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2011 Draft signing deadline -- Who will not sign?


Signing deadline is only 9 days away.  Which of these 2011 draftees will not sign with their teams by the deadline?

 

I will go with 5 names who I predict will not sign:

1.  Josh Bell--I think it is pretty well known that he will be heading to the University of Texas in the fall.

2.  Jackie Bradley, Jr.--I hope I am wrong but I can see him heading back to USC and trying to become a top 10 pick in 2012.

 

3.  Dwight Smith, Jr.--The Blue Jays can't sign all these guys can they?

 

4.  Tyler Beede--I think Tim Corbin convinces him to come to Vanderbilt and that the Jays sign Daniel Norris which makes the need to sign Beede a little less.

 

5.  Dillon Howard--He decides that in 2014 he could be the #1 pick in the draft.  (totally just pulled that out of my back-end though)

 

1 1 Pittsburgh Pirates Gerrit Cole RHP UCLA Calif.
2 2 Seattle Mariners Danny Hultzen LHP Virginia Va.
4 4 Baltimore Orioles Dylan Bundy RHP Owasso (Okla.) HS Okla.
5 5 Kansas City Royals Bubba Starling OF Gardner-Edgerton HS, Gardner, Kan. Kan.
6 6 Washington Nationals Anthony Rendon 3B Rice Texas
7 7 Arizona Diamondbacks Archie Bradley RHP Broken Arrow (Okla.) HS Okla.
8 8 Cleveland Indians Francisco Lindor SS Montverde (Fla.) Academy Fla.
9 9 Chicago Cubs Javier Baez SS Arlington Country Day HS, Jacksonville, Fla. Fla.
11 11 Houston Astros George Springer OF Connecticut Conn.
12 12 Milwaukee Brewers Taylor Jungmann RHP Texas Texas
13 13 New York Mets Brandon Nimmo OF East HS, Cheyenne, Wyo. Wyo.
14 14 Florida Marlins Jose Fernandez RHP Alonso HS, Tampa Fla.
15 15 Milwaukee Brewers Jed Bradley LHP Georgia Tech Ga.
16 16 Los Angeles Dodgers Chris Reed LHP Stanford Calif.
19 19 Boston Red Sox Matt Barnes RHP Connecticut Conn.
20 20 Colorado Rockies Tyler Anderson LHP Oregon Ore.
21 21 Toronto Blue Jays Tyler Beede RHP Lawrence Academy, Groton, Mass. Mass.
23 23 Washington Nationals Alex Meyer RHP Kentucky Ky.
24 24 Tampa Bay Rays Taylor Guerrieri RHP Spring Valley HS, Columbia, S.C. S.C.
25 25 San Diego Padres Joe Ross RHP Bishop O'Dowd HS, Oakland Calif.
26 26 Boston Red Sox Blake Swihart C Cleveland HS, Rio Rancho, N.M. N.M.
27 27 Cincinnati Reds Robert Stephenson RHP Alhambra HS, Martinez, Calif. Calif.
30 30 Minnesota Twins Levi Michael SS North Carolina N.C.
31 31 Tampa Bay Rays Mikie Mahtook OF Louisiana State La.
1 34 Washington Nationals Brian Goodwin OF Miami Dade JC Fla.
3 36 Boston Red Sox Henry Owens LHP Edison HS, Huntington Beach, Calif. Calif.
6 39 Philadelphia Phillies Larry Greene OF Berrien County HS, Nashville, Ga. Ga.
7 40 Boston Red Sox Jackie Bradley OF South Carolina S.C.
8 41 Tampa Bay Rays Tyler Goeddel 3B St. Francis HS, Mountain View, Calif. Calif.
10 43 Arizona Diamondbacks Andrew Chafin LHP Kent State Ohio
15 48 San Diego Padres Michael Kelly RHP West Boca Raton (Fla.) HS Fla.
17 50 Minnesota Twins Travis Harrison 3B Tustin (Calif.) HS Calif.
20 53 Toronto Blue Jays Dwight Smith Jr. OF McIntosh (Ga.) HS Ga.
21 54 San Diego Padres Brett Austin C Providence HS, Charlotte N.C.
22 55 Minnesota Twins Hudson Boyd RHP Bishop Verot HS, Fort Myers, Fla. Fla.
24 57 Toronto Blue Jays Kevin Comer RHP Seneca HS, Tabernacle, N.J. N.J.
26 59 Tampa Bay Rays Grayson Garvin LHP Vanderbilt Tenn.

 

1 61 Pittsburgh Pirates Josh Bell OF Dallas Jesuit HS Texas
2 62 Seattle Mariners Brad Miller SS Clemson S.C.
3 63 Arizona Diamondbacks Anthony Meo RHP Coastal Carolina S.C.
4 64 Baltimore Orioles Jason Esposito 3B Vanderbilt Tenn.
6 66 Philadelphia Phillies Roman Quinn OF Port St. Joe (Fla.) HS Fla.
7 67 Cleveland Indians Dillon Howard RHP Searcy (Ark.) HS Ark.
8 68 Chicago Cubs Dan Vogelbach 1B Bishop Verot HS, Fort Myers, Fla. Fla.
10 70 Milwaukee Brewers Jorge Lopez RHP Academia de Milagrosa, Cayey, P.R. P.R.
12 72 Florida Marlins Adam Conley LHP Washington State Wash.
14 74 Toronto Blue Jays Daniel Norris LHP Science Hill HS, Johnson City, Tenn. Tenn.
16 76 Detroit Tigers James McCann C Arkansas Ark.
19 79 St. Louis Cardinals Charlie Tilson OF New Trier HS, Winnetka, Ill. Ill.
22 82 San Diego Padres Austin Hedges C JSerra HS, San Juan Capistrano, Calif. Calif.
26 86 San Francisco Giants Andrew Susac C Oregon State Ore.
28 88 New York Yankees Sam Stafford LHP Texas Texas

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Rangers 5th rounder

Woodruff has already stated he is going to MSU

JD’s like, "you want some f*&#ing pitching? Here’s all the pitching you can stand. Now choke on it, b*#&hes!"- RCCook

LSB: "Oh s#*t, JD. You crazy!"

by laxtonto on Aug 6, 2011 2:56 PM EDT reply actions  

I thought

that all we did on this site was to speculate and predict the future.

What’s the point of just sitting back & watching??? That wouldn’t be much fun.

The one constant through all the years, Ray, has been baseball. It reminds us of all that once was good, and that could be again.

by Savoy on Aug 6, 2011 4:42 PM EDT up reply actions  

You're mistaken then

Observation is the key to prospecting :)

by Jeff Reese on Aug 6, 2011 8:39 PM EDT up reply actions  

In players who signed that were considered tough signs

The Yankees locked up 14th-round pick Rookie Davis for $550,000, the highest bonus outside of 3rd this year at this point. Sounds like a Casey Kelly situation, Davis wants to play the field and the Yanks want him to pitch.

Any other tough signs your teams have locked up?

by cookiedabookie on Aug 6, 2011 4:53 PM EDT reply actions  

okay, let's give it a roll just on the guys you posted here

Beede is already most likely locked up to a well-over-slot deal. Norris probably doesn’t sign, a shame for the Jays as I had a nice grade on him. Red Sox sign all their guys. Austin Hedges doesn’t sign, I don’t think he’s giving a discount and he’s not really a guy you want to go way over slot on. Dillon Howard doesn’t sign, he wanted a huge payday.

Out of guys in the first round besides Beede, I’m not seeing too many big signability risks. Taylor Guerrieri might not happen, but it looks like everything shaked out pretty well this year.

by mrkupe on Aug 6, 2011 4:58 PM EDT reply actions  

Hedges

He reportedly dropped his asking price from $4m to $3m. I’m reading your quote: “I don’t think he’s giving a discount”

two different ways. Are you saying you don’t think $3m is a discount, or you don’t know if he has dropped his asking price? TIA

by pickapeppa on Aug 6, 2011 5:57 PM EDT up reply actions  

I was unaware that he had dropped his price, but at that number, let's go with the first

$4 million is an unreasonable price for him. $3 million is also unreasonable, so I really can’t consider it a discount. He’s nowhere near $3 million of prospect.

Using comparable recent situations and my own assessment of his value, I wouldn’t go more than $1.2-$1.3 million on him, and even that would be a little too rich for me. If he’s serious about $3 million, I can’t see the negotiations going anywhere.

by mrkupe on Aug 6, 2011 6:08 PM EDT up reply actions  

I know this is random but

I read on a san diego writers blog that a scout had Hedges as a top 10 talent. Ridiculous assertion? If true though (I don’t think you agree), does that make $3m more reasonable?

by pickapeppa on Aug 6, 2011 11:31 PM EDT via mobile up reply actions  

not ridiculous, and if true, then yes it's reasonable

I don’t even have a problem with somebody thinking he’s a top 10 talent. He’s certainly got a lot of talent and individual scouting opinion is far more diversified than the paid sources will tell you. And if he’s a top 10 talent, then yes, given his leverage as a prep player you could justify $3 million without much of a problem.

The problem is that he’s a prep catcher whose glove is ahead of his bat, and those guys almost always develop MUCH better in college than they do if they go straight to the pros. So if that “top 10 talent” is qualified by “in 3 years after he goes to school”, I’d be very cautious.

by mrkupe on Aug 7, 2011 1:21 AM EDT up reply actions  

North County Times

wrote yesterday: “Sources say the club is far apart with Ross, although a deal could be worked out, close with Kelly and Austin. Hedges is considered unsignable.”

http://www.nctimes.com/sports/baseball/professional/minor/article_735bd43c-74db-5950-b803-a1359dec7351.html

by ttnorm on Aug 7, 2011 8:25 AM EDT up reply actions  

yeah, I was aware of both of those developments

I don’t think there is any doubt that Beede is signing with the Blue Jays. Only way it doesn’t happen is if he suddenly changes his mind, but I think he was probably set on going pro as soon as he went first round.

The physical was probably a formality prior to the start of serious negotiations. I’m sure negotiations, no matter how they turn out, will go down to the last or perhaps the next-to-last day. I would guess that the physical was done early so that in the event that it’s needed in the case that a deal is completed, it doesn’t need to be done at the last minute. It gives both sides more time to sit at the table.

by mrkupe on Aug 6, 2011 6:20 PM EDT up reply actions  

Cubs

In a recent chat (or tweet, can’t remember which), Callis indicated that the Commissioner’s Office is sitting on a bunch of Cubs overslot signings. There were reports that they had Baez and Vogelbach under wraps, but the current rumors have them signing Dunston, Maples, Urban, and Jacquez while making a late run at Zimmer.

Considering the early positive returns on Rosario and Easterling, along with the recent signings of Jensen and Marra, I’m legitimately excited to see what the deadline will bring the Cubs.

by Outshined_One on Aug 6, 2011 5:40 PM EDT reply actions  

?
but the current rumors have them signing…Maples

very very very doubtful unless they pony up 2.5 million. Kid LOVES UNC and iis here in Chapel Hill as we speak. Does it mean that they won’t sign him? No. But it seems like it’s going to be hard.

by apoxonbothyourhouses on Aug 7, 2011 4:59 AM EDT up reply actions  

I thought it was 3.5

but the rumor was that the Cubs offered him basically what he wanted, or close enough, and it was in the Maples camp now.

by toonsterwu on Aug 7, 2011 10:24 AM EDT up reply actions  

This is what I've heard

The money demand has been met; it’s just up to him to decide if he wants to take it.

by RynoRooter on Aug 8, 2011 6:51 PM EDT up reply actions  

Dillon Howard

The Indians certainly didn’t draft him not to sign him. Will be for first round money, but wouldn’t surprise me if they do get him to sign.

by JP_Frost on Aug 6, 2011 6:38 PM EDT reply actions  

Dillon Howard & Dillon Peters

Are playing on the same summer team FWIW.

by ttnorm on Aug 8, 2011 2:09 PM EDT via mobile up reply actions  

Im suprised Chris Reed hasnt signed

I thought he’d be like Drew Storen and sign immediatley

Minor League Ball's 2010 Rookie of the Year Poster
If you didn't know by now, my screen name is sarcastic

by mathisrocks5 on Aug 6, 2011 7:10 PM EDT reply actions  

LOL

So I’m guessing any over slot deal gets nixed? So much for a signable college arm. An even bigger kick to the groin for the Dodgers.

by CaptainCanuck on Aug 6, 2011 9:18 PM EDT up reply actions  

likely, but on the bright side

There’s no way that Chris Reed is going to turn down No. 16 overall slot money, is he?

by mrkupe on Aug 6, 2011 9:56 PM EDT up reply actions  

No, that would be crazy

But I’m guessing the Dodgers were hoping for an easy sign.

by Jeff Reese on Aug 6, 2011 11:15 PM EDT up reply actions  

Eh, I guess not

but still, the fact that he hasn’t signed yet is fairly amusing. On the off chance he doesn’t sign, I can only imagine how hilarious that would be.

by CaptainCanuck on Aug 7, 2011 5:00 AM EDT up reply actions  

Boras is much too smart to let him not sign

Chris Reed has a chance to start, but we’re probably looking at a power lefty given his present command. No way Boras advises him to turn down slot money.

by Jeff Reese on Aug 7, 2011 9:02 AM EDT up reply actions  

Boras knows the Dodgers can't go over slot anyways

because MLB controls their draft. As long as he is offered slot Boras will take it IMO.

by pedrophile on Aug 8, 2011 7:06 AM EDT up reply actions  

Chris Reed appears to have signed

AndrewKnepper Andrew Knepper
#Dodgers agreed to terms with first-round pick LHP Chris Reed and was handed a signing bonus worth just under $1.6 million

by Jeff Reese on Aug 12, 2011 11:01 AM EDT up reply actions  

Rumor is out there

Pirates are allegedly willing to offer Bell a contract in excess of $4.25 million dollars, and have been in contact with his family recently, who are at least willing to hear the Pirates sales pitch and think it over.

Always a chance I guess.

by Woo! on Aug 6, 2011 10:51 PM EDT reply actions  

heard the same

and read somewhere (here?) that its now in favor 60/40 that he signs

by ScottAZ on Aug 7, 2011 1:25 AM EDT up reply actions  

Will take more than that

Might need over 8M. Kid seems dead set on going to college. I hope he signs though.

by CaptainCanuck on Aug 7, 2011 5:02 AM EDT up reply actions  

Really?

where are you hearing this?

ETHAN MARTIN!!!!

by joegonzo on Aug 7, 2011 4:32 PM EDT up reply actions  

Keith Law

Says 6-8 million WON’T get it done.

http://webcache.googleusercontent.com/search?q=cache:GuEHp3LiTdkJ:espn.go.com/sportsnation/chat/_/id/38833+josh+bell+8+million+keith+law&cd=7&hl=en&ct=clnk&gl=us&client=firefox-a&source=www.google.com

It is near the bottom of the chat…maybe 10 questions up.

by auclairkeithbc on Aug 7, 2011 7:16 PM EDT up reply actions  

I have to believe that the vast majority of leaks in this situation are coming from Boras or his employees. This is standard MO for him in these types of situations, even though he can only officially be an “advisor” to Bell at this point.

"There ain’t much to being a ballplayer, if you’re a ballplayer." - Honus Wagner

Keep an eye on my son, Jake "The Jacksonville Rifle" Dunning. From SS to the mound - exclusively toeing the rubber since March 2010.

by Fla-Giant on Aug 7, 2011 8:41 PM EDT up reply actions  

Jim Callis

I pushed him about it on twitter. He eventually said 10 million, but followed that up with an “I don’t know if he would go for it though”. Time will tell I suppose. I can’t see the logic in passing up 10 million, but then again I can’t see the logic in passing up 5 million either.

by Woo! on Aug 7, 2011 7:59 PM EDT up reply actions  

Callis has been very adamant in saying that Bell won’t sign.

"There ain’t much to being a ballplayer, if you’re a ballplayer." - Honus Wagner

Keep an eye on my son, Jake "The Jacksonville Rifle" Dunning. From SS to the mound - exclusively toeing the rubber since March 2010.

by Fla-Giant on Aug 7, 2011 8:42 PM EDT up reply actions  

If Bell signs...

Does this make Callis a Boras toadie?

by ttnorm on Aug 7, 2011 9:48 PM EDT up reply actions  

Actually, he’s been so adamant that Bell won’t sign for any amount that the Pirates would be willing to pay that he’s probably not helping things at this point. But I could be wrong.

"There ain’t much to being a ballplayer, if you’re a ballplayer." - Honus Wagner

Keep an eye on my son, Jake "The Jacksonville Rifle" Dunning. From SS to the mound - exclusively toeing the rubber since March 2010.

by Fla-Giant on Aug 8, 2011 10:53 AM EDT up reply actions  

If the Pirates are getting their best information from Jim Callis, they’ve got bigger problems than not being able to sign Josh Bell!

by realitypolice on Aug 10, 2011 9:06 AM EDT up reply actions  

I would be shocked if he didn't sign

he has Boras as an advisor. All the other talk is posturing for $$$

by pedrophile on Aug 8, 2011 7:08 AM EDT up reply actions  

I'm not anywhere near that confident

I’d say 60/40 on him going to school. There’s just too much “there’s no way he signs” out there for it to be likely. It has a similar feel to Austin Wilson last year.

by Jeff Reese on Aug 8, 2011 8:45 AM EDT up reply actions  

This

Exact same thing as Wilson.

by RynoRooter on Aug 8, 2011 6:54 PM EDT up reply actions  

There have been plenty of HS guys that worked with Boras that didn’t sign.

"There ain’t much to being a ballplayer, if you’re a ballplayer." - Honus Wagner

Keep an eye on my son, Jake "The Jacksonville Rifle" Dunning. From SS to the mound - exclusively toeing the rubber since March 2010.

by Fla-Giant on Aug 8, 2011 10:54 AM EDT up reply actions  

which ones?

im struggling to remember them

Fire Everyone

by billybeingbilly on Aug 8, 2011 11:44 PM EDT up reply actions  

i really think thats just about it...

his college guys do it pretty frequently…but the HS guys generally sign

Fire Everyone

by billybeingbilly on Aug 9, 2011 4:17 AM EDT up reply actions  

Off the top of my head, I know for sure:
Gerrit Cole, Matt Harvey, Levon Washington, Jacoby Jones and Deandre Smelter – I think Dom Ficociello was also a Boras advisee last year.

I’m sure that I could come up with more names with a bit of research.

"There ain’t much to being a ballplayer, if you’re a ballplayer." - Honus Wagner

Keep an eye on my son, Jake "The Jacksonville Rifle" Dunning. From SS to the mound - exclusively toeing the rubber since March 2010.

by Fla-Giant on Aug 9, 2011 10:54 AM EDT up reply actions  

none of those guys were top 5 or 10 draft picks though...

where the money couldnt really be topped by improving their stock in college. cole would probably be the best example out of all those guys…but with starling already reportedly being offered $7.5, his money wont increase

Fire Everyone

by billybeingbilly on Aug 9, 2011 6:20 PM EDT up reply actions  

I’m not sure why you’re bringing up Starling. We’re specifically discussing Josh Bell in this portion of the thread. In any case, the actual draft position doesn’t matter. The challenge posed to me was to name some HS prospects that were advised by Boras & Co. that ended up going to college despite being drafted and offerred significant signing bonuses. I named 5 of them that I had in mind when I wrote my original comment.
 
The similarities between Bell and Cole’s situations are striking even if the $$$ amounts being discussed aren’t in the same ballpark. Both Bell and Cole would have likely been top 10 picks if not for a strongly stated preference to go to college. Cole did not turn down the Yankees substantial offer with a view towards doing better 3 years down the line and if Bell turns down the Pirates he will be doing it for many of the same reasons.

"There ain’t much to being a ballplayer, if you’re a ballplayer." - Honus Wagner

Keep an eye on my son, Jake "The Jacksonville Rifle" Dunning. From SS to the mound - exclusively toeing the rubber since March 2010.

by Fla-Giant on Aug 9, 2011 7:15 PM EDT up reply actions  

I don't think Bell is really on Cole's level

Josh Bell was a sold mid first round talent to me, borderline top 20. Austin Wilson is the much easier parallel, I think.

by Jeff Reese on Aug 9, 2011 8:04 PM EDT up reply actions  

yeah...my bad entirely...

i was discussing bubba on a thread on RR and got them confused…proceed

Fire Everyone

by billybeingbilly on Aug 9, 2011 9:02 PM EDT up reply actions  

It happens to the best of us – especially the older we get.

"There ain’t much to being a ballplayer, if you’re a ballplayer." - Honus Wagner

Keep an eye on my son, Jake "The Jacksonville Rifle" Dunning. From SS to the mound - exclusively toeing the rubber since March 2010.

by Fla-Giant on Aug 10, 2011 2:16 PM EDT up reply actions  

Senquez Golson(sp)

whats the latest on him? He insists he’s playing college football but BA says he’ll sign

by ScottAZ on Aug 7, 2011 1:26 AM EDT reply actions  

Signed

KendallRogersPG Kendall Rogers
Good news for #redsox and bad news for #olemiss. Senquez golson has agreed to terms with #boston, signing coming. #mlbdraft #mlb #sec

by Jeff Reese on Aug 13, 2011 7:39 PM EDT up reply actions  

Not signed

Tweets KLaw.

by ttnorm on Aug 13, 2011 8:38 PM EDT via mobile up reply actions  

Astros

Don’t think Jack Armstrong (third round) signs. Springer will

http://www.crawfishboxes.com

by OremLK on Aug 7, 2011 7:00 AM EDT reply actions  

Is that right?

Not to go overboard on hyperbole, but Houston’s system could use a guy like Jack Armstrong II. I can’t imagine they’d have to go too far overboard to get it done, right?

by Matt0330 on Aug 8, 2011 10:30 AM EDT up reply actions  

I agree

Wouldn’t you think that Houston would be amenable to offering an $800K-$1M or so (give or take) bonus for a college product with Armstong II’s talent though? I’d hope so but we’ll see soon enough I guess.

by Matt0330 on Aug 11, 2011 8:21 AM EDT up reply actions  

They should but who knows if they will

Armstrong is a very important piece to that draft class.

by Jeff Reese on Aug 11, 2011 8:42 AM EDT up reply actions  

No kidding

They aren’t that far removed from the Derek Dietrich-Brett Eibner-Chad Bettis draft so anything’s possible.

by Matt0330 on Aug 11, 2011 9:18 AM EDT up reply actions  

IMO

Beede, Bradley,Jr., and Dillon Howard will all sign. I doubt that Bell will sign, and I have no idea on Smith, Jr. but I would bet the odds are much better than 50/50 that he does sign. I think that everybody in the first round will sign, but if there is a surprise it will probably come from Swihart or Ross. I would normally say Archie Bradley would be a very difficult sign, but the D’backs can spread his bonus over 5 years due to his football scholarship so that’s likley a done deal.
 
The Giants have already signed all of their top 14 round picks except Susac, Ricky Oropesa, and Josh Osich (in fact, they only have 20 of their 51 draftees still unsigned). Susac and Oropesa are done deals and will sign, but I have no clue about Osich. It all depends on the state of his elbow, and as far as I can find out he still hasn’t pitched since he was pulled in the first inning of his last start the day before the draft.
 
BTW, you need to update your list. The Brewers signed their 2nd round pick, Jorge Lopez, a few days ago.

"There ain’t much to being a ballplayer, if you’re a ballplayer." - Honus Wagner

Keep an eye on my son, Jake "The Jacksonville Rifle" Dunning. From SS to the mound - exclusively toeing the rubber since March 2010.

by Fla-Giant on Aug 7, 2011 1:51 PM EDT reply actions  

ross would be a concern, yes

I don’t see Swihart being a problem as the Red Sox always pay for the guys high on their lists. One thing I’m wondering about is the possible connection of Josh Bell to Swihart’s signability. Both players are committed to play for UT, and if one decides to go to school, I could see the other hopping on board as well to form the core of a monster lineup over the next few years.

Still, I’m guessing Swihart gets done for well over slot. He probably wouldn’t have a problem getting drafted this high again in three years with his talent on both sides of the field, but again, the Red Sox haven’t lost too many high-round tough signs. Hunter Morris is the last one I can think of . . .

by mrkupe on Aug 7, 2011 2:33 PM EDT up reply actions  

+1

I didn’t mean to imply that the Swihart signing would come down to a money issue. I think the Sox will almost certainly be willing to pay up to about $4M for the #26 overall pick. My only concern was that Swihart has made some noise before about being one of those guys that really wants to go to college. Sometimes you just can’t sign those types of guys unless you throw an obscene amount of money on the table in front of them. But Swihart was just a gut-instinct guess, as I stated, I think that all of the top 31 first round picks will likely end up signing.

"There ain’t much to being a ballplayer, if you’re a ballplayer." - Honus Wagner

Keep an eye on my son, Jake "The Jacksonville Rifle" Dunning. From SS to the mound - exclusively toeing the rubber since March 2010.

by Fla-Giant on Aug 7, 2011 4:45 PM EDT up reply actions  

Can't imagine the Jays not signing 2 of their top guys

Why would they spend $7-8 mil on 4 international signings if they weren’t going to pay a couple of guys at the top of their draft?

by Matthew Mueller on Aug 7, 2011 10:08 PM EDT reply actions  

I can see that with Dwight Smith Jr. but I don’t see it with Beede. There was too much quality on the board at 22 to pick someone you are not going to make an effort to sign.

by Matthew Mueller on Aug 7, 2011 10:27 PM EDT up reply actions  

they could make an efford to sign

and still not get the deal done. its all speculation at this point.

I demand to be heard.

by Pikachu on Aug 8, 2011 8:43 AM EDT up reply actions  

Dillon Maples > Dillon Howard.

I’m not sure if both first names are spelled the same, but maybe.

I think Maples signs.

by SenorGato on Aug 8, 2011 1:50 AM EDT reply actions  

Where are you getting that from?

I don’t see anything about him being expected to sign. In fact, that would be one of the bigger surprises, I think.

by Jeff Reese on Aug 8, 2011 10:40 AM EDT up reply actions  

From the article
The Nationals are still expected to sign all four players by the deadline.

by ttnorm on Aug 8, 2011 11:59 AM EDT up reply actions  

Missed that

My next question would be “still?”

by Jeff Reese on Aug 8, 2011 12:32 PM EDT up reply actions  

still

Probably just a general assumption rather than new information.

by ttnorm on Aug 8, 2011 2:04 PM EDT via mobile up reply actions  

If Purke is “healthy” as the article states, then why hasn’t he thrown in any games this summer? Any team in the Cape Cod League would have been happy to add him to their roster at any point this summer. If he threw even just 1 game where his velocity and slider was back to 2010 levels then his marker value would skyrocket.
 
Above and beyond that, if Purke is healthy then I can’t see him signing for anything less than $4M. Are you saying that the Nats are willing to give him top 5 pick money?

"There ain’t much to being a ballplayer, if you’re a ballplayer." - Honus Wagner

Keep an eye on my son, Jake "The Jacksonville Rifle" Dunning. From SS to the mound - exclusively toeing the rubber since March 2010.

by Fla-Giant on Aug 8, 2011 11:00 AM EDT up reply actions  

I just don't think he's that interested in signing this year

I do believe that he’s healthy, but it’s not a bad thing for him to take the summer off. Whether he can stay healthy with that delivery, whether the stuff returns to his Freshman year level, whether his command returns, THOSE are the issues I have with Matt Purke. The one that I saw last year just wasn’t very good.

by Jeff Reese on Aug 8, 2011 11:05 AM EDT up reply actions  

About $3M.

"There ain’t much to being a ballplayer, if you’re a ballplayer." - Honus Wagner

Keep an eye on my son, Jake "The Jacksonville Rifle" Dunning. From SS to the mound - exclusively toeing the rubber since March 2010.

by Fla-Giant on Aug 8, 2011 11:01 AM EDT up reply actions  

Surprising news... thought he was an "easy" sign

KendallRogersPG Kendall Rogers
Didn’t expect this, but was told today greater than 50% chance #Reds first-round pick Robert Stephenson goes to #Washington. #mlbdraft #MLB

KendallRogersPG Kendall Rogers
Sounds like Stephenson will need to get a ton of love from the #Reds at the deadline to spurn the #Huskies. He’s an academic type.

by Jeff Reese on Aug 8, 2011 2:02 PM EDT reply actions  

I'm actually not all that surprised

He sounded like a tough sign who wanted a BIG payday. I guess he hasn’t moved off of his pre-draft demands. It’d be a real bummer for the Reds – I had a rather high grade on him.

by mrkupe on Aug 8, 2011 3:48 PM EDT up reply actions  

And also from Kendall Rogers

KendallRogersPG Kendall Rogers
The top player definitely expected to go to college, as in 75% for, is #Texas signee Josh Bell. #Pirates #Longhorns #mlbdraft

by Jeff Reese on Aug 8, 2011 2:03 PM EDT reply actions  

On the other hand
I think the national media is grossly inflating the Bell demands (w/ help from player advisor). Id guess ~$6M and say it’s entirely possible

That’s from Jason Park’s twitter account today

by Woo! on Aug 8, 2011 9:38 PM EDT up reply actions  

Non sequor

~6M is the non grossly inflated price?

by Jeff Reese on Aug 8, 2011 9:52 PM EDT up reply actions  

Trevor Gretzky

It’s being reported in several places that the signing with the Cubs has been rejected and he’s unsigned right now. Cubs are now supposedly focusing on Rock Shoulders as their 2nd first baseman from this class (to go with Vogelbach). Honestly, Shoulders might be the better first baseman.

by toonsterwu on Aug 8, 2011 8:12 PM EDT reply actions  

Jim Callis had an update on this on his Twitter feed

He made it sound more like MLB wanted backsies on the announcement than the Cubs or Gretzky voiding the deal for something like Gretzky failing a physical.

We’ll figure out what happened on 8/15.

by Outshined_One on Aug 8, 2011 8:37 PM EDT up reply actions  

yup

if the Cubs manage to clean up on the other top guys out there, namely, Maples, this is going to be one heck of a signing and spending effort by the org, at least, compared to year’s past.

by toonsterwu on Aug 9, 2011 12:55 PM EDT up reply actions  

Rock Shoulders. Is that his real name? Man, that sounds straight out of 1950s era central casting.

"There ain’t much to being a ballplayer, if you’re a ballplayer." - Honus Wagner

Keep an eye on my son, Jake "The Jacksonville Rifle" Dunning. From SS to the mound - exclusively toeing the rubber since March 2010.

by Fla-Giant on Aug 9, 2011 2:52 PM EDT up reply actions  

real name is

I think , Roderick Shoulders.

by toonsterwu on Aug 9, 2011 3:24 PM EDT up reply actions  

This is why it's best to ignore everything until a signing occurs or the deadline passes

jimcallisBA Jim Callis
#Cubs deal w/7th-rder Trevor Gretzky is official. Calif HS 1B/son of Wayne got $375k, has projectable power. San Diego St recruit. #mlbdraft

by Jeff Reese on Aug 11, 2011 5:55 PM EDT up reply actions  

yup

i forgot about this thread, but it started leaking out a couple days ago that those previous rumors were false.

Also, Gretzky will get a look at 3rd base, along with corner OF roles.

by toonsterwu on Aug 11, 2011 11:16 PM EDT up reply actions  

Interesting

LF might be viable, but I defenitely don’t see a third baseman in Gretzky.

by Jeff Reese on Aug 12, 2011 8:40 AM EDT up reply actions  

Rangers negative on Fisher

Rangers officials indicated they do not expect to sign Cedar Crest (Pa.) High School outfielder Derek Fisher, their sixth-round pick from the 2011 First-Year Player Draft who has a scholarship to the University of Virginia. Fisher was the Pennsylvania High School Player of the Year, but at this point, his asking price exceeds what the Rangers are willing to pay.

(HT to MLB Trade Rumors – http://www.mlbtraderumors.com/2011-amateur-draft/ )

by ttnorm on Aug 9, 2011 8:12 AM EDT reply actions  

This was expected

He and Bell were arguably the 2 toughest signs in the draft.

by RynoRooter on Aug 9, 2011 10:14 AM EDT up reply actions  

Honestly

I can only think of Austin Hedges as another guy that was known to be as hard of a sign as those two.

by RynoRooter on Aug 9, 2011 5:33 PM EDT up reply actions  

Three off the top of my head

Patrick Connaughton
Amir Garrett
Brandon Magallones

by Jeff Reese on Aug 9, 2011 6:02 PM EDT up reply actions  

I didn't realize that was the assumption

Of course, without a ND basketball scholarship, I could see Connaughton being popped that high.

by Jeff Reese on Aug 10, 2011 1:06 PM EDT up reply actions  

Really?

He seems like more of a 4-5th round guy. I know his frame and projection are great, but he’s certainly still as much project as he is prospect. (But he’s a damn fine small forward!)

by realitypolice on Aug 11, 2011 9:03 PM EDT up reply actions  

I could absolutely see someone buying in and popping him that high

Very high ceiling and as a Northern pitcher you can dream on what happens once he focuses on baseball year round.

by Jeff Reese on Aug 11, 2011 9:45 PM EDT up reply actions  

Dillon Howard

Just a heads up:

KendallRogersPG Kendall Rogers
In addition to #Arkansas signee Greg Bird, #Hogs signee Dillon Howard, #Indians 2nd-rdr, is fully expected to sign right now. #mlbdraft #MLB

by JP_Frost on Aug 9, 2011 2:59 PM EDT reply actions  

good get

Very nice arm. Will be interesting to see how much they had to give him.

by mrkupe on Aug 9, 2011 3:07 PM EDT up reply actions  

Braves 14th rd pk Navery Moore

Signed! He was expected to go much higher, kid has great stuff and will be given a chance to start

by Jay212033 on Aug 10, 2011 11:22 AM EDT reply actions  

KendallRogersPG Kendall Rogers
#Mariners third-round pick and #TCU signee Kevin Cron is moving into his dorm in Fort Worth this morning. Drove from PHX to do so. #mlbdraft

KendallRogersPG Kendall Rogers
Cron driving all that way sounds a lot like Kevin Gausman and #LSU last season. But that by no means indicates he’s for sure going to #TCU.

by Jeff Reese on Aug 10, 2011 11:25 AM EDT up reply actions  

Interesting

The M’s could really use that bat in their system.

by RynoRooter on Aug 10, 2011 12:46 PM EDT up reply actions  

Yes they could

I was always afraid they might not be able to sign him. CJ’s injury gave me a little hope it might cause Kevin to reevaluate, but if he doesn’t sign I won’t be shocked at all. Of course, this could all be a negotiating tactic, but it certainly suggests there’s no basic framework for a deal in place waiting for the deadline so they can announce the overslot signing.

I’m worried they might not sign Marlette, too, as well as Cohoes who I have an irrational desire to see in the M’s system.

by dnc on Aug 11, 2011 11:13 AM EDT up reply actions  

Kyle Winkler

Has agreed to terms with the Dbacks.

by CaptainCanuck on Aug 10, 2011 3:32 PM EDT reply actions  

Thanks

We can only hope that negotiations went smoothly overall & Kyle never suggested that Kevin Towers ‘sit on it’ at any point.

by Matt0330 on Aug 12, 2011 10:19 AM EDT up reply actions  

Chafin and Bradley to do

That’s quite a draft class of arms

by ttnorm on Aug 12, 2011 12:19 PM EDT up reply actions  

surprised he lasted till 10th round?

~David Kahn is pretty much clueless~
Twins top 11 ~ Gibson, Sano, Hendriks, Hicks, Arcia, Salcedo, Benson, Michael, Kepler, Rosario, Gutierrez ~

by SteveHoffmanSlowey on Aug 11, 2011 9:02 PM EDT up reply actions  

No

He dealt with some arm issues late in the season.

by Jeff Reese on Aug 11, 2011 9:46 PM EDT up reply actions  

He'll still end up with $8 million or so

Same with Hultzen. Neither is getting more than $10 million.

by RynoRooter on Aug 11, 2011 12:10 PM EDT up reply actions  

I'll disagree partially

I think Cole and Hultzen will have a significant degree of separation in their financial takes from their respective deals.

by mrkupe on Aug 11, 2011 1:05 PM EDT up reply actions  

I agree they should

But I’m not sure they will. They are asking for essentially the same amount right now.

by RynoRooter on Aug 11, 2011 2:14 PM EDT up reply actions  

this is great for them

~David Kahn is pretty much clueless~
Twins top 11 ~ Gibson, Sano, Hendriks, Hicks, Arcia, Salcedo, Benson, Michael, Kepler, Rosario, Gutierrez ~

by SteveHoffmanSlowey on Aug 11, 2011 9:02 PM EDT up reply actions  

http://minors.mlblogs.com/2011/08/12/blue-jays-beede-agree-to-disagree/

R.I.P. cwhitman412, Frederick0220, & Mets2k9
http://twitter.com/doublestix

by doublestix on Aug 11, 2011 9:02 PM EDT reply actions  

that's very interesting news

I really liked Beede a lot and thought he was being underrated. He must agree. :)

Losing Beede means that the Jays really need to bring in Daniel Norris. I would have adored this draft if they could have gotten both.

by mrkupe on Aug 12, 2011 12:44 AM EDT up reply actions  

I wouldn't count Beede out

I still think there’s a decent chance they land both.

by Jeff Reese on Aug 12, 2011 8:41 AM EDT up reply actions  

From what I gathered from KLaw on twitter

was that the Jays and Beede had a pre-draft deal and his camp let that slip at some point. This could be the Jays attempt to avoid a fine or whatever trouble it is they can get in for this, and KLaw feels very confident they end up getting a deal done.

http://bullpenbanter.com

RIP Randy "Macho Man" Savage

by gatling on Aug 12, 2011 12:54 PM EDT up reply actions  

Jim Callis and John Manuel said that they think that the pre-draft deal was between Beede and 1 or 2 other teams – not the Jays.

"There ain’t much to being a ballplayer, if you’re a ballplayer." - Honus Wagner

Keep an eye on my son, Jake "The Jacksonville Rifle" Dunning. From SS to the mound - exclusively toeing the rubber since March 2010.

by Fla-Giant on Aug 13, 2011 1:03 PM EDT up reply actions  

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