2011 MLB Draft: National League West Division Draft Reviews
We will start our draft review with the NL West.
These reviews are expanded versions of the capsules I posted this morning at Baseball Nation.
2011 MLB Draft Review: National League West
Arizona Diamondbacks: The Diamondbacks laid the foundation of an outstanding pitching staff with this draft. Fireballing RHP Trevor Bauer (UCLA) and Archie Bradley (Oklahoma HS) at the top of the draft could both become number one starters. Kent State LHP Andrew Chafin (supplemental) and Coastal Carolina RHP Anthony Meo (2nd round) also have outstanding arms. Justin Blanco (3rd round, Pennsylvania HS) didn't get much pre-draft attention but has solid tools. Evan Marshall (4th round, Kansas State) could be a fine setup man and should advance quickly.
Sleepers: OF Ben Roberts (7th round, Montana HS) isn't quite Brandon Nimmo but he does have good tools. RHP Jesse Darrah (8th round, Fresno Pacific) is a small college ace, LHP John Pedrotty (13th round, Holy Cross) has great command, LHP Adam Choplick (17th round, Texas HS) could be quite good if they can sign him away from college. Overall, this class looks outstanding to me.
Colorado Rockies: This is a balanced class with a wide variety of tools, polish, and background. Polished LHP Tyler Anderson (Oregon) won't need long in the minors, while SS Trevor Story (Texas HS) was a great supplemental pick but might need time for his bat to catch up with the glove. OF Carl Thomore (2nd round, New Jersey HS) and C Pete O'Brien (3rd round, Bethune-Cookman) provide plenty of power. OF Dillon Thomas (4th round, Texas HS),SS Taylor Featherston (5th round, TCU), RHP Chris Jensen (6th round, San Diego), and 1B Harold Riggins (7th round, NC State) are all solid-but-unspectacular selections.
Sleepers: RHP Ross Stripling (9th round, Texas A&M), RHP Ben Hughes (10th round, St. Olaf), and RHP Patrick Johnson (25th round, North Carolina) are college pitchers who could all exceed expectations, Stripling and Hughes in particular. Overall, not an earth-shattering draft, but not a bad one either.
Los Angeles Dodgers: Financial constraints imposed by MLB were obvious here, although you can see how Logan White tried to work around it. LHP Chris Reed out of Stanford was a slight but not terrible overdraft, but 3B Alex Santana (2nd round, Florida HS) likely went several rounds early. C Pratt Maynard (3rd round, NC State) can hit and draws walks but needs glove polish. The rest of the class was OK but not spectacular, with a few picks that might turn into something interesting if everything breaks right.
Sleepers: C Tyler Ogle (9th round, Oklahoma) has a good glove and underrated bat. LHP Jamaal Moore (10th round, California HS) is very projectable. SS Justin Boudreaux (14th round, Southeastern Louisiana) has pop. RHP Vince Spilker (20th round, Johnson County CC) is a big sleeper if they can sign him. Considering the circumstances this isn't a disaster.
San Diego Padres: 2B Cory Spangenberg (Indian River JC), RHP Joe Ross (California HS), RHP Michael Kelly (Florida HS), C Brett Austin (North Carolina HS), and SS Jace Peterson (McNeese State) is a great haul at the top of the draft. I like the balance between high school and college picks as well as different positions. If they can sign UCLA-bound glove specialist C Austin Hedges (2nd round) and Ohio-State bound RHP Matt Wisler (7th round), so much the better. Polished college choice Mark Pope (5th round, Georgia Tech) could be a bargain.
Sleepers: OF Kyle Gaedele (6th round, Valparaiso) was getting second-round play, RHP Colin Rea (12th round, Indiana State) has a very live arm and great mechanics. RHP Burch Smith (14th round, Oklahoma) was expected to go 10 rounds sooner and like Rea he is a great pick in this slot. I also like RHP Matt Stites (17th round, Missouri) and OF Mike Gallic (18th round, Marist) as solid value choices. This class has considerable signability risk, but if they can sign everyone (or almost everyone) this is a terrific draft.
San Francisco Giants: First-day picks SS Joe Panik (St. John's), and RHP Kyle Crick (Texas HS) offer variety, a polished good-hitting infielder and a raw prep fireballer. C Andrew Susac (2nd round, Oregon State) and 1B Ricky Oropesa (USC) are advanced college players with strong bats. Susac will probably want first round money but I would give it to him. LHP Bryce Bandilla (4th round, Arizona), RHP Chris Marlowe (5th round, Oklahoma State), LHP Josh Osich (6th round, Oregon State), and RHP Raymond Black (7th round, Pittsburgh) all hit 95 MPH, though concerns about Osich's health dropped his stock at the last minute. He was rated as a late first round talent most of the spring.
Sleepers: RHP Derek Law (9th round, Miami-Dade CC) has scary mechanics, but throws hard and put up excellent numbers this year. OF Kentrell Hill (10th round, Arkansas Baptist) is a toolsy pick who could exceed expectations. SS Kelby Tomlinson (12th round, Texas Tech) has a very strong glove. Deep Sleeper: 1B Ben Thomas (34th round, Xavier) is big and slow but has considerable power. Overall, I would be happy with this draft if I was a Giants fan.
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Awesome typo
SS Kelby Tomlinson (12th round, Texas Tech) has a very strong love.
Jose Flores: .831 OPS in High-A last year. .529 OPS this year. Ouch.
Co-dad of Ryan Scoma with waelwulf, because we're progressive like that.
John
Where would you rank the d-backs farm system if they sign Bradley?
I survived the 2004 & 2010 seasons.
Goldschmidt is AWESOME
That's
a pretty tough question at this point, since you’d have to make judgments on other teams’ signing abilities, too.
HEY, FRENCHY! STAR TREK OR STAR WARS?
They'd move way up for me
Was just looking at this for a piece… so don’t want to spoil it, but I think they’d have 4 Top 50 prospects and nice depth.
yep.
They are moving up for sure. I think they sign Bradley. And people aren’t talking about the quality of Chafin and Meo enough in my opinion. I think those guys fit in the back half of their top 10 as well right now.
detroitbaseballpage.com
I have Chafin at 9
And Meo at 14. I’m still a believer in the Davidson/Borchering/Owings high school crew from ‘09 (they’re ahead of Chafin), and have Pollock, Brewer, and Holmberg above Meo because I see the latter two having a higher chance of being a starter.
http://hasthelargehadroncolliderdestroyedtheworldyet.com/
by Dan Strittmatter on Jun 10, 2011 2:32 AM EDT up reply actions
I'd actually have Meo 6th
and Chafin above Borchering and Davidson, but below Owings. I’m still scared Borchering and Davidson are just first basemen without special bats.
If they can sign both
Wouldn’t it be five? Parker, Bauer, Skaggs, Goldschmidt, Bradley?
http://hasthelargehadroncolliderdestroyedtheworldyet.com/
by Dan Strittmatter on Jun 10, 2011 2:33 AM EDT up reply actions
I appreciate this post, John, and understand using your article at Baseball Nation to expand on your thoughts here.
But I must say I enjoyed the format of last year’s articles more, shown here: http://www.minorleagueball.com/2010/6/9/1509273/los-angeles-angels-draft-review
Combining 2-3 players into a single sentence isn’t telling me much more than I already knew in many cases. Adding the late-round Sleepers is a nice addition, though. Last year’s format, which I would agree was probably more work, told me much more in a full sentence or two.
If you plan on going into more detail in a week or so after the initial divisional reports, that is good to hear.
If you would rather do it this way, or if I’m alone in this view, I understand and will continue to enjoy what I read. Thank you!
well.
Well…what do you guys think? I can do this, but it will take me a long time to work through every team.
I don't mind the wait...
and it would be great to get your thoughts in more detail.
Psycho killer, qu'est-ce que c'est?
by shikantaza on Jun 9, 2011 2:35 PM EDT up reply actions 3 recs
Thank you, John!
I hope it doesn’t bog you down too much with your other duties. It will be worth the wait!
another note
I understand why you want to do it this way on each teams overall draft but I think it would make more sense to do it after the signing deadline and just include the players that sign.
t of the NL west I would rank it like this:
1) Arizona
2) San Diego
3) San Fran
4) Colorado
5) La La Land
Considering that they wanted a hitter and the pick is a comp pick because they didn’t sign Whitson last year, the pick is just fine.
should have taken Springer if they wanted a bat
Heck even Mahtook has more upside than Spangenberg
Disagreed
I don’t think that Mike (not a typo – I can’t call a grown man ‘Mikie’) Mahtook has more upshot than Corey Spangenberg. In fact, I’d say it’s probably the complete opposite.
I don’t think Spangenburg would have lasted past pick 21, while we all saw where Mahtook ended up going.
I also didn't care for the Spangenberg pick...
I have questions about him and there were too many players I really liked still on the board.
but I love Ross, Kelly and Hedges. Austin, Burch Smith and Pope all pretty good, too. By my reckoning they got 6 of the top 100 talents in the draft, even if they could have hit a HR on their 1st pick and instead pulled up at 2B. Pope wasn’t all that far out of my top 100, either. That’s a ridiculous haul if they sign. I’m inclined to give the top four (CS, Ross, Kelly and Hedges) all straight “B” grades.
That's what most teams do with comp picks
It just looks kind of bad when put right next to the ballsy Bradley pick at #7.
http://hasthelargehadroncolliderdestroyedtheworldyet.com/
by Dan Strittmatter on Jun 10, 2011 2:34 AM EDT up reply actions
Looks like there was some good drafting teams in this division.
The clear winner is the diamondback, They got alot of good young talent and if they can sign most of these guys they can have a very bright futur, Also SD did some nice drafting they got some top notch guys and i see them doing some damage down the year.
The clear losers to me for various reason are the Dodgers there first pick to me says it all i mean he is good but nopt that good.
It's hard not to 'win' with Picks 3 & 7 in a strong crop though
That being said, the Archie Bradley choice in the Barrett Loux spot was definitely notable.
I’m intrigued by the Puero Rican prospects the Giants drafted. They seem to have scouted the island pretty hard. I wonder if this carries over to international free agency signings from the Dominican.
Hector Sanchez: Suck it Russell Nathan Coltrane Jeanson Martin.
Good draft by
pretty much the entire division. I think the Rockies was a little weaker than most. I love Thormore and the potential of Story, though I question if he will hit enough. Anderson doesn’t excite me because its a safe pick. Doesn’t make it bad though I guess.
And Im not big on O’Brien.
detroitbaseballpage.com
Good draft by pretty much the entire division
Can’t really agree there. I disliked the 1st round picks by COL, SD, SF and LA. Arizona had a fantastic draft, and San Diego is really not getting enough attention for how well they did. San Fran picked it up after their first round reach, as did Colorado some… but neither draft was anything special. The Dodgers draft was awful, IMO.
So I see: a great draft, an above average draft and two average drafts alongside one of the weakest hauls around.
San Diego
Is not getting as much attention because it is weaker if they have a lot they cannot sign. In addition I thought Spangenberg was one of the bigger reaches in Round 1
I think San Diego
plays a game of “who wants the money to be pro” between Austin and Hedges. Not a bad strategy especially if you get a good talent, and then you will get an extra pick next year if they don’t sign.
detroitbaseballpage.com
Im giving L.A.
a little bit of a pass granted because of their financial issues. I thought they did okay in those circumstances.
I didn’t think Panik would go in the first but he is a good baseball player, but to me that doesn’t take away from them having a good draft. Crick is good pick, and then they added a good college bat in Oropesa and many believed Susac was the best catcher out there. The arms in round 5-7 are plenty good.
The more I think about Colorado the less I like it, so Im coming around on that one not being good.
Spangenberg is definitely a reach, but he can hit and I think the Pads more than made up for a signability pick with the rest of their draft.
detroitbaseballpage.com
SF Giants
Trust in John Barr and Dick Tidrow in the selections for the Giants. However I do have a concern about the last two drafts for the Giants …. I wonder if SF has drafted enough premium SP arms in the early rounds.
In 2010 the first pitcher the Giants selected was 4th Seth Rosin. The former collegiate pitcher is now toiling in relief for Lo A Augusta. This years draft the Giants went with Kyle Crick a HS arm that will take years to develop. I do believe in Josh Osich.
Crick, Osich and Kickham are all good prospects. As for low ceiling guys, I like Surkamp and Verdugo.
Neither of those last two are really low-ceiling guys IMO
Surkamp’s fastball isn’t great, but he’s got good offspeed stuff and good control. He could end up being anything from a #2 to a MR, but his numbers are too good to suggest he’s at most a back-of-the-rotation starter. This is also Verdugo’s first year starting, and he’s doing quite well. There are some things to really like about both those pitchers.
Seth Rosin can hit the side of a barn with a baseball. From space.
Giants baseball: We're stupid enough to WIN that (TM)

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