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Prospect of the Day: Desmond Jennings, OF, Tampa Bay Rays

Desmond Jennings of the Tampa Bay Rays bats during the game against the Kansas City Royals on July 23, 2011 at Kauffman Stadium in Kansas City, Missouri.  (Photo by Jamie Squire/Getty Images)

Prospect of the Day: Desmond Jennings, OF, Tampa Bay Rays

Tampa Bay Rays fans and many fantasy owners have been anxiously awaiting the arrival of outfield prospect Desmond Jennings. Now that he's finally in the majors, what can we expect?

Star-divide

The Rays drafted Desmond Jennings in the 10th round in 2006, from Itawamba Community College in Mississippi.  He stole 32 bases in his pro debut, hitting .277/.360/.390 for Princeton in the Appalachian League, then followed that up with a sharp .315/.401/.465 mark with 45 steals in 99 games for Columbus in the Sally League in '07. He was limited to just 24 games for Vero Beach in 2008 by back and shoulder injuries, but came back healthy in 2009 and hit .316/.395/.486 for Double-A Montgomery (100 games) and .325/.419/.491 for Triple-A Durham (32 games), combining to draw 67 walks and steal 52 bases. He hit .278/.362/.393 with 37 steals for Durham last year, but went just 4-for-21 (.190) in 17 games for the Rays.

This year he was hitting .275/.374/.456 with 12 homers, 45 walks, and 17 steals in 18 attempts for Durham, with 338 at-bats.  In his minor league career, Jennings is a .294/.382/.443 hitter with 188 steals and 240 walks in 2228 plate appearances, including a .283/.375/.431 mark with 69 steals, 111 walks, and 18 homers in 992 Triple-A plate appearances.

Jennings is a 24-year-old right-handed hitter and thrower, listed at 6-2, 200 pounds. His power output can be sporadic, and his production has been harmed at times by nagging injuries; he's had issues with his shoulder, back, and knees. But when healthy, as he's been this year, he has good pop.

His best attribute is speed; he's at least a 70 runner on the 20-80 scale, but unlike many speedsters, he doesn't just rely on his raw ability: he is a very skilled baserunner and is an excellent percentage stealer. In Triple-A he's stolen 69 bases in 76 attempts. He has a good feel for the strike zone and draws walks, enhancing his value at the top of a lineup. His dynamism is also a huge asset in the outfield. His arm isn't special, but he has excellent range in center field and makes few mistakes.

The Rays have been cautious with Jennings and advanced him slowly through the system. He has 330 games to his credit in Double-A and Triple-A, and has learned all he can learn in the minors. The time is now for Desmond Jennings, and his development makes a B.J. Upton trade all the more likely. His combination of speed, on-base ability, moderate power, and strong defense gives the rookie a very broad base of tools and skills.

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We see one on Cowgill tomorrow? Would love to hear your take on him, since his future seems a little more unsure than a stud like Jennings whose gotten a lot of press. Does anyone think his numbers can translate?

by gobruins12345 on Jul 26, 2011 9:19 AM EDT reply actions  

Jennings fast start

has really pushed the idea of trading Upton prior to this year’s deadline. Curious how much Tampa can get for him…

by RedHopeful on Jul 26, 2011 9:40 AM EDT reply actions  

Marquis Grissom

has always been my Desmond Jennings comp

by AndrewTorrez on Jul 26, 2011 10:16 AM EDT reply actions  

I hope you're right

IGrissom had a roughly ~5% worse walk rate in his (much briefer) stint in the minors, which is negligible. Still, (1) Jennings has had much more time in the minors to refine his approach at the plate and (2) the Rays prioritize walks a lot more than the early 90s Expos did.

Still, I think the Rays should be happy if they get something like Grissom’s prime out of Jennings.

by AndrewTorrez on Jul 26, 2011 12:01 PM EDT up reply actions  

Agreed

I’d go with mid-90’s Lofton before Grissom…

by dbreer23 on Jul 26, 2011 5:15 PM EDT up reply actions  

Lofton?

That’s borderline HOF talent. High expectations I see.

by nheck on Jul 26, 2011 9:47 PM EDT up reply actions  

Only comparng skill sets...

I’m not talking about Lofton’s career as a comparison – I just mean that in their mid-20’s they have few similar skill sets.

by dbreer23 on Jul 26, 2011 11:10 PM EDT up reply actions  

What caused Jennings to fall to the 10th round?

He always had top-line speed and defensive range, and by the look of how he started his pro career, it’s not like his bat was terrible coming out of the JUCO. Did scouts not believe he could hit?

Kila's slash for Apr 20 to May 4, 2011, right before he was sent down: .276 / .344 / .448

by SagehenMacGyver47 on Jul 26, 2011 2:39 PM EDT reply actions  

They did but they figured he may play football

Also, while a great athlete, they knew there would be a risk that he wouldn’t sign or wouldn’t develop. Also, at that time teams were still focusing more on college hitters over high schoolers. I heard Keith Law recently say that over the last few years teams have started going back to athletic highschoolers over college kids.

Big Sexy

Follow KBR and Dewey on Twitter! @KBRandDewey

by King Billy Royal on Jul 27, 2011 12:42 AM EDT up reply actions  

Cain comp

John, Im curious how Lorenzo compares to jennings. they appear to have similar skill sets and ages but Jennings was the better prospect the last couple years. Cains #s this year at Omaha are terrific but there is a + effect there. Just curious what you think. thanks.

by Crownblue on Jul 27, 2011 11:01 AM EDT reply actions  

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