have remained excellent at every level, with no deterioration in his K/BB or K/IP ratios. Although Reed has saved just three games this year, he has the command, stuff, and mound presence to close games.

Rumors from Chicago indicate that Reed is on the fast track and he could see the majors in September, just over one year after being drafted. Even if that doesn't pan out, we should see him in the majors sometime in 2012.

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While he's been nothing short of excellent out of the pen...

I can’t help but wonder what he could do in the rotation. Also, John you might be the first person I’ve seen with such a high opinion of his slider. Other reviews I’ve read thought it was an average pitch to maybe slightly above average.

by polodude017 on Aug 8, 2011 12:37 PM EDT reply actions  

reed

I dunno….baseball america had it rated plus-plus in their book, which accords with what I’ve heard.

by John Sickels on Aug 8, 2011 12:44 PM EDT up reply actions  

Good to hear.

I was told the reason he wasn’t starting was because he didn’t have single plus pitch while starting. The rationale was that his fastball became a plus pitch with the added velocity out of the pen.

by polodude017 on Aug 9, 2011 9:15 PM EDT up reply actions  

Agreed, it seems so shortsighted to not see if he can't develop his changeup and

make it as a starter. Maybe his velocity drop isn’t as severe now that he’s pitched more as a professional and probably grown into his body a bit more.

Kila's slash for Apr 20 to May 4, 2011, right before he was sent down: .276 / .344 / .448

by SagehenMacGyver47 on Aug 8, 2011 2:41 PM EDT up reply actions  

Thanks, John

Reed’s one of my favorite break-out guys this year.

by blackoutyears on Aug 8, 2011 2:50 PM EDT reply actions  

Slider looks almost unhittable

I saw him pitch in Durham about 10 days ago, and his slider made hitters look foolish. His fastball was very effective also.

by SChandler on Aug 8, 2011 7:14 PM EDT reply actions  

velo

I don’t know what SChandler saw, but there are reports of him hitting 98-99 in Double-A before his promotion.

I wrote that up as 94-97 because I err on the side of caution with velocity figures but I thought I would mention it.

by John Sickels on Aug 9, 2011 6:38 PM EDT up reply actions  

Thanks, John

I’ve heard/read the same thing, but I’m with you on not only erring toward more likely velocity but also in getting first hand opinions when possible.

by blackoutyears on Aug 11, 2011 5:35 PM EDT up reply actions  

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