MLB Draft Success Rates

Every year a new group of draft picks are chosen and enter the professional ranks. Many won't make it to the majors, but maybe your team chose an All-Star or even a Hall of Famer. If you wonder what the chances are that your pick will make it to the majors, or become a star, you will see over the next few days here.

I will break down each position, each round and by high school versus college players. First off are the overall totals. This study covered from the 1987 to the 2001 draft. This gave the players plenty of time to reach their potential. Over the next few days I will break it down detailing this information.

1st round

TOTAL

TOTAL

TOTAL

4-yr

HS

JC

All-time great

3.86%

4.28%

0.00%

Superstar

19.32%

15.51%

22.22%

Occasional All-Star

10.14%

9.09%

0.00%

Starter-Solid Regular

6.28%

5.88%

0.00%

Part-time player

12.08%

6.42%

0.00%

Bench warmer

28.02%

20.86%

11.11%

Minor leaguer

20.29%

37.97%

66.67%

1st supp

TOTAL

TOTAL

TOTAL

4-yr

HS

JC

All-time great

0.00%

1.25%

0.00%

Superstar

10.67%

3.75%

0.00%

Occasional All-Star

2.67%

2.50%

0.00%

Starter-Solid Regular

4.00%

5.00%

0.00%

Part-time player

8.00%

16.25%

0.00%

Bench warmer

36.00%

16.25%

60.00%

Minor leaguer

38.67%

55.00%

40.00%

2nd round

TOTAL

TOTAL

TOTAL

4-yr

HS

JC

All-time great

0.63%

0.97%

0.00%

Superstar

6.29%

4.35%

5.00%

Occasional All-Star

5.03%

3.38%

0.00%

Starter-Solid Regular

8.81%

1.93%

5.00%

Part-time player

16.35%

6.28%

20.00%

Bench warmer

33.96%

21.74%

15.00%

Minor leaguer

28.93%

61.35%

55.00%

3rd round

TOTAL

TOTAL

TOTAL

4-yr

HS

JC

All-time great

0.62%

0.54%

0.00%

Superstar

3.70%

3.24%

4.35%

Occasional All-Star

4.32%

4.32%

13.04%

Starter-Solid Regular

4.94%

3.24%

13.04%

Part-time player

10.49%

9.19%

4.35%

Bench warmer

19.75%

14.59%

8.70%

Minor leaguer

56.17%

64.86%

56.52%

4th round

TOTAL

TOTAL

TOTAL

4-yr

HS

JC

All-time great

0.58%

0.00%

0.00%

Superstar

3.51%

1.19%

0.00%

Occasional All-Star

1.75%

1.79%

0.00%

Starter-Solid Regular

2.34%

2.38%

4.35%

Part-time player

9.94%

5.36%

4.35%

Bench warmer

22.81%

17.26%

21.74%

Minor leaguer

59.06%

72.02%

69.57%

5th round

TOTAL

TOTAL

TOTAL

4-yr

HS

JC

All-time great

0.00%

0.00%

0.00%

Superstar

4.21%

3.47%

0.00%

Occasional All-Star

3.16%

1.39%

0.00%

Starter-Solid Regular

4.74%

0.69%

0.00%

Part-time player

10.53%

11.81%

23.08%

Bench warmer

14.74%

11.81%

3.85%

Minor leaguer

62.63%

70.83%

73.08%

6th round

TOTAL

TOTAL

TOTAL

4-yr

HS

JC

All-time great

0.00%

0.00%

0.00%

Superstar

3.19%

1.31%

3.70%

Occasional All-Star

4.26%

3.92%

3.70%

Starter-Solid Regular

2.66%

0.65%

14.81%

Part-time player

9.04%

6.54%

7.41%

Bench warmer

10.64%

7.84%

11.11%

Minor leaguer

70.21%

79.74%

59.26%

7th round

TOTAL

TOTAL

TOTAL

4-yr

HS

JC

All-time great

0.00%

0.78%

0.00%

Superstar

1.58%

1.56%

8.11%

Occasional All-Star

3.16%

1.56%

0.00%

Starter-Solid Regular

1.58%

2.34%

0.00%

Part-time player

8.95%

4.69%

2.70%

Bench warmer

18.95%

7.03%

13.51%

Minor leaguer

65.79%

82.03%

75.68%

8th round

TOTAL

TOTAL

TOTAL

4-yr

HS

JC

All-time great

0.52%

0.00%

0.00%

Superstar

2.58%

5.08%

0.00%

Occasional All-Star

1.03%

0.85%

2.27%

Starter-Solid Regular

2.06%

2.54%

0.00%

Part-time player

9.79%

4.24%

4.55%

Bench warmer

9.79%

5.93%

11.36%

Minor leaguer

74.23%

81.36%

81.82%

9th round

TOTAL

TOTAL

TOTAL

4-yr

HS

JC

All-time great

0.00%

0.00%

0.00%

Superstar

2.81%

0.00%

2.50%

Occasional All-Star

1.69%

1.64%

0.00%

Starter-Solid Regular

2.81%

0.00%

5.00%

Part-time player

7.87%

3.28%

7.50%

Bench warmer

12.92%

9.02%

12.50%

Minor leaguer

71.91%

86.07%

72.50%

10th round

TOTAL

TOTAL

TOTAL

4-yr

HS

JC

All-time great

0.00%

0.00%

0.00%

Superstar

0.56%

2.56%

4.88%

Occasional All-Star

1.11%

0.00%

4.88%

Starter-Solid Regular

3.33%

1.71%

2.44%

Part-time player

6.67%

3.42%

4.88%

Bench warmer

11.67%

6.84%

9.76%

Minor leaguer

76.67%

85.47%

73.17%

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